Minnesota Energy Industry

Transcription

1 Energy Industry Jobs Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q3 Q3 Q3 Q3 Q Minnesota Energy Consortium April 13, 2017 Cameron Macht DEED Labor Market Information Office Regional Analysis & Outreach Minnesota Energy Industry Minnesota has 336 energy establishments providing 13,345 jobs and $332 million in quarterly payroll Electric Power Generation, Transmission & Distribution has 276 establishments and 11,752 jobs, $296 million Natural Gas Dist. Minnesota Energy Industry Employment Trends, ,000 has 60 firms and Energy Industry Total, All Industries 2,835,325 1,593 jobs, and 14,000 13,787 $35.5 million 13,339 13,345 Energy industry 13,000 is holding steady, 2,618,824 12,496 but gained jobs 12,000 during the Great 2,562,456 11,000 Recession 2,900,000 2,800,000 2,700,000 2,600,000 2,500,000 Total, All Industry Jobs Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 1

2 Minnesota Energy Industry Electric Power Distribution is the largest sector Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation is largest, but declining Job gains in Hydroelectric, Natural Gas, and Biomass Minnesota Energy Industry Jobs, Q Hydroelectric Power Generation Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation Wind Electric Power Generation Biomass Electric Power Generation Other Electric Power Generation Electric Bulk Power Transmission and Control Electric Power Distribution Natural Gas Distribution 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8, ,160 1,593 6,632 Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Minnesota Energy Industry Job Change -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% Hydroelectric Power Generation 0.8% 30.0% Fossil Fuel Electric Power Generation -2.8% -4.5% Wind Electric Power Generation -5.1% 0.0% Biomass Electric Power Generation Other Electric Power Generation 6.0% 0.0% 1.6% 1.6% Electric Bulk Power Transmission and -5.8% Control 0.0% Electric Power Distribution -1.3% -0.5% Natural Gas Distribution -4.3% 6.9% Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Minnesota Energy Industry The Twin Cities has about 40% of statewide energy industry employment (62% of total, all industries) Central Minnesota has 19.2% (9.9% of total) Northeast Minnesota has 12.2% (5.2% of total) Electric Power Generation, Transmission, and Distribution Industry Jobs by Region, Q Natural Gas Distribution Industry Jobs by Region, Q ,368 2,494 Central Minnesota Northeast Minnesota Central Minnesota Northeast Minnesota Northwest Minnesota Northwest Minnesota 1,632 Twin Cities Metro Twin Cities Metro 4,165 1,237 Southeast Minnesota Southwest Minnesota 1,271 Southeast Minnesota Southwest Minnesota 2

3 Minnesota Energy Industry Power Generation & Supply is projected to decline -0.6% from to 2024, a loss of about 70 jobs Natural Gas Distribution is projected to drop -10.4% Jobs may be shifting: According to the CEWD report, Fossil Fuels, Natural Gas Dist., and Hydroelectric will decline, while Nuclear Power Generation and Electric Power Distribution will see big gains Minnesota Energy Industry Projections, Utilities Power Generation & Supply Natural Gas Distribution 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 1,562 1,399 11,159 11,090 12,866 12,589 Estimated Employment Projected Employment 2024 Source: DEED Employment Outlook Occupations in Demand 3

4 Occupations in Demand Energy Industry has many high-paying occupations! Average annual wages were $100,724 in Electric Power Generation, Transmission & Distribution 84% higher than the total of all industries! Natural Gas Distribution = $89,232 (63% higher) 12 of the top 20 occupations in demand can be gained with a high school diploma or less Some are high-paying, some are relatively low-paying 4 require vocational training or associate s degree 4 require bachelor s degrees or higher 4 of the top 6 highest-earning jobs need a bachelor s degree Occupations in Demand Growth is projected for a couple occupations: Industrial Machinery Mechanics, Electricians, Management Analysts 4

5 The State of the State Seven years after the end of the recession, Minnesota s economy continues to improve and, by many measures, ranks among the best in the country Some challenges are on the horizon, however The State of the State Tight market conditions suggested by our high participation and employment rates may explain why our job growth has been lagging the nation and some other states over the last two years Have we started to experience the constraints imposed by a shortage of additional workers well ahead of many other states? Will this constraint only tighten further and lead to even slower job growth in the coming years? With nation-leading participation, do we have less room to maneuver through the coming worker shortage than other states? 5

6 Available Labor Force (Workers) Labor Force Constraints Minnesota's Available Labor Force, ,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,852,392 1,915,837 1,971,338 2,046,334 2,104,799 2,122,137 2,153,900 2,175,118 2,202,695 2,228,245 2,241,061 2,280,673 2,307,357 2,351,967 2,398,898 2,427,605 2,468,394 2,516,374 2,556,436 2,604,290 2,652,526 2,679,233 2,711,783 2,756,144 2,812,947 2,845,202 2,859,601 2,874,663 2,880,427 2,879,759 2,887,831 2,906,389 2,925,088 2,941,976 2,938,795 2,946,278 2,946,355 2,955,266 2,961,331 2,975,533 3,001,131 1,000,000 Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics Labor Force Constraints From 1976 to 2001, Minnesota gained 993,000 workers Average of about 40,000 new workers per year From 2001 to 2016, Minnesota gained about 156,000 new workers Average of about 10,400 workers per year From to 2030, Minnesota is projected to gain 62,275 workers Average of about 4,000 workers per year This includes a big decline in year old workers But a huge increase in workers aged 65 years and over! 6

7 Labor Force Constraints Increased racial diversity will be a key component of growth State Demographic Center projects that the minority population will grow +37.3%, compared to +4.1% for whites (primarily due to aging) Employment Disparities Minnesota has significant employment disparities in all minority groups; but it s getting better Closing these gaps is crucial! Participation rates are lower and unemployment rates are also higher for: Younger workers Workers with disabilities People with lower educational attainment The challenges we face over the next 15 years are so great we ll need to tackle them with a multi-pronged approach to attract and retain workers of all demographic characteristics 7

8 Job Vacancies How many jobseekers are there for every job vacancy? 1.1 jobseekers for every 1 job vacancy (Qtr ) Job vacancies in Minnesota support the picture of a strong labor market with extensive job opportunity Both and 2016 results showed the most unfilled jobs since 2001, averaging about 97,500 openings By 4 th quarter, the ratio of job seekers to job vacancies statewide had dropped to 1-to-1 This ratio has fallen from 8.2 unemployed workers for each job vacancy during the 2009 recession Workforce Demographics The concentration of year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in & over increased from 12.5% to 27.7% in & younger rose from 17.8% to 20.5% in Minnesota Energy Industry Workforce Demographics, 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 17.8% 17.2% 17.0% 16.7% 16.6% 16.9% 18.1% 19.4% 19.8% 19.3% 19.9% 19.9% 20.1% 20.5% 69.7% 69.3% 67.8% 66.6% 65.4% 63.7% 61.1% 59.4% 57.9% 57.0% 55.8% 54.6% 53.7% 52.5% 52.0% 51.8% 12.5% 13.5% 15.2% 16.6% 18.1% 19.4% 20.9% 21.2% 22.3% 23.7% 24.3% 25.5% 26.6% 27.8% 27.9% 27.7% Under & over 8

9 Workforce Demographics The concentration of year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry has very low turnover rates, so the workforce has been aging Turnover Rate by Industry, Minnesota, Agriculture, Forestry, Fish & Hunt Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction UTILITIES Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing Information Finance & Insurance Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services Management of Companies Admin. Support & Waste Mgmt. Services Educational Services Health Care & Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Accommodation & Food Services Other Services Public Administration 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 6.7% 4.3% 5.4% 6.2% 11.8% 8.6% 7.5% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 18.5% 8.4% 8.1% 15.7% 16.0% 10.1% 5.4% Source: DEED Quarterly Workforce Indicators Workforce Demographics The concentration of year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in & over increased from 12.5% to 27.7% in & younger rose from 17.8% to 20.5% in 2016 Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Energy Industry Workforce Demographics, 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Agriculture, Forestry, Fish & Hunt % 17.8% 20% 40% 69.7% 60% 80% 12.5% 100% Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 6.7% % % 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 69.3% 4.3% 36.6% 13.5% 11.8% 0.7% % % 13.5% Construction 31.6% 67.8% 37.7% 15.2% 12.7% 0.8% % Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% % 13.3% 29.7% 38.2% 14.3% 0.9% % Wholesale Trade 65.4% 6.2% 18.1% % 13.4% % Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% 63.7% 11.8% 19.4% % 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% % 61.1% 20.9% % 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% % % 14.3% Finance & 24.0% Insurance 59.4% 37.0% 6.7% 21.2% 19.7% 1.2% % % Real 15.5% Estate & Rental 22.6% & Leasing 2010 Professional, 19.3% 2009 Scientific, & Technical Services 3.7% 16.1% 22.0% 57.9% 57.0% 36.8% 8.0% 8.1% 35.9% 22.3% 20.0% 23.7% 21.0% 1.3% 1.3% % Management of Companies 55.8% 7.8% % 2.9% 16.4% 21.2% 35.7% 22.2% 1.5% Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% % 16.9% Educational 21.1% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 1.6% 3.0% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 1.8% 2.3% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 52.5% 52.0% 32.3% 30.3% 27.8% 24.7% 15.7% 25.5% 27.9% 16.0% 2.0% 2.3% % 20.5% 17.7% Other 22.5% Services 51.8% 29.5% 10.1% 25.4% 27.7% 2.4% % 18.3% Public Administration 22.8% 5.4% 29.0% 25.4% 2.3% Under Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Workforce Indicators Source: DEED Quarterly Workforce Indicators 9

10 Workforce Demographics The concentration of year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry is primarily male (71.1%), but is changing over time Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Minnesota Energy Industry Energy Workforce Industry Workforce Demographics, Demographics, Male 0.0% 5.0% Female 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% Agriculture, % 20% Forestry, % 40% Fish & Hunt % % 70% % 90% % % 17.8% 20% 40% 69.7% 60% 80% 12.5% 100% 2001 Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 75.9% 6.7% 24.1% % 69.3% 13.5% % 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 75.8% 4.3% 36.6% 24.2% 11.8% 0.7% % 67.8% 15.2% 2002 Construction % 13.5% 31.6% 76.5% 37.7% 23.5% 12.7% 0.8% % Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% % 13.3% 29.7% % Wholesale Trade 76.7% 38.2% 65.4% 6.2% 23.3% 14.3% 0.9% 18.1% % 13.4% 16.9% Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% 77.0% 63.7% 11.8% 23.0% 19.4% % 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% % 76.0% 61.1% 24.0% 20.9% % 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% % 73.3% 59.4% 26.7% 21.2% % 14.3% Finance & 24.0% Insurance 37.0% 6.7% 19.7% 1.2% % Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 75.4% 57.9% 24.6% 8.0% 22.3% % 15.5% 22.6% 36.8% 20.0% 1.3% Professional, 19.3% Scientific, & Technical Services 75.2% 57.0% 8.1% 24.8% 23.7% % 16.1% 22.0% 35.9% 21.0% 1.3% % Management of Companies 76.4% 55.8% 7.8% 24.3% 23.6% % 16.4% 21.2% 35.7% 22.2% 1.5% 2011 Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% % 16.9% Educational 21.1% 76.4% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 23.6% 1.6% 3.0% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% 76.2% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 23.8% 1.8% 2.3% 52.5% 27.8% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 75.4% 32.3% 24.7% 24.6% 15.7% 2.0% 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 71.5% 52.0% 30.3% 25.5% 28.5% 27.9% 16.0% 2.3% % 20.5% 17.7% Other 22.5% Services 71.5% 51.8% 29.5% 10.1% 25.4% 28.5% 27.7% 2.4% Public Administration 5.4% % 18.3% 22.8% 71.1% 29.0% 28.9% 25.4% 2.3% Under Source: Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Workforce Indicators Source: DEED Quarterly DEED Quarterly Workforce Workforce Indicators Indicators Workforce Demographics The concentration of year old workers has dropped from 70% in 2001 to 52% in 2016 The industry is primarily white (95.8%), and hasn t been changing much Turnover Minnesota Rate Energy by Industry, Minnesota, Workforce Demographics, Minnesota Minnesota Energy Industry Energy Workforce Industry Workforce Demographics, Demographics, Male 0.0% 5.0% Female 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0% White Agriculture, % Alone 20% Forestry, % 40% Fish & Hunt % % Black or 70% African American 80% 90% Alone % % 17.8% American 20% Indian or Alaska Native 40% Alone 69.7% 60% Asian Alone 80% 12.5% 100% 2001 Mining, Quarrying, & Oil & Gas Extraction 6.7% % Two or More Race Groups 75.9% 69.3% Hispanic or Latino 24.1% 13.5% % 13.9% UTILITIES 33.1% 4.3% 36.6% 11.8% 0.7% % 17.0% 93% 94% 75.8% Construction 95% 67.8% 96% 97% 98% 24.2% 99% 15.2% 100% % 13.5% 31.6% 76.5% 37.7% 23.5% 12.7% 0.8% % Manufacturing 66.6% 5.4% 16.6% % 13.3% 96.2% 29.7% 1.8% 38.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 14.3% 1.0% % Wholesale Trade 76.7% 65.4% 6.2% 23.3% 0.9% % 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 18.1% 0.9% % 13.4% 16.9% Retail 28.1% Trade 38.5% 15.6% 1.0% % 77.0% 63.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.7% 11.8% 0.6% 23.0% 19.4% 1.0% % 13.4% Transportation & Warehousing 26.5% 38.9% 8.6% 17.1% 0.9% % 96.4% 76.0% 61.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 24.0% 20.9% 1.0% % 13.5% 25.0% Information 38.7% 7.5% 18.4% 1.0% % 19.4% 73.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% Finance & Insurance 59.4% 26.7% 1.0% 21.2% % 14.3% 96.4% 24.0% 1.7% 37.0% 6.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 19.7% 1.1% 1.2% % Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 75.4% 57.9% 24.6% 8.0% 22.3% % 15.5% 96.4% 22.6% 1.8% 36.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 20.0% 0.9% 1.3% Professional, 19.3% Scientific, & Technical Services 57.0% 8.1% 23.7% % 16.1% 96.4% 75.2% 22.0% 1.8% 35.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 24.8% 21.0% 1.1% 1.3% % Management of Companies 76.4% 55.8% 7.8% % 23.6% 2.9% 16.4% 96.5% 21.2% 1.7% 35.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 22.2% 1.1% 1.5% Admin. Support 19.9% & Waste 96.4% Mgmt. Services 54.6% 25.5% 18.5% % 16.9% Educational 21.1% 76.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% Services 34.7% 8.4% 22.8% 23.6% 1.1% 1.6% % 96.4% 53.7% 26.6% Health 16.9% Care & Social 21.1% 76.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% Assistance 33.6% 8.1% 23.7% 23.8% 1.1% 1.8% 96.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 52.5% 27.8% Arts, 17.4% Entertainment, & 21.4% Recreation 75.4% 32.3% 24.7% 24.6% 96.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 15.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% Accommodation 20.1% 17.2% & Food 22.2% Services 71.5% 52.0% 30.3% 25.5% 28.5% 27.9% 96.1% 1.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 16.0% 1.1% 2.3% % 20.5% 17.7% 96.1% Other 22.5% Services 71.5% 51.8% 1.7% 29.5% 0.4% 1.0% 10.1% 0.8% 25.4% 28.5% 27.7% 1.1% 2.4% Public Administration 5.4% % 18.3% 95.8% 22.8% 71.1% 1.8% 29.0% 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 28.9% 25.4% 1.2% 2.3% Under Source: DEED 55 & Quarterly over Source: Workforce Indicators Source: DEED DEED Quarterly Quarterly Workforce Workforce Indicators Indicators 10

11 Graduate Employment Outcomes Minnesota colleges are graduating many workers Average of 490 graduates from Electrical and Power Transmission Installers 365 Certificates; 124 Associate s Degrees Average of 527 grads from 2009-; Average of 431 grads from graduates from Electrical, Electronics & Communications Engineering 191 Bachelor s Degrees; 138 Graduate Degrees 102 graduates from Electrical Engineering Technologies 12 Certificates; 79 Associate s 11 graduates from Electrical/Electronics Maintenance & Repair Technology 11 Certificates Manufacturing and Construction are getting most of the graduates! Thank you! QUESTIONS? Cameron Macht Regional Analysis & Outreach Manager cameron.macht@state.mn.us Labor Market Information Office 11