MENA Market Intelligence Week ending 8 th of November

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1 Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz R E S E A R C H MENA Market Intelligence Week ending 8 th of November Research Highlights: Provide readers with weekly updates on analysts recommendations from different investment houses, collate views on the state of MENA economy, sector developments and fixed income news. Markaz Research is available on: Bloomberg - Type MRKZ Thomson Research, Reuters Knowledge Nooz Zawya Investor ISI Emerging markets Capital IQ FactSet Research Connect TheMarkets.com M.R. Raghu CFA, FRM Head of Research rmandagolathur@markaz.com Humoud Salah N AL Sabah Financial Analyst halsabah@markaz.com Market Performance: MENA markets were mainly positive during the week. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Bahrain were the biggest gainers each were up 1.7% WTD. Dubai and Qatar were the biggest losers by declining 0.6% and 0.4% respectively. Equity Research: A few equity research reports were published this week, as analysts would incorporate 3Q12 numbers into their models and update it accordingly. Fixed Income Development: QNB Group announced the successful completion of a bond issuance under its Euro Medium Term Note (EMTN) Program in the international capital markets. Under this program, a $1bn tranche was issued on November 7, 2012 that matures in February 2018 with a coupon rate of percent. This rate is the lowest in the history for bonds issued by financial institutions in the region. Table 1: Market Performance M. Cap Indicators (USD Last WTD MTD YTD 2011 Bn) MENA Markets Close % % % Saudi (TASI) 373 6, % Turkey ISE National , % Kuwait SE WT.INDEX % Qatar(QE Index) 99 8, % Abu Dhabi (ADI) 80 2, % Morocco (CAI) 53 9, % Dubai (DFMGI) 48 1, % Egypt (Hermes) % Jordan (Amman) 24 4, % Bahrain (BAX) 16 1, % Oman(Muscat SM) 15 5, % Lebanon (BSE) 12 1, % Kuwait Financial Centre S.A.K. Markaz Note: 1 Weekend Details Saudi Arabia Thursday & Friday; Turkey, Morocco & Lebanon Saturday & Sunday; MENA Ex-Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Morocco & Lebanon Friday & Saturday; US, European & Emerging Markets Saturday & Sunday P.O. Box 23444, Safat 13095, Kuwait Tel: Fax: markaz.com

2 R E S E A R C H What Analysts are Recommending Company Currency Recommendation Gulf warehousing company Date of recommendation Market price on recom day Target QAR Accumulate 04-Nov House QNB Financial Services GB Auto EGP Buy 07-Nov NAEEM National Societe Generale EGP Reduce 09-Nov Audi Sardar Equity Recommendation - Key points Company House Recommendation Rationale Gulf Warehousing Company (Qatar) GB Auto (Egypt) National Societe General Bank (Egypt) QNB Financial Services NAEEM Audi Sardar Accumulate Buy Reduce Better than expected 3Q12 results, coupled with a positive long term growth story, lead QNB Financial Services to issue an Accumulate recommendation with a price target of QAR 45.12, implying a 13% upside potential. 3Q12 YoY results: revenues were down 14% to EGP 2,046 mn, EBITDA declined by 16% to EGP 191, while net income lost 27% to EGP 65mn. NAEEM maintains its Buy recommendation with a price target of EGP 36, pending further analysis and revised forecast. Audi Sardar issued a Reduce recommendation with a price target of EGP The main rationale behind this decision was: higher tax rate, weak loan growth due to continued weakness in corporate lending and 3Q12 net income was bellow expectation.

3 R E S E A R C H Fixed Income News Sources which include Bloomberg, Zawya, and daily newspapers were utilized in the creation of the fixed income section which is mainly from Markaz GCC daily report Title Market View Dana Gas Reaches Inprinciple Agreement on Sukuk Refinancing Banque Fransi Seeks Holder Approval for 2.5 Billion Riyal Sukuk UAE KSA Dana Gas PJSC, the Middle East's first and largest regional private sector natural gas company, announced that it has reached an in-principle agreement on the restructuring terms of the US$1 billion Sukuk-al-Mudarabah due 31 October 2012 with the Ad Hoc Committee of Sukukholders. The Ad Hoc Committee holds a majority of the outstanding Sukuk. The Agreement envisages that $80mn of the Sukuk currently held by the Company will be cancelled and that Sukuk holders will receive a partial paydown from the Company's balance sheet cash. The remaining Sukuk will be reinstated as two pari passu instruments comprising a New Ordinary Sukuk and a New Convertible Sukuk which will have revised economic terms. Shareholders meeting is on Nov 12 in Riyadh, Banque Saudi Fransi said in a statement on Saudi bourse website. Riyadh-based bank, partly owned by Credit Agricole SA, said Oct 13 it got approval from Saudi central bank to issue the Sukuk. QNB announces completion of its $1bn bond Dubai recovering but faces $48 bln debt challenge Qatar UAE QNB Group announced the successful completion of a bond issuance under its Euro Medium Term Note (EMTN) Program in the international capital markets. Under this program, a $1bn tranche was issued on November 7, 2012 that matures in February 2018 with a coupon rate of percent. This rate is the lowest in the history for bonds issued by financial institutions in the region. Dubai faces nearly $50 billion of debt maturities between 2014 and 2016 but, unlike the crisis in 2009, is better equipped to handle redemptions due to an economic rebound, Standard Chartered said in a research report on Wednesday. In the note, the U.K.-based lender said Dubai, propelled into the global limelight three years ago after asking for a $25 billion debt restructuring for one of its flagship investment vehicles, has made little progress on raising cash from asset sales and the emirate's overall debt burden remains a challenge.

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5 Disclaimer This report has been prepared and issued by Kuwait Financial Centre S.A.K (Markaz), which is regulated by the Central Bank of Kuwait. The report is owned by Markaz and is privileged and proprietary and is subject to copyrights. Sale of any copies of this report is strictly prohibited. This report cannot be quoted without the prior written consent of Markaz. Any user after obtaining Markaz permission to use this report must clearly mention the source as Markaz. The report is intended to be circulated for general information only and should not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy in any jurisdiction. The information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made that such information and data is accurate or complete, and therefore should not be relied upon as such. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute the current judgment of the author as of the date of this report. They do not necessarily reflect the opinion of Markaz and are subject to change without notice. Markaz has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate, or if research on the subject company is withdrawn. This report may not consider the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors are urged to seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and to understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security s price or value may rise or fall. Investors should be able and willing to accept a total or partial loss of their investment. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Kuwait Financial Centre S.A.K (Markaz) does and seeks to do business, including investment banking deals, with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. This report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. Except to the extent to which the report refers to website material of Markaz, Markaz has not reviewed the linked site and takes no responsibility for the content contained therein. Such address or hyperlink (including addresses or hyperlinks to Markaz s own website material) is provided solely for your convenience and information and the content of the linked site does not in any way form part of this document. Accessing such website or following such link through this report or Markaz s website shall be at your own risk. For further information, please contact Markaz at P.O. Box 23444, Safat 13095, Kuwait; research@markaz.com ; Tel: ; Fax:

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