Understanding North Dakota s Natural Gas Production and Midstream Infrastructure
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1 Understanding North Dakota s Natural Gas Production and Midstream Infrastructure Justin J Kringstad Geological Engineer Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority May 24, 2016
2 28 Rigs and 690 NC Wells: May 24, 2016 (Non Confidential NC Wells Only) 2
3 North Dakota Drilling Activity 3
4 Understanding Current Production Dynamics Non-Confidential Spud to Initial Production Timeline 4
5 North Dakota Forecast Activity Assumptions 5 5
6 North Dakota Oil Production Forecast Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should 6 not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning. 6
7 North Dakota Gas Production Forecast Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should 7 not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning. 7
8 Solving the Flaring Challenge 8
9 Example Bakken Gas Quality Mole % Source: Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) 9
10 North Dakota Captured* NGL s *Non-flared NGL s & Assumes 10 GPM 10 10
11 Major Gas Pipeline and Processing Infrastructure Whiting WBI Transmission 11
12 Dedicated NGL Pipelines Kinder Morgan 12
13 Vantage Ethane Pipeline 10, 80 Mile Pipeline Capacity: 68,000 BPD Purity Ethane to Canada Source: Tioga Gas Plant Expanding to ONEOK Stateline Plants (Q3-16) Hess Tioga Plant Ethane Production 13
14 ONEOK Bakken NGL Pipeline ONEOK Bakken NGL Pipeline Q Flows: 116 mbpd (ONEOK May 2016 Presentation) ONEOK Garden Creek, McKenzie, Lonesome Creek, and Stateline Plants. Additional 3 rd Party Plant Connections. Additional Barrels Received in Wyoming s Powder River Y-Grade Service Current Capacity 135 mbpd 14
15 Plant Volumes Connected to Bakken NGL Pipeline 15
16 Northern Border Pipeline 42 Pipeline Carries Canadian (Port of Morgan) and Domestic Gas Receives Gas From ND Plants, WBI Transmission Interconnections, and WY Pipelines (Bison & Grasslands) Midcontinent Deliveries 16
17 Northern Border Pipeline* (2016) *Data Source: Northern Border IPS 17
18 Northern Border Receipt Mix* *Data Source: Northern Border 18
19 Northern Border Glen Ullin* (2016) *Data Source: Northern Border IPS 19
20 Foothills Pipeline Map & Raw Data Source: TransCanada 20
21 Northern Border Pipeline NDPA Estimates 130 mbpd of liquids capacity total for Northern 2.4 bcfd of flow (including liquids coming in from Canada) NDPA estimates 70 mbpd of liquids space for Bakken Production at current Port of Morgan Flows (Variable based on downstream markets and non-bakken supply volume/quality) 21
22 Alliance Tioga Lateral Pipeline 12, 80 Mile Pipeline Capacity: 126 MMCFD 2016 Scheduled Flows: 70,000-85,000 MMBTU 1,235 BTU Gas 2016 Available Capacity: 5,000-10,000 MMBTU 1,446 BTU Limit With Waiver Gas Sources: Tioga Gas Plant Expandable with Compression 22
23 Aux Sable Prairie Rose Pipeline 12, 83 Mile Pipeline Capacity: 120 MMCFD 2016 Scheduled Flows: 125, ,000 MMBTU 1,330-1,400 BTU Gas 2016 Available Capacity: 15,000-25,000 MMBTU 1,550 BTU Limit With Waiver Gas Sources: Robinson Lake Plant and 3rd Party Gathering Palermo Truck Rack For NGL Deliveries: 5-10 MBPD 23
24 WBI Transmission Pipelines WBI estimated to be delivering 10+ mbpd of ethane and propane regionally (Non-Northern Border deliveries) 1,130+ BTU Gas 24
25 WBI Transmission Storage Baker Elk Basin Billy Creek *Data Source: FERC 25
26 WBI Transmission Storage Baker Elk Basin Billy Creek *Data Source: WBI Transmission 26
27 TransCanada Bison Pipeline 302 Miles, 30 Pipeline 407 MMCFD Operational Capacity (Expandable to 1 BCFD) No Flows Since Nov Flows of MMBTU Very Dry Gas 975 BTUs 27
28 NGL Capacity Is Complicated 28 28
29 NGL Capacity Is Complicated Key Challenges - Plant complexity varies - Y-grade vs purity product - Ethane capture equipment - Scattered plant locations - Market pricing - Pipelines vary by type of product they can ship - Uncertainty of Canadian and Wyoming volumes and quality - Seasonal product demand 29 29
30 NGL Capacity Is Complicated Potential Solutions - New, expanded, or repurposed pipeline systems - Local consumption by new petrochemical industries - Creative market solutions to manage plant NGL/BTUs - Enhanced oil recovery - Rail movements of excess products 30 30
31 Contact Information Justin J. Kringstad, Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND Phone: (701) Fax: (701) Websites:
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NDPSC No. 25 Cancels NDPSC No. 22 Cancels FERC No. 3.5. FERC ICA Oil Tariff Notice of [N] Extension of Temporary Embargo NORTH DAKOTA PIPELINE COMPANY LLC LOCAL PROPORTIONAL TARIFF S APPLYING ON THE TRANSPORTATION
2018 Second Quarter Report For the period ended June 30, 2018
August 8, 2018 2018 Second Quarter Report For the period ended 2018 HIGHLIGHTS Keyera delivered strong financial results in the second quarter of 2018 with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation