Investors Observer Workshop. Wednesday, August 23, noon ET
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1 Investors Observer Workshop Wednesday, August 23, noon ET
2 Debby Clowney MBA, Chicago Booth BA, U. of Pennsylvania 20+ years options experience Worked on Wall Street Consultant for KPMG Workshop Coach: Debby Clowney Our goal today is to provide a workshop where we discuss how to translate the Trade Idea Generator s ideas into profitable trades. We will talk both concepts and practical tips to make and manage the trades. We encourage you to ask questions throughout the workshop. If you have a question, likely others have the same question. My colleague, Bobby Raines, will be joining us and fielding questions or bringing them to my attention as we go along. To get the most out of today s workshop, I will ask that you have your Trade Idea Generator launched and during the case studies that you follow along with me. Jot down names of stocks you would like me to review in the Firing Line portion of our workshop.
3 Disclaimer Today s webinar is for educational purposes only. Nothing in today s presentation should be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All stocks and options shown are examples only. Any pricing or potential profitability shown does not take into account your trade size, brokerage commissions or taxes which will affect actual investment returns. Stocks and options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors and investing in options carries substantial risk. Past stock or option performance is no guarantee of future price appreciation or depreciation. Prior to buying or selling options, a person must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options available at:
4 What we will do in our STATE OF THE MARKETS What will drive the markets from here? What is the S&P weekly chart telling us about overall trends? Zeroing in on the S&P daily chart How is the Nasdaq doing compared to the S&P? How are small caps (the Russell) doing compared to the S&P? What is the volatility index telling us? How should market conditions guide our trades?
5 NASDAQ dropped below its uptrend line from last November, and has formed a new parallel channel. Basically no progress in 2 months
6 SPY -- tested its uptrend line in early June and last week, but so far it has held
7 Volatility spike on the two Thursday s downdrafts
8 What we will do in our STRATEGIES: Measuring performance Evaluating three ways to measure performance Percent winners Annualized gains Profit factor
9 Covered call trades opened and closed this year
10 climbing a wall of worry. How have markets recently exhibited the old Wall Street saying that Markets climb a wall of worry? Certainly there are things for the markets to worry about Political turmoil Tensions with North Korea Budget negotiations when Congress returns Raising of the debt ceiling Worries have expressed themselves in sudden strong down days in the market, but the markets have then acted resilient after the down draft. Example: Last Thursday sell-off on rumors of Cohn resignation, followed by Tuesday s strong up day.
11 Important icons on your chart Most important Linear Regression, i.e., the channel the stock is trading in
12 Important icons on your chart Comparing a stock to... the market its sector its competitors All Stock Futures Forex CFD Bitcoin Index Economy Quandl You can check a market index type in a sector description or ETF symbol type in a competitor s company name or symbol
13 Featured Trades
14 Investors Observer s Option Trading Framework 1 FIND Early exits with full profits Early exits partial profits 5 EXIT Featured Trades Trade Finder 2 CHOOSE Charts News Strategies 4 MANAGE Taking profits early when the market is under pressure 3 ENTER Order types What you need to know about your broker
15 August Options expiration Closing positions early With the market down very hard on 8-17, we were able to close some of our covered calls one day early. We targeted a 1.14 profit on WGO and realized a.79 profit, or 70% of our max gain.
16 NEXT WORKSHOPS Next two workshops: Wednesday, September 13, at noon Eastern time Wednesday, October 4, at noon Eastern time
17 FIRING LINE What names would you like me to analyze? We can look at the support and resistance lines on these charts Also, a thank you! to the many of you who are completing our survey and letting us know what topics you would like covered in the future, and what is most helpful or what is confusing in our presentations. -- and let us know whether or not your are interested in earning more about candlestick interpretation.
18 Q&A
19 THE END
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12/19/2018 MARKET indicators bleed red. Cash and shorting are safe havens! Wednesday Volume 17 #244 To open the FULL ARMCHAIR INVESTOR NEWSLETTER, click here Then click on CURRENT NEWSLETTER. =================================================================
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