Demographic, Labor Market and Economic Trends in Oregon: Labor Supply and Workforce Development Implications Population

Transcription

1 Demographic, Labor Market and Economic Trends in Oregon: Labor Supply and Workforce Development Implications Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts Population 1

2 Trends in the Total Population,

3 Immigrant Share of Population Growth, Components of Population Change, April July

4 The Civilian Labor Force Trends in the Civilian Labor Force,

5 Trends in the Male Civilian Labor Force, Trends in the Female Civilian Labor Force,

6 Female Share of the Growth in the Civilian Labor Force, Immigrant Share of CLF Growth, &

7 Labor Force Participation Rates Trends in the Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate,

8 Trends in the Male Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, Trends in the Female Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate,

9 Prime Working Age Labor Force (25-64 Years Old) Rate of Growth of the Prime Working Age (25-64) Civilian Labor Force, &

10 Rate of Growth of the CLF, by Gender, & Trends in the Year Old CLF in Oregon,

11 Labor Force Participation Rates of Year Olds in Oregon Labor Force Participation Rates of Year Old High School Dropouts 11

12 Labor Force Participation Rates of Year Olds in Oregon, by Race Labor Force Participation Rates of Year Olds in Oregon, by Race/Sex 12

13 22-34 Year Old Non-enrolled Population Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Olds in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) 13

14 Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Old Males in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Old Females in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) 14

15 Employment Trends Annual Average Employment, US, (000) 15

16 Annual Average Employment, Oregon, (000) Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, (000) 16

17 Annual Average Employment, US, (000) Annual Average Employment, Oregon, (000) 17

18 Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, (000) Annual Average Employment, US, (000) 18

19 Annual Average Employment, Oregon, (000) Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, (000) 19

20 Annual Average Employment, US, (000) Annual Average Employment, Oregon, (000) 20

21 Annual Average Employment, Portland PMSA, (000) Trends in Wage and Salary Employment in the U.S., Geographic Division, by 21

22 Employment Change in the Northwest States Trends in Wage and Salary Employment Through the Business Cycle in the Northwest and the U.S., 1988 to

23 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 1st Quarter nd Quarter 2003 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 1 st Quarter nd Quarter

24 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 2nd Quarter th Quarter 2004 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 2 nd Quarter th Quarter

25 Change in Annual Average Employment, Average Quarterly Employment, 2003-III to 2004-III 25

26 Occupational Staffing Patterns of Industries and Educational Attainment of the Workforce Occupational Staffing Patterns of Selected Industries in the U.S. 26

27 Occupational Staffing Patterns of Selected Industries in Education of Workers, by Major Occupation, U.S., &

28 Education of Workers, by Major Occupation, Education of Workers, by Major Industry, U.S., &

29 Education of Workers, by Major Industry, Percentage Distribution of Workers by Education, U.S ,

30 Percentage Distribution of Workers by Educational Attainment, Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Persons Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] 30

31 Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Males Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Females Employed Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] 31

32 Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Persons Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Males Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] 32

33 Earnings Premium for Year Old Non-Enrolled Females Employed Full-Time Year Round Last Year by Educational Attainment, [median, 1999 dollars] Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Olds in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) 33

34 Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Old Males in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) Labor Force Participation Rates for Year Old Females in Oregon, (Non-Enrolled) 34

35 E/P Ratio for Year Olds in Oregon, E/P Ratio for Year Old Males in Oregon,

36 E/P Ratio for Year Old Females in Oregon, Unemployment Rates for Year Olds in Oregon,

37 Unemployment Rates for Year Old Males in Oregon, Unemployment Rates for Year Old Females in Oregon,

38 Disconnected Youth Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in the U.S.,

39 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Oregon, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City,

40 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City North, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City East,

41 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City South, 2000 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City West,

42 Employment and Schooling Activities of 16- to 24-Year Old Youth in Portland City Central, 2000 Labor Market Developments in Oregon Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts 42

43 Trends in Wage and Salary Employment in the U.S., Geographic Division, by Employment Change in the Northwest States

44 Trends in Wage and Salary Employment Through the Business Cycle in the Northwest and the U.S., 1988 to 2004 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 1st Quarter nd Quarter

45 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 1 st Quarter nd Quarter 2003 Northwest Employment by Major Industry, 2nd Quarter th Quarter

46 Oregon Employment by Major Industry, 2 nd Quarter th Quarter 2004 Change in Population in the United States Divisions,

47 Change in Population in Northwest States, Change in Population in the United States Divisions,

48 Change in Population in Northwest States, Sources of Recent Population Changes in the U.S, by Geographic Division,

49 Sources of Recent Population Change in the Northwest States Household and Payroll Labor Market Developments in the Northwest, 2001-I to 2004-IV 49

50 Growth in the Number of Unemployed and the Unemployment Rate in the Northwest if the CPS Household Estimated are Dismissed and the CES Payroll Employment Estimates Accepted as a Measure of Aggregate Employment Change in the Northwest, 2004-IV Trends in Total Employment in the U.S. by Major Occupational Category, 2000 to 2002 (Annual Averages, Numbers in 000s) 50

51 Trends in Total Employment in the U.S. by Major Occupational Category, 2002 to 2004 (Annual Averages, Numbers in 000s) 51