Asda Income Tracker. Report: March 2012 Released: April Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
|
|
- Shavonne Morgan
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Asda Income Tracker Report: March 2012 Released: April 2012 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t w
2 Contents Asda Income Tracker Introduction 02 Headlines 03 Constructing the Income Tracker 04 Dashboard 05 Income Tracker trends 06 Cost of living 08 Labour market 10 Regional trends 11 Contact 16 Data charts & tables 17 Methodology update 21 Disclaimer 25
3 Introduction Asda Income Tracker It s worrying to see the cost of essentials creeping back up, increasing the demands on family budgets and putting pressure income growth. Unemployment drove the continued drop in disposable income in March and throughout the quarter, with a growing divide between the nations and regions. We re firm in our commitment to help tackle this in 2012, by creating new jobs, working with new communities and bringing Asda value where it matters most to families across the UK. Andy Clarke Asda President and CEO 2 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
4 Headlines Asda Income Tracker Headlines The average UK household had 144 a week of discretionary income in March 2012, 10 less than twelve months before. This latest worsening in discretionary incomes reflects on-going tough labour market conditions and the persistently high inflation rate, and takes discretionary income to its joint-lowest level since November During the three months to February 2012 average weekly earnings (excluding bonuses) grew by just 1.6 per cent year on year. Growth in earned income has not been slower since June 2010, as the unemployment rate remains well above pre-recession levels. Annual consumer price inflation reversed its recent downward trend in March, rising to 3.5 per cent from 3.4 per cent in February and remaining well above earnings growth. Family budgets in 2012 are continuing to be squeezed by the three pressures of high unemployment, very weak wage increases and stubbornly elevated inflation. While growth in the price of essentials is likely to fall back slowly this year, the current tough conditions in the UK labour market look set to prevail. Average earnings growth is expected to trail inflation over 2012, keeping pressure on household incomes. As such we are likely to see continuing declines on the Asda Income Tracker over the coming months, although at a slower pace than during Asda family spending power down 6.5 per cent year on year in March 10 a week less Charles Davis Head of Macroeconomics, Cebr 3 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
5 Constructing the Asda Income Tracker Model Total household income 696 per week - e.g.. national insurance contributions, income tax Taxes = Net income 575 per week e.g.. wages, investment income, pensions, social security, self employment earnings 121 per week i.e. take home pay Net income 575 per week - e.g.. food, clothing, housing costs, bills, transport, communication costs, health, children s schooling, house maintenance and repair Cost of living = Average family spending power 144 per week i.e. take home pay 431 per week eg. holidays, cinema, theatre, eating out, toys, sports, savings, jewellery, national lottery and other gambling payments, computer software and games 4 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
6 Asda Income Tracker Dashboard: March Dashboard Indicator Earnings Growth* (February) Unemployment** (February) Net income Mortgage costs Food Petrol Utilities Essential item inflation Family spending power Annual percentage change 1.6% (excl. bonuses) 8.3% 1.3% 0.6% 4.6% 4.2% 6.2% 3.7% -6.5% Latest trend KEY IMPROVEMENT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETERIORATION * three months to month stated **unemployment rate for three months to month stated Please note that the dashboard should be read in conjunction with the main body of the report 5 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
7 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Rising inflation and slowing wage growth erodes living standards Trends The Asda Income Tracker was 10 lower in March 2012 than a year before Discretionary incomes excluding bonuses are now 6.5 per cent lower than twelve months ago. Household gross income growth has slowed significantly in recent months to its lowest level in 35 months. Annual growth in the price of essential items was unchanged in March, as the recent trend of falling inflation came to a halt. Income growth continues to trail essential item price growth, putting pressure on household real incomes. Year-on-year change in Asda income tracker, Once bonuses are included, family incomes declined over the last year by 7.1 per cent, a drop of 13. Bonus payments are continuing to fall compared to last year, following weak business conditions in Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
8 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Rising inflation and slowing wage growth erodes living standards Trends The Asda Income Tracker was 10 lower in March 2012 than a year before Following a trend of improvements in the year-onyear change to the Asda Income Tracker, conditions have now worsened. March s annual decline is the largest since December Tough conditions in the labour market are holding back household earnings growth, with an elevated unemployment rate and very slow average weekly earnings growth. Year-on-year change in Asda income tracker, At the same time, the official inflation rate rose again in March, reversing the trend over the past six months Inflation is likely to fall back over 2012, easing pressure on family budgets. However, real incomes are expected to see further erosions over the year as essential item price growth continues to outpace average wage increases Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
9 Recreation & culture Health Restaurants & hotels Clothing & footwear Transport Furniture & household goods Food & non-alc drinks Communication Education Housing & household services Alcohol & tobacco Electricity Gas Rising cost of living accelerates again this month Cost of living Annual CPI inflation rose to 3.5% in March, halting the recent downward trend Growth in the cost of living accelerated again in March, as the consumer price index (CPI) rose over the year by 3.5 per cent, up from 3.4 per cent in February. 20% 15% 10% Inflation of selected goods, annual change to March 2012 This is the first increase to the annual rate in six months, bringing a halt to the downward inflationary trend since September. This month s movement takes the headline rate further away from the Bank of England s 2.0 per cent target, above which it has stood since November % 0% -5% Price growth on the broader Retail Price Index (RPI) slowed again in March to 3.6 per cent, down from 3.7 per cent in February. This movement differed from the CPI change largely due to falling car insurance payments, which have a greater weight in the RPI. 8 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
10 Recreation & culture Health Restaurants & hotels Clothing & footwear Transport Furniture & household goods Food & non-alc drinks Communication Education Housing & household services Alcohol & tobacco Electricity Gas Pump prices reach all-time high, putting further pressure on household budgets Cost of living The main factors putting pressure on family discretionary income in March were: 20% Inflation of selected goods, annual change to March 2012 Utility prices continue to be a major factor putting pressure on household budgets, despite the last of the big providers making cuts to bills in March. Over the year, gas and electricity prices rose by 8.1 and 16.1 per cent respectively. Transport costs remain a large contributor to the headline rate of inflation, as petrol and diesel prices rose over the year by 4.2 and 4.7 per cent. The cost of crude oil continued to rise in March, with pump prices hitting an all-time high during the month. Food prices also drove annual inflation in March, with the largest upward pressures coming from meat, bread and vegetables. 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% 9 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
11 Feb-06 Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Unemployment falls, but pay growth remains very weak Annual wage increases haven t been lower in 20 months Unemployment fell back during the three months to February, with the rate dropping to 8.3 per cent from 8.4 the previous quarter. This is the first quarterly decline in unemployment since the three months to May However, weakness persists in the labour market. Annual regular pay growth stood at just 1.6 per cent in the three months to February, unchanged from a revised January figure. Regular earnings growth has not been slower since June % 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% UK unemployment rate (LHS), per cent and 3-month annual growth in regular pay (RHS), per cent Labour Market 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% Total pay growth (including bonuses) fell back to just 1.1 per cent over the same period. Average bonus payments plunged, particularly in the finance and business services sectors. 2% 1% 0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% In addition, timelier data on the claimant count measure of unemployment showed 3,600 more claimants in March than February, pointing to ongoing tough conditions for the UK s jobless. Unemployment rate Earnings growth 10 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
12 North West Northern Ireland North East East Midlands South West UK London East South East Scotland Wales Yorkshire & Humber West Midlands Real income erosions diminished across the nation this quarter Regional Trends Annual declines in household discretionary incomes continue, but at a slower rate than previously 5% Regional income trackers, annual change to quarter indicated Household discretionary incomes are continuing to decline year on year across the UK, but the situation eased for all regions and countries in Q % The North West saw the strongest pressure on family budgets over the past year. Households face particularly tough employment conditions in the region, with the unemployment rate rising to 9.6 per cent in the three months to February, up from 7.9 per the previous year. -5% Families in Northern Ireland continue to face severe erosions to real incomes, as spending on essentials makes up a proportionally greater amount of income than elsewhere in the UK. -10% The West Midlands fared relatively well over the year to Q Recently improvements have been seen in the local labour market, with the unemployment rate dropping by 0.7 percentage points over the past year. Q Q Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
13 Northern Ireland North East Yorkshire & Humber South West West Midlands East Midlands North West Scotland UK Wales East South East London Regional Income Trackers highlight continuing disparity Regional Trends Income Tracker for nation s capital remains well ahead of the UK average 300 Regional income trackers, per week Discretionary income in London was 266 a week according to the Q Asda Income Tracker. This is roughly 83 per cent higher than the national average Income Tracker, a ratio that has remained broadly stable compared to the previous quarter Families in Northern Ireland had just 83 a week of discretionary income in Q equivalent to only 57 per cent of the national average The South East and the East of England continue to have the highest weekly discretionary incomes after London, with Income Trackers of 184 and 170 a week respectively. Q Q Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
14 North West London North East South East Wales East UK East Midlands Scotland South West Yorkshire & Humber West Midlands Northern Ireland Income growth slows across the UK and remains well below inflation rate Regional Trends All regions have gross income growth of less than 2.5 per cent far beneath the headline inflation rate of 3.5 per cent Labour market improvements have helped to drive household income growth at the top of scale. Both Northern Ireland and the West Midlands have seen improvements to unemployment and relatively buoyant income growth over the past year. 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% Regional gross income, annual change to quarter At the other end of the scale, income growth for Londoners remains very slow. Wage and salaries make up a proportionally larger share of income in London than other regions. This is holding back gross household income growth in the capital, as annual wage increases continue at a very slow pace. 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Importantly however, with gross income growth in every region and country standing well below the pace of the rising cost of living, UK real incomes are expected to remain under pressure this year. Q Q Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
15 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Scottish discretionary income holding up Trends in Scotland relatively well compared to national average The Scottish Asda Income Tracker was 8 a week lower in Q than a year before Discretionary incomes for families in Scotland stood at 144 a week in Q1 2012, largely in line with the national average of 145. Scottish discretionary incomes fell by 5.1 per cent over the past twelve months. However, this is better than the national average, where discretionary incomes fell by 6.1 per cent over the year to Q1. Employment conditions improved over the last quarter, as the unemployment rate fell to 8.1 per cent during December to February 2012, down from 8.6 per in the previous three months. The unemployment rate for Scotland now stands lower than it does for the UK as a whole, where it was 8.3 per cent in the same period Year-on-year change in Scottish Asda Income Tracker, 14 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
16 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Falling unemployment in Northern Ireland helps to improve declines on Income Tracker Trends in NI But Northern Ireland continues to see some of the worst discretionary income erosions in the UK In Q1 2012, discretionary incomes for households in Northern Ireland fell by 6 a week compared to the previous year, a decline of 7.0 per cent. This is one of the steepest erosions to household income in the UK, in proportional terms. Families in Northern Ireland spend more as a share of income on essential items, making them particularly exposed to recent strong essential-item price increases, in petrol for example. Improvements to the labour market in recent months have helped to bolster incomes and limit further declines to discretionary incomes. The unemployment rate fell over the last year to 6.8 per cent in the three months to February 2012, down from 7.3 per cent a year before. However, with the highest dependence on the public sector for employment of anywhere in the UK, the outlook for workers in Northern Ireland remains tough Year-on-year change in NI Asda Income Tracker, 15 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
17 Data and Methodology Appendix Please find attached the methodology and the tabulated date. Asda produces a monthly income tracker report with a more comprehensive report every quarter. For further information please contact: Joanne Newbould PR Manager joanne.newbould@asda.co.uk Tel Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
18 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Monthly Asda Income Tracker Figure 1: Asda Income Tracker and year-on-year change (excluding bonuses) Asda Income Tracker tables 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% Asda Income Tracker (LHS) Asda Income Tracker annual % change (RHS) 17 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
19 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Monthly Asda Income Tracker Figure 2: Comparison of year-on-year change in Asda Income Tracker including and excluding bonuses Asda Income Tracker tables Asda Income Tracker including bonuses Asda Income Tracker excluding bonuses 18 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
20 Monthly Asda Income Tracker Asda Income Tracker tables Table 1: Average UK household Income Tracker, per week, current prices, excluding bonuses Month Income tracker Month Income tracker Month Income tracker Month Income tracker Month Income tracker January January January January January February February February February February March March March March March April April April April May May May May June June June June July July July July August August August August September September September September October October October October November November November November December December December December average average average average Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
21 Quarterly ASDA Income Tracker Asda Income Tracker tables Table 1: Average household Income Tracker, per week, current prices, excluding bonuses Region Q Q Q Northern Ireland North East Yorkshire & Humber South West West Midlands East Midlands North West Scotland UK Wales East South East London Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
22 Methodology update Methodology From February 2012, the income tracker has been updated in two important ways: 1) From February 2012, the base data from which the Asda income tracker is derived has been updated. Detailed data on family expenditure and income come from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Living Costs and Food Survey 2011 Edition, which covers household expenditure and income in This makes the latest vintage of income tracker data not directly comparable with previous versions but the time series now available (as in page 16 above) is up to date as possible with the latest detailed data on household expenditure. 2) Reflecting lower trend growth in the volume of essential goods and services in the post-financial crisis environment Over time, as well as changes in price (as captured by monthly inflation data from the ONS), the volume of goods and services purchased tends to grow. Indeed, adjusting for changes in price, spending on essential goods and services grew by an average 2.7% per annum between 1998 and 2007 equivalent to 1.4% per household. However, in recent years this growth rate has slowed and indeed turned negative. Hence, we have revised down the assumed trend real growth rate in consumer spending on essentials per household to the average real growth in spending on essentials over the latest 10 year period: 0.5% per annum. 21 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
23 The Asda Income Tracker in 2010 according to the latest Family Spending Survey data Methodology Total household income 674 per week e.g.. wages, investment income, pensions, social security, self employment earnings - e.g.. national insurance contributions, income tax Taxes 117 per week = i.e. take home pay Net income 557 per week Net income 557 per week i.e. take home pay - e.g.. food, clothing, housing costs, bills, transport, communication costs, health, children s schooling, house maintenance and repair Cost of living 399 per week = Average family spending power 158 per week eg. holidays, cinema, theatre, eating out, toys, sports, savings, jewellery, national lottery and other gambling payments, computer software and games These data are then updated on a monthly basis using monthly ONS data and Cebr analysis 22 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
24 Methodology The Asda income tracker is calculated from the following equations: Methodology Total household income minus taxes equals net income Net income minus basic spend equals Asda income tracker Total household income for the United Kingdom is derived from the Living Costs and Food Survey 2010 (released 2011). This is updated on a monthly basis using official statistics on average earnings, unemployment, social security payments, interest rates and pension income. Earnings data from the Office for National Statistics that is released in the month of the report refers to the previous month. We forecast earnings data for the month of the report. Taxes are subtracted from total household income to estimate the actual amount that can be spent on goods and services, i.e. net income or disposable income. The average amount of tax paid is calculated using the latest version of the Living Costs and Food Survey. This is updated on a monthly basis using Office for National Statistics data and Cebr modelling. 23 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
25 Methodology Methodology These components are based on official statistics and Cebr calculations. Net income is calculated by deducting our tax estimate from our total household income estimate. Basic spend (cost of living) figures are updated using monthly consumer price data and the trend growth rate in the volume of essential goods and services purchased over the most recent ten year period. A full list of items constituting basic (or essential ) spending was created in collaboration between Asda and Cebr when the income tracker concept was originally formed in This list is available on request. The Asda income tracker is a measure of discretionary income, reflecting the amount remaining after the average UK household has had taxes subtracted from their income and bought essential items such as: groceries, electricity, gas, transport costs and mortgage interest payments or rent. The income tracker measures the amount left over to spend on discretionary purchases such as leisure and recreation goods and services. 24 Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
26 Disclaimer Disclaimer This report was produced by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr), an independent economics and business research consultancy established in 1993 providing forecasts and advice to City institutions, government departments, local authorities and numerous blue-chip companies throughout Europe. The main contributors to this report are Cebr economists Rob Harbron and Charles Davis. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the material in this report, the authors and Cebr will not be liable for any loss or damages incurred through the use of this report. London, April Centre for Economics and Business Research 2012
Asda Income Tracker. Report: June 2012 Released: July Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: June 2012 Released: July 2012 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850 w www.cebr.com
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: December 2011 Released: January Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: December 2011 Released: January 2012 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: November 2011 Released: December Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: November 2011 Released: December 2011 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: December 2012 Released: January Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: December 2012 Released: January 2013 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: October 2011 Released: November Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: October 2011 Released: November 2011 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: March 2013 Released: April Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: March 2013 Released: April 2013 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850 w
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: January 2012 Released: February Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: January 2012 Released: February 2013 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: April 2013 Released: May Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: April 2013 Released: May 2013 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850 w www.cebr.com
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: September 2015 Released: October Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: September 2015 Released: October 2015 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: December 2015 Released: January Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: December 2015 Released: January 2016 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: January 2015 Released: February Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: January 2015 Released: February 2015 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: August 2015 Released: September Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: August 2015 Released: September 2015 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: July 2016 Released: August Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: July 2016 Released: August 2016 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850 w
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: November 2017 Released: December Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: November 2017 Released: December 2017 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324
More informationAsda Income Tracker. Report: March 2017 Released: April Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd
Asda Income Tracker Report: March 2017 Released: April 2017 M a k i n g B u s i n e s s S e n s e Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Unit 1, 4 Bath Street, London EC1V 9DX t 020 7324 2850 w
More informationThe UK economic and fiscal outlook
The UK economic and fiscal outlook Report for StepChange Debt Charity Centre for Economics and Business Research ltd Contents Executive summary 3 Global economic outlook 4 UK economic outlook 8 UK regional
More informationThe Deloitte Consumer Tracker. Confidence remains undented Q Key indicators. Authors -5% -6% -4% -4% +5% +12% -2% 0% -1.1% +7.1% +0.2% +1.
Q4 The Deloitte Consumer Tracker Confidence remains undented In a sign that consumer sentiment has remained resilient following the Brexit vote, the latest Deloitte Consumer Tracker shows that despite
More informationDanske Bank October 2015 Economic Update,
Monthly update: 5 October 2015 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan www.danskebank.co.uk/ec Local job and investment announcements during September 2015 Over the month of September there
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES April Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES April 2014 Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK business
More informationConsumer Debt and Money Report Q making business sense
Consumer Debt and Money Report Q3 2012 3 making business sense Executive summary & commentary The StepChange Debt Charity Consumer Debt and Money Report Q3 2012 expands on previous reports to build a nuanced
More informationMeasuring Unemployment Some Key Terms
Measuring Unemployment Some Key Terms Claimant Count (JSA) Labour Force Survey (LFS) The number of people officially claiming unemployment- related benefits must be actively seeking work All those actively
More informationIntroduction to the UK Economy
Introduction to the UK Economy What are the key objectives of macroeconomic policy? Price Stability (CPI Inflation of 2%) Growth of Real GDP (National Output) Falling Unemployment / Raising Employment
More informationThe Deloitte Consumer Tracker Confidence pauses as consumers react to wider uncertainty
2016 The Deloitte Consumer Tracker Confidence pauses as consumers react to wider uncertainty The latest Deloitte Consumer Tracker shows a fall in consumer confidence in the first quarter of 2016, a sign
More informationThe headlines for the August 2011 consumer prices index (CPI) are:
Statistical Bulletin Consumer Price Indices August 2011 Coverage: UK Date: 13 September 2011 Geographical Area: UK and GB Theme: Economy Consumer Price Indices CPI annual inflation stands at 4.5 per cent
More informationGuernsey Quarterly Inflation Bulletin
Guernsey Quarterly Inflation Bulletin Quarter 1 2017 Issue date 21st April 2017 The Guernsey Inflation Bulletin presents the Guernsey RPI and RPIX measures of inflation, based on price changes of items
More informationDISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX
DISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX Q4 2017 A commissioned report for Scottish Friendly CREDIT CARD 1234 5678 9876 5432 JOHN SMITH Executive summary The Scottish Friendly Disposable Income Index uses new survey data
More informationSME Monitor Q aldermore.co.uk
SME Monitor Q1 2014 aldermore.co.uk aldermore.co.uk Contents Executive summary UK economic overview SME inflation index one year review SME cost inflation trends SME business confidence SME credit conditions
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES February Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES February 2014 Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. February 2016
SACU INFLATION REPORT February 2016 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationThe Deloitte Consumer Tracker Consumer confidence rises, underlying caution remains
The Deloitte Consumer Tracker Consumer confidence rises, underlying caution remains Q1 2018 Contents Q1 2018 at a glance Overall consumer confidence (q/q)* Previous Latest -7% -6% Consumer confidence Deloitte
More informationLiving Costs and Food Survey
Living Costs and Food Survey Main results and developments Giles Horsfield Headline figure 2010 Average household weekly expenditure was 474 ( 455 in 2009) Increase to 2008 levels, after a drop was reported
More informationDISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX
FOR SALE SOLD A B C D E F G H I DISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX Q1 2017 A commissioned report for Scottish Friendly Executive summary The Scottish Friendly Disposable Income Index uses new survey data to provide
More informationQuantification of the economic impact of plain packaging for tobacco products in the UK
i Quantification of the economic impact of plain packaging for tobacco products in the UK Addendum to the report for Philip Morris Ltd. August 2013 Centre for Economics and Business Research Ltd. Unit
More informationThe Deloitte Consumer Tracker Consumer confidence sees its largest increase in 18 months
The Deloitte Consumer Tracker Consumer confidence sees its largest increase in 18 months Q3 The latest Deloitte Consumer Tracker shows that UK consumers have shrugged off postreferendum pessimism, with
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES November Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES November Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK business
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES April Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES April 2017 Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK business
More informationLiving Costs and Food Survey
Living Costs and Food Survey Main results and developments Giles Horsfield Main government uses of the survey Retail Prices Index Consumer Prices Index Spending patterns of population Household expenditure
More informationConsumer Price Index, August 2012
Consumer Price Index, August 2012 (Base year 2007) Detailed by: Expenditure groups Household welfare levels Household type September 5, 2012 Issue No. 8 SCAD. Consumer Price Index 2012 1 Table of Contents
More informationFSB VOICE OF SMALL BUSINESS fsb.org.uk
Q1 FSB VOICE OF SMALL BUSINESS INDEX QUARTER 1, 2017 @fsb_policy fsb.org.uk Q1 2017 FSB Small Business Index 2 SBI Q1 2017 fsb.org.uk Small business confidence at highest in over a year, but firms are
More informationDanske Bank March 1 ST 2016 Economic Update,
Monthly update: Tuesday 1 March 2016 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local job and investment announcements during January 2016: The NI economy suffered a significant blow during the
More informationEUROPEAN EXPORT INDEX Q1 2018
EUROPEAN EXPORT INDEX Q1 2018 BDO EXPORT INDEX KEY FIGURES The BDO Export Indices are composite indicators which provide snapshots of the export markets in Europe s five largest economies Germany, UK,
More informationBBPA Local impact of the beer and pub sector 2010/11
Local impact of the beer and pub sector 2010/11 A report for the British Beer and Pub Association () Contents Executive summary... 1 The beer and pub sector provides significant benefits to the UK economy......
More informationIncomes and inequality: the last decade and the next parliament
Incomes and inequality: the last decade and the next parliament IFS Briefing Note BN202 Andrew Hood and Tom Waters Incomes and inequality: the last decade and the next parliament Andrew Hood and Tom Waters
More informationNamibia Consumer Price Index
Namibia Consumer Price Index June, 2016 Namibia Statistics Namibia Consumer Price Index:June, 2016 Agency 1 OUR MISSION In a coordinated manner produce and disseminate relevant, quality and timely statistics
More informationDISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX
DISPOSABLE INCOME INDEX Q1 2018 A commissioned report for Scottish Friendly CREDIT CARD 1234 5678 9876 5432 JOHN SMITH Executive summary The Scottish Friendly Disposable Income Index uses new survey data
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. December 2014
SACU INFLATION REPORT December 2014 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES March Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES March 2018 Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK business
More information3. The outlook for consumer spending and online retail 1
3. The outlook for consumer spending and online retail 1 Key points Consumer spending growth is estimated to have slowed for a second consecutive year in 2018, but is still expected to have grown at an
More informationWhittard, D. (2007) South west labour market review. South West Observatory.
Whittard, D. (2007) South west labour market review. South West Observatory. We recommend you cite the published version. The publisher s URL is http://eprints.uwe.ac.uk/20024/ Refereed: Yes (no note)
More informationBDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES December Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved.
BDO MONTHLY BUSINESS TRENDS INDICES December Copyright BDO LLP. All rights reserved. INTRODUCTION The BDO Monthly Trends Indices are polls of polls that pull together the results of all the main UK business
More informationThe impact of Quantitative Easing on incomes of the over 50s and potential implications for consumption and GDP
The impact of Quantitative Easing on incomes of the over 50s and potential implications for consumption and GDP August 2012 X SAGAQ2/2012 charitable foundation Foreword I sincerely hope that this research
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. February 2015
SACU INFLATION REPORT February 2015 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
Embargoed until 0101 UK (0001 UTC) 10 September 2018 Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI New orders rise at weakest pace in four months Key Findings Weaker growth of output and new orders Further increase
More informationQ3 SME Cost Inflation Report November 2013
Q3 SME Cost Inflation Report November 2013 Helping your business stay one step ahead through our insight Research Contents Executive Summary 3 4 6 20 22 Executive Summary UK Economic Overview SME Cost
More informationEconomic activity gathers pace
Produced by the Economic Research Unit October 2014 A quarterly analysis of trends in the Irish economy Economic activity gathers pace Positive data flow Recovery broadening out GDP growth revised up to
More informationSURVEY OF BUSINESSES INFLATION EXPECTATIONS JULY 2017 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION
SURVEY OF BUSINESSES INFLATION EXPECTATIONS JULY 217 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION The Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) undertakes surveys of businesses
More informationConsumer Price Index, November, (Base year 2007) Detailed by: Expenditure groups Household welfare levels Household type.
Consumer Price Index, November, 2013 (Base year 2007) Detailed by: Expenditure groups Household welfare levels Household type December 10, 2013 Issue No. 11 SCAD. Consumer Price Index 2013 1 Table of Contents
More informationMain Economic & Financial Indicators The Czech Republic
Main Economic & Financial Indicators The Czech Republic 15 OCTOBER 215 NAOKO ISHIHARA ECONOMIST ECONOMIC RESEARCH OFFICE (LONDON) T +44-()2-7577-2179 E naoko.ishihara@uk.mufg.jp The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi
More informationThe Money Statistics. December.
The Money Statistics December 2018 Welcome to the December 2018 edition of The Money Statistics, The Money Charity s monthly roundup of statistics about how we use money in the UK. If you have any questions,
More informationCONSUMER PRICE INDEX JULY 2018 PRESS RELEASE
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX JULY 2018 PRESS RELEASE Released: 21 st August, 2018 @ 12: 00 noon Contact Persons: Abu Bakarr Turay Director, Economic Statistics Division Statistics Sierra Leone Mobile: +23276690948
More informationConsumption led growth in an era of squeezed incomes
Consumption led growth in an era of squeezed incomes DISCUSSION AND SCOPING PAPER By Mark Magill, Marguerite McPeake and Jordan Buchanan The aim of this report is to provide an overview of some recent
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. January 2017
SACU INFLATION REPORT January 2017 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationINTRODUCTION SUMMARY BREXIT IN YOUR WORKPLACE
Unite the Union February 2017 INTRODUCTION Headline employment figures may be strong but, as the TUC explains, there is much to be concerned about in the new normal : a growth in insecure work, underemployment
More informationConsumer Price Index Inflation Still Soft
Wednesday, 25 January 2017 Consumer Price Index Inflation Still Soft Inflation remained weak in the December quarter. Headline inflation rose by 0.5% in the December quarter, which was in line with our
More informationInflation Remains Tepid in November at 0.2% as Transport Cost Trending Downward
19 December 2018 ECONOMIC REVIEW November 2018 Consumer Price Index Inflation Remains Tepid in November at 0.2% as Transport Cost Trending Downward Headline inflation back to near 4-year low. Consumer
More informationHong Kong Economic Update
Irina Fan Senior Economist irinafan@hangseng.com Joanne Yim Chief Economist joanneyim@hangseng.com May 28 Hong Kong Economic Update Hong Kong s March export growth stayed low at 7.6 yoy, as exports to
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
Embargoed until 0101 (UK) 14 January 2019 Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI New orders stagnate in December Key Findings No change in new business ends 25-month sequence of growth Further solid rises in
More informationFirst time buyer numbers rise by almost a quarter in 2015 as costs fall
Under embargo until: 00:01 Tuesday 5 th January 2015 November 2015 First time buyer numbers rise by almost a quarter in 2015 as costs fall November sees 31,300 first-time buyer completions up 23.7% annually
More informationUK BUSINESS CONFIDENCE MONITOR Q4 2013
UK BUSINESS CONFIDENCE MONITOR 213 BUSINESS WITH CONFIDENCE WELCOME This quarter s ICAEW/Grant Thornton Business Confidence Monitor shows that business confidence has now risen for five consecutive quarters.
More informationDanske Bank Quarterly Economic Overview for Q4 2013
Danske Bank Quarterly Economic Overview for Q4 2013 Published in January 2014 1 Contents Summary Statistics Table 2 Summary of latest quarter and economic outlook: 3 Global. United Kingdom. Northern Ireland.
More informationSACU Inflation Report July 2011
SACU Inflation Report July 2011 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall not
More informationConsumer Price Index (Base year 2014) Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index December 2017 (Base year 2014) Consumer Price Index 1 Release Date: January 2018 Detailed by: Expenditure groups Household welfare levels Household type Regions Briefing This publication
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. December 2017
SACU INFLATION REPORT December 20 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall not
More informationGMB WAGES AND INFLATION REPORT January 2018
1 GMB WAGES AND INFLATION REPORT January 2018 Key figures (January 2018) - change on previous 12 months Inflation rates Average pay settlements Seasonal inflation Spring 4% 3% 2.7% RPI CPI CPIH 2.5% 2.5%
More informationConsumer Price Index (Base year 2014) Consumer Price Index
Consumer Price Index December 2016 (Base year 2014) Consumer Price Index 1 Release Date: January 2017 Detailed by: Expenditure groups Household welfare levels Household type Regions Briefing This publication
More informationNCPI. Namibia Consumer Price index. January 2018
NCPI Namibia Consumer Price index January 2018 Namibia Consumer Price index - January 2018 1 Mission Statement Leveraging on partnerships and innovative technologies, to produce and disseminate relevant,
More informationConstruction Industry Focus Survey. Volume 27 Issue 2 November 2017
Construction Industry Focus Survey Volume 27 Issue 2 1 CONTENTS Executive Summary 1 1. Leading Activity Indicator 1 2. Activity by sector and constraints Residential, Nonresidential, Civil Engineering
More informationNIESR Monthly GDP Tracker 11 February, NIESR MONTHLY GDP TRACKER: February UK economy weaker than expected in December
Press Release NIESR MONTHLY GDP TRACKER: February 2019 UK economy weaker than expected in December Figure 1: UK GDP growth (3 months on previous 3 months, per cent) 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0-0.1 2018
More informationUK ECONOMIC FORECAST Q3 2013
UK ECONOMIC FORECAST 213 BUSINESS WITH confidence icaew.com/ukeconomicforecast 2 icaew.com/ukeconomicforecast Introduction Welcome to the fifth edition of the ICAEW Economic Forecast, based on the views
More informationA decade of donations in the UK: household gifts to charity,
CGAP Briefing Note 11 A decade of donations in the UK: household gifts to charity, 2001-11 May 2013 Tom McKenzie and Cathy Pharoah This note serves primarily to update figures and charts presented in previous
More information1. Introduction 2. DOMESTIC ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS. 2.1 Economic performance in South Africa ISBN: SECOND QUARTER 2013
November 2013 ISBN: 978-1-920493-99-8 SECOND QUARTER 2013 1. Introduction The Quarterly Economic Update for the second quarter of 2013 (2Q2013) has been expanded and contains a range of new indicators.
More informationHousing Market Report
Housing Market Report No.293 February 217 CONTENTS HOUSING SUPPLY 2 Housing starts 2-3 Housing completions 4 Regional analysis 5 Under construction 6 Housing supply tables 7-8 HBF SURVEY 9 Key findings
More informationOverview of the Scottish labour market
Overview of the Scottish labour market Comparable figures on the labour market 1 between Scotland and the United Kingdom in the second quarter of 2008 are summarised in Table 1. Labour Force Survey (LFS)
More informationCONSUMER PRICE INDEX
1. INTRODUCTION CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (Base period: July 2006 June 2007 = 100) Year This issue of Economic and Social Indicators presents the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the year. The methodology used
More informationFSB VOICE OF SMALL BUSINESS fsb.org.uk
Q4 FSB VOICE OF SMALL BUSINESS INDEX QUARTER 4, 2016 @fsb_policy fsb.org.uk SBI Q4 2016 Small business confidence rebounded in the last quarter, but cost pressures are at their highest since early 2014
More informationShort-term Inflation analysis and forecast. April 2018 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION
Short-term Inflation analysis and forecast April 2018 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION c 2018 Bank of Jamaica Nethersole Place Kingston Jamaica Telephone: (876) 922
More informationQ UK BUSINESS CONFIDENCE MONITOR. Scotland Summary Report
Q4 27 UK BUSINESS CONFIDENCE MONITOR Scotland Summary Report CONTENTS Q4 27 KEY POINTS 1 FOREWORD ICAEW CHIEF ECONOMIST 2 MAIN FINDINGS 4 BUSINESS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 4 TRENDS BY INDUSTRY 5 TRENDS ACROSS
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. October 2018
SACU INFLATION REPORT October 2018 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. April 2018
SACU INFLATION REPORT April 2018 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall not
More informationShort-term Inflation analysis and forecast. October 2018 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION
Short-term Inflation analysis and forecast October 2018 RESEARCH SERVICES DEPARTMENT RESEARCH AND ECONOMIC PROGRAMMING DIVISION c 2018 Bank of Jamaica Nethersole Place Kingston Jamaica Telephone: (876)
More informationJune Namibia Consumer Price Index. Tel: Fax:
Namibia Consumer Price Index N C P I June 2017 Namibia Statistics Agency P.O. Box 2133, FGI House, Post Street Mall, Windhoek, Namibia Tel: +264 61 431 3200 Fax: +264 61 431 3253 Email: info@nsa.org.na
More informationMONITORING POVERTY AND SOCIAL EXCLUSION 2013
MONITORING POVERTY AND SOCIAL EXCLUSION 213 The latest annual report from the New Policy Institute brings together the most recent data to present a comprehensive picture of poverty in the UK. Key points
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
11 February 2019 Employment falls for first time in four years Key Findings Output growth at 28-month low Employment falls for first time in four years Business sentiment remains muted Northern Ireland
More informationSACU INFLATION REPORT. February 2017
SACU INFLATION REPORT February 2017 The content of this publication is intended for general information only. While precaution is taken to ensure the accuracy of information, the SACU Secretariat shall
More informationUlster Bank Northern Ireland PMI
Embargoed until 0101 UK (0001 UTC) 13 August 2018 Ulster Bank Northern Ireland PMI Fastest rise in output since January Key Findings Sharper increases in both output and new orders Slowest rise in employment
More informationThe national monthly CPI (2008=100) increased from per cent in November, 2017 to per cent
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) December, 2017: PRESS RELEASE Released on Monday January 17, 2017 at 1:00 pm DECEMBER 2017 MONTHLY INFLATION RATE INCREASES SIGHTLY The national monthly CPI (2008=100) increased
More informationInflation Update. Lower inflation as prices adjust to new reforms. June Saudi CPI inflation. Monthly change. Annual change April
June Saudi CPI inflation For comments and queries please contact: Fahad Alturki Chief Economist and Head of Research falturki@jadwa.com Nouf N. Alsharif Economist nalsharif@jadwa.com Head office: Phone
More informationThe US Economic Outlook (with a Fed twist)
The US Economic Outlook (with a Fed twist) Presentation prepared for the Economic Outlook Conference 2011 January 13, 2011 Chapter 1: Why the FOMC went with QE2, an interpretive dance by David Altig, who
More informationBRITS INCREASINGLY TURNING TO CREDIT TO MAKE ENDS MEET AS FINANCES STRETCH AND ECONOMIC PESSIMISM GROWS IN UK HOUSEHOLDS
Embargoed until 00.01am Friday 30 th June BRITS INCREASINGLY TURNING TO CREDIT TO MAKE ENDS MEET AS FINANCES STRETCH AND ECONOMIC PESSIMISM GROWS IN UK HOUSEHOLDS - Three quarters of Brits use credit to
More informationPoverty. Chris Belfield, IFS 15 th July Institute for Fiscal Studies
Poverty Chris Belfield, IFS 15 th July 2014 Outline Income based measures how has poverty changed since the recession and why? which groups have been affected by recent changes? Non-income based measures
More information