Fixed Income Securities and Analysis. Lecture 1 October 13, 2014

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Dominick Morgan
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1 Fixed Income Securities and Analysis Lecture 1 October 13, 2014

2 In this lecture: Name and properties of basic fixed income products Definitions of features commonly found in fixed income products Definitions of Yield, Duration and Convexity Forward rates

3 Scale this payoff so that in future all principals will be $1 Simple Fixed Income contracts and features 1 - The Zero Coupon Bond The zero-coupon bond is a contract paying a known fixed amount, the principal, at some given date in the future, the maturity date T For example, the bond pays $100 in 10 years time

4 2- The coupon-bearing bond A coupon-bearing bond is similar to the above except that as well as paying the principal at maturity, it pays smaller quantities, the coupons, at intervals up to and including the maturity date Think of the coupon-bearing bond as a portfolio of zero-coupon bearing bonds

5 e.g. the bond pays $1 in 10 years and 2% (of the principal), i.e. 2 cents, every six months. This would be called a 4% coupon.

6 3- Floating Rate Bond A floating interest rate is the amount that you get on your bank account. This amount varies from time to time, reflecting the state of the economy. Common measure: LIBOR ~ the rate of interest offered between Eurocurrency banks for fixed-term deposits

7 4 - Forward rate agreements an agreement between two parties that a prescribed interest rate will apply to a prescribed principal over some specified period in the future.

8 5- Amortization The principal can amortize or decrease during the life of the contract. The principal is thus paid back gradually and interest is paid on the amount of the principal outstanding

9 International Bond Market - The US - Bills: Bonds with maturity less than one year, ZCB - Notes: Bonds with maturity 2-10 years, coupon bearing bonds - Bonds: Maturity more than 10 years

10 - The UK - Gilts - Callable - Irredeemable - Convertible

11 Continuously and Discretely compounded Interest rates Continuously compounded: The present value of $1 paid at time T in the future is e^{ rt} $1 for some r. This follows from the money market account equation dm = rm dt

12 Discretely Compounded 1/(1+r )^T $1 for present value, where r is some interest rate assuming that the interest rate is accumulated annually for T years

13 1- Current Yield MEASURES OF YIELD The simplest measure of how much a contract earns is the current yield. Current yield = annual $ coupon income / bond price

14 Example Consider the 10-year bond that pays 2 cents every six months and $10 at maturity. This bond has a total income per annum of 4 cents. Suppose that the quoted market price of this bond is 88 cents. The current yield is simply 0.04/0.88 = 4.5% - No allowance for the payment of the principal at maturity

15 The yield to maturity (YTM) / internal rate of return (IRR) Suppose we have a ZCB, maturing at T that has value Z(t;T), applying a constant rate of return between t and T, then the 1$ received at T has value of Z(t;T) where Z(t;T) = e^{-y(t-t)}

16 Suppose that we have a coupon-bearing bond. Discount all coupons and the principal to the present by using some interest rate y. The present value of the bond, at time t, is then V = P e^{-y(t-t)} + Sum C_i e^{-y(t-t_i)} P ~ Principal, i=1,..., N (total no. of coupon payments), C_i is the coupon paid on date t_i

17 Duration The duration is the slope of price/yield curve and is defined as - 1/V * dv/dy Find duration of a ZCB and of a coupon bearing bond?

18 Convexity The Taylor series expansion of V gives dv/v=1/v*dv/dy (δy)+ ½ d^2/dv^2 V(δy)2+..., where δy is a change in yield. The convexity is 1/V * d^{2}v/dv^{2}. Find Convexity of a coupon bearing bond V?

19 Hedging - hedge movements in one bond with movements in another - assume that a move of x% in A s yield is accompanied by a move of x% in B s yield. - Portfolio: P = V_A(y_A) delta * V_B(y_B), - Choose delta to eliminate the leading order risk

20 Time dependent interest rates - Interest rate is considered to be a known function of time - Then the bond price is also a function of time V = V(t) //also a function of maturity T - We begin with a zero-coupon bond example. Because we receive 1 at time t = T we know that V(T ) = 1. - Derive an equation for the value of the bond at a time before maturity, t < T.

21 - Suppose we hold one bond. The change in the value of that bond in a time step dt (t to t+dt) is dv/dt * dt - Arbitrage consideration lead us to equate it with the return on bank deposit receiving at a rate r(t) dv/dt = r(t) V

22 Solve the equation: V(t;T) = e^{-int_{t}^{t} r(t) dt} - Do for Coupon bearing bond? Hint: ( dv/dt + K(t) ) dt % Cash change over time interval dt

23 Forward Rates - The main problem with the use of yield to maturity as a measure of interest rates is that it is not consistent across instruments - Forward rates are interest rates that are assumed to apply over given periods in the future for all instruments - Suppose that we are in a perfect world in which we have a continuous distribution of zero-coupon bonds with all maturities T

24 - The implied forward rate is the curve of a timedependent spot interest rate that is consistent with the market price of instruments - If this rate is r(s) at time s then Z(t;T) = e^{-\int_t^t r(s) ds}

25 - This gives r(t) = - d/dt {log Z(t;T)} - This is the forward rates at time t applying at time T in the future, denote it by F(t,T) - Use Z(t;T) = e^{-y(t,t) (T-t)} to derive a relationship between yield and forward rates.

Measuring Interest Rates. Interest Rates Chapter 4. Continuous Compounding (Page 77) Types of Rates

Measuring Interest Rates. Interest Rates Chapter 4. Continuous Compounding (Page 77) Types of Rates Interest Rates Chapter 4 Measuring Interest Rates The compounding frequency used for an interest rate is the unit of measurement The difference between quarterly and annual compounding is analogous to