Operational Forum Meeting

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1 Operational Forum Meeting Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 22nd February 218, 9:3AM Radisson Grafton Hotel, 13 Tottenham Court Road, London. 1

2 System Management Principles Statement Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December 217 and January 218 Performance compared to last year 2

3 Summary Report 1 st January 218 to 31 st January 218 Jan-18 Total Number of Buy Actions 13 Total Number of Sell Actions 5 Total 18 Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) Jan-217 Jan

4 Operational Overview Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 4

5 Demands Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 6

6 mcm Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st January 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Previous Year NDM DM (Exc Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection Previous Years Actual Demand 6

7 Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st October 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Same Period in Previous Years 1% 9% 8% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 6% 4% 7% 9% 5% 15% 13% 17% 14% 15% 16% 17% 24% 21% 6% 5% 4% 3% 62% 72% 7% 68% 62% 65% 65% 2% 1% % LDZ Powerstation Interconnectors Storage Injection Industrial 7

8 Gas Demand Breakdown (bcm) 1 st October 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Same Period in Previous Years 8

9 mcm Gas Demand Statistics 1 st October 217 to 31 st January Gas Year Average Gas Year Max to date Gas Year Min to date NDM DM (Exc Interconnectors) Storage Injection Total Interconnector Export 9

10 mcm Demand Variance from SND 1 st January 217 to 31 st January Demand / SND Variance 1

11 mcm Gas Demand Vs SND / Cold / Warm 1 st January 217 to 31 st January Total Demand SND Cold Warm 11

12 mcm LDZ Actual Demand Vs LDZ SND 1 st October 217 to 31 st January Winter Average [Oct 17 to Mar 18] Summer Average [Apr 17 to Sept 17] LDZ Actual LDZ SND 12

13 mcm LDZ Demand / LDZ SND Variance 1 st January 217 to 31 st January Demand / SND Variance 13

14 mcm Gas Consumption for Power Generation 1 st January 217 to 31 st January Actual for Power Generation Previous Year 14

15 Supplies Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 14

16 mcm Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st January 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Previous Year Gas Day UKCS Norwegian LNG BBL LRS MRS IUK Previous Year Supply 16

17 Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st October 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Same Period in Previous Years 1% 9% 8% 7% 5% 8% 16% 8% 7% 9% 7% 6% 7% 5% 13% 8% 12% 14% 14% 13% 3% 7% 1% 3% 8% 6% 5% 3% 36% 37% 38% 37% 41% 4% 4% 3% 2% 42% 33% 36% 34% 38% 38% 37% 1% % UKCS Norwegian LNG Interconnectors Storage 17

18 mcm NSS (Non Storage Supply) 1 st October 217 to 31 st January Gas Year Average Gas Year Max to date Margins Notice Assumptions Capacity UKCS Norway LNG BBL IUK 18

19 mcm pp/th differential (NBP vs. Zee) IUK Flows vs NBP & ZEE Price Differential 1 st January 217 to 31 st January IMPORT TO NBP EXPORT TO ZEE IUK IUK Import Capacity IUK Export Capacity IUK Price Differential 19

20 mcm LNG Terminal Flows 1 st January 217 to 31 st January South Hook Dragon Isle of Grain Previous Year LNG 2

21 mcm Norwegian Flows 1 st January 217 to 31 st January Langeled FLAGS [estimated] Vesterled [estimated] Previous Year Norway 21

22 mcm Storage Withdrawal vs Injection 1st January 217 to 31 st January Withdrawal Injection 22

23 twh Medium Range Storage Stocks (MRS) 1 st October 217 to 31 st October 218 vs Previous Years MRS 217/218 MRS 216/217 MRS 215/216 MRS 214/215 MRS 213/214 23

24 p/therm UK Gas Prices 1 st January 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Previous Year SAP SMPB SMPS Previous Year SAP 24

25 What Operational Issues Affected Users? 25

26 Transporter Actions and Neutrality Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Energy Balancing Capacity 28

27 Gwh Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM NGG Monthly Buys and Sells 1 st January 217 to 31 st January 218 vs Previous Year Buy 216/17 Buy Prev Year Sell 216/17 Sell Prev Year 27

28 % Days of Default SMP Prices (SMPB) January 217 to January SMPB [NG Set Price] SMPB [Default Marginal] 28

29 % Days of Default SMP Prices (SMPS) January 217 to January SMPS [NG Set Price] SMPS [Default Marginal] 29

30 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit (Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM) December ,, 3,, 5,591,348 Net Credit - 5,612,865 25,, 547,922 5,855,59 2,, 15,, 27,38,612 1,, 21,79,959 5,, Credits Debits 3

31 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit (Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM) December 217 Oct-17 Imbalance Payment [DCS] -21,79,959 Charge [DCT] 27,38,612 Scheduling Exit Charge [DXS] 4,528 Exit Charge [EXS] 157,323 Entry Charge [ESC] 386,7 OCM Payment [TTB] -5,855,59 Charge [TTS] 5,591,348 Balancing Costs 5,612,865 31

32 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs OCM Payments / Charges December 217 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, -2,, 1/12/217 8/12/217 15/12/217 22/12/217 29/12/217 Payment [TTB] Charge [TTS] 32

33 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Imbalance Payments / Charges December 217 3,, 2,, 1,, -1,, -2,, -3,, 1/12/217 8/12/217 15/12/217 22/12/217 29/12/217 Payment [DCS] Charge [DCT] 33

34 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Scheduling Charges December , 4, 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1/12/217 8/12/217 15/12/217 22/12/217 29/12/217 Day Exit Charge [DXS] Entry Charge [ESC] Exit Charge [EXS] 34

35 Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue 1 st April 217 to 31 st January 218 Revenue/Costs WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue - 692,21 Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs 428,979 Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue* - 1,75,97 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only) - 86,953 Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges - Net Revenue - 2,1,281 *Excludes October

36 Net Capacity Neutrality Revenue 1 st April 217 to 31 st January 218 St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Bacton IP Bacton UKCS Other - 6, ,191-27,44-5, -1, - 93,629-15, - 173,455-2, -25, - 267,94-3, Net Capacity Neutrality Revenue [WDDSEC + DAI] 36

37 Capacity Neutrality 1 st April 217 to 31 st January 218 Month Entry Cap Overrun Revenue Non-obligated sales revenue (entry) Month Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue Apr-17-56, May , Jun , Jul-17-42, Aug-17-3,84-1 Sep-17-65, Oct-17-21,76-9,254 Nov-17-37,873-12,71 Dec ,884-12,32 Jan-18-52,39 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Total - 1,75,97-86,953 Total (FY17/18) 37