Q3 - Strong order growth highlights successful third quarter. Ralf P. Thomas, CFO Q3 FY 2018 Press and Analyst Conference Munich, August 2, 2018

Transcription

1 Q3 - Strong order growth highlights successful third quarter Ralf P. Thomas, CFO Unrestricted Siemens AG siemens.com

2 Notes and forward-looking statements This document contains statements related to our future business and financial performance and future events or developments involving Siemens that may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may be identified by words such as expect, look forward to, anticipate, intend, plan, believe, seek, estimate, will, project or words of similar meaning. We may also make forward-looking statements in other reports, in presentations, in material delivered to shareholders and in press releases. In addition, our representatives may from time to time make oral forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations and certain assumptions of Siemens management, of which many are beyond Siemens control. These are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and factors, including, but not limited to those described in disclosures, in particular in the chapter Risks in the Annual Report. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying expectations not occur or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens may (negatively or positively) vary materially from those described explicitly or implicitly in the relevant forward-looking statement. Siemens neither intends, nor assumes any obligation, to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated. This document includes in the applicable financial reporting framework not clearly defined supplemental financial measures that are or may be alternative performance measures (non-gaap-measures). These supplemental financial measures should not be viewed in isolation or as alternatives to measures of Siemens net assets and financial positions or results of operations as presented in accordance with the applicable financial reporting framework in its Consolidated Financial Statements. Other companies that report or describe similarly titled alternative performance measures may calculate them differently. Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this and other documents may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures. Page 2

3 Q3 FY 2018 Strong order growth highlights successful third quarter Excellent order growth of 21%; book-to-bill at 1.11x Solid revenue growth in most businesses offsetting weakness in PG & SGRE Substantial burden from FX on top and bottom line IB profit margin up +60bps at 10.7% driven by outstanding DF Net income at 1.2bn; EPS at 1.36 Substantial increase of IB free cash flow to 1.8bn Further pension deficit reduction to 7.6bn Page 3

4 PG: Significant order wins ongoing challenges weigh on profit EM: Short cycle products drive margins despite FX headwind Power and Gas (PG) Energy Management (EM) bn bn % 1) % 1) % 1) % 1) Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 margin margin m % % 9.7% -430bps 11-15% 6.2% 5.4% m +13% % 6.8% +80bps 7.8% 7.6% 7-10% 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects x.x% Margin excl. severance Page 4

5 BT: Margin expansion continues digital capabilities enhanced MO: Strong order momentum margin well in target range Building Technologies (BT) Mobility (MO) bn bn +9% 1) +4% 1) +11% 1) +6% 1) margin margin m +7% bps 10.5% 11.2% 11.0% 8-11% m -1% % 8.8% -50bps 9.1% 8.3% 8.3% 6-9% Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects x.x% Margin excl. severance Page 5

6 DF: Another quarter of world class performance PD: Top line growth returned Digital Factory (DF) Process Industries and Drives (PD) bn bn +12% 1) % 1) % 1) % 1) margin margin m +54% % 15.2% +570bps 21.1% 14-20% m +43% +190bps % 6.6% 20.9% 4.7% 6.6% 8-12% 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects x.x% Margin excl. severance Page 6

7 SHS: Imaging drives revenue growth - material FX headwinds SGRE: Large orders across the globe Siemens Healthineers (SHS) Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy (SGRE) bn bn +6% 1) % 1) % 1) % 1) Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 margin margin m -5% bps 16.8% 16.4% 16.5% 15.6% 15-19% m % bps 6.2% 6.2% 6.1% 5.4% 5-8% Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 1) Comparable, i.e. adjusted for currency translation and portfolio effects x.x% Margin excl. severance Page 7

8 Q3 FY 18 Ramp up of corporate items on higher innovation invest Below Industrial Business Q3 FY 2018 Expectations for Q4 FY 2018 m 2, Tax -467 CMPA: Q4 negative impact by Mobility carve out related costs Corporate Items: Q4 significantly higher y-o-y on central innovation invest, IT transformation and related restructuring costs Therein: - 75m Pensions - 271m Corp. Items 1,164 Noncontrolling interests 104m 46 1,210 1,106 Tax: Q4 higher tax rate will be impacted by Mobility carve out, FY 18 expect 24% 29% Non controlling interests: >FY 17 due to Siemens Healthineers IB SFS CMPA SRE Corp. Items & Pen. PPA Elim. Corp. Treas., Other Tax Inc. Cont. Ops Disc. Net Ops. Income Page 8

9 Guidance FY 18 confirmed Earnings per share (in ) mid-point +5% Guidance We continue to expect basic EPS from net income in the range of 7.70 to 8.00, excluding severance charges. Furthermore we confirm our expectation of modest growth in revenue, net of effects from currency translation and portfolio transactions, and continue to anticipate that orders will exceed revenue for a book-to-bill ratio above 1 for the full fiscal year. We continue to expect a profit margin of 11.0% to 12.0% for our Industrial Business also excluding severance charges. This outlook excludes charges related to legal and regulatory matters and potential effects which may follow the introduction of a new strategic program. EPS excl. Severance FY 18 (as of Q4 FY 17) EPS excl. Severance FY 18 (as of Q2 FY 18) Page 9

10 Appendix Page 10

11 Financial cockpit Q3 FY 2018 in bn % (16%) 22.8 Comp. (nom.) 21.3 flat (-4%) 20.5 Industrial Business (IB) in bn +2% % 11.0% Net Income in bn % 1.2 B-t-B Margin 10.1% 10.7% Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 EPS in % ROCE ( all-in ) 11.6% 10.1% 15 20% Capital structure 1.2x 1 0.6x Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 Q3 FY 17 Q3 FY 18 x.xx EPS excl. severance x.x% as reported x.x% excl. severance Page 11

12 Net debt bridge Q3 FY 2018 in bn Operating Activities Q3 ΔQ2 SFS Debt Post emp. Benefits Credit guarantees Fair value adj (hedge accounting) Ind. Net Debt/ EBITDA (c/o) 0.6x (Q2 FY18: 0.6x) therein: Δ Inventories -0.1 Δ Trade and other receivables -0.7 Δ Trade payables +0.5 Δ Contract Assets/ Liabilities -0.2 therein a.o.: CAPEX -0.6 Receivables from financing activities Net Debt Q Cash & cash equiv ) Cash flows from op. activities (w/o working capital) Working Capital Cash flows from investing activities Financing and other topics Net Debt Q Net Debt adjustments Ind. Net Debt Q Cash & cash equiv ) 1) Including current available-for-sale financial assets Page 12

13 Provisions for pensions improved, mainly due to extraordinary fundings in USA Q3 FY 2018 Pensions and similar obligations in bn 1) FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 Q1 FY 2018 Q2 FY 2018 Q3 FY 2018 Defined benefit obligation (DBO) 2) (36.8) (42.2) (36.9) (36.9) (36.5) (36.2) Fair value of plan assets 2) Provisions for pensions and similar obligations (9.8) (13.7) (9.6) (9.7) (8.1) (7.6) Discount rate 3.0% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% Interest Income Actual return on plan assets ) All figures are reported on a continuing basis. 2) Fair value of plan assets including effects from asset ceiling (Q3 2018: - 0.1bn); difference between DBO and fair value of plan assets additionally resulted in net defined benefit assets (Q3 FY 2018: + 0.5bn); Defined Benefit Obligation (DBO), including other post-employment benefit plans (OPEB) of ~ 0.6bn Page 13

14 Q3 FY18 Bridge from SGRE disclosure to SAG disclosure Different profit definitions at SGRE and SAG to be considered in models in m disclosure (as of July 27, 2018) disclosure (as of August 2, 2018) 7.3% % % % 50 EBIT (underl.) Integration & Restructuring Cost PPA effects EBIT (as reported) PPA effects Financial Income Consolidation and accounting differences (as reported) Severance (excl. severance) x.x% Margin Page 14

15 Q3 FY18 Bridge from Siemens Healthineers disclosure to SAG disclosure Different profit definitions at Siemens Healthineers and SAG to be considered in models in m disclosure (as of July 30, 2018) disclosure (as of August 2, 2018) 16.0% % % % 541 (adjusted) Severance (as reported) Consolidation and accounting differences (as reported) Severance (excl. severance) Page 15 x.x% Margin

16 Financial calendar August August 2, 2018 Q3 Earnings Release August 2-3, 2018 Roadshow UK (London) August 6, 2018 Roadshow Germany (Frankfurt) August 7-8, 2018 Roadshow US (East Coast) September September 7, 2018 Morgan Stanley Conference (London) November November 8, 2018 Q4 Earnings Release Page 16

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