Mutual Fund Screener For the quarter ended Sep-17
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1 Mutual Fund Screener For the quarter ended Sep-17
2 Mutual Fund Screener What s Inside 01 Industry Size 02 Investor Trends 03 Inflow Outflow Analysis 04 Sector Update 05 Category Performance 06 Industry Insights 07 Regulatory Update
3 Section I INDUSTRY SIZE
4 QAAUM (In Rs. Crore) Industry QAAUM up 7% - Rs. 143,078 crore added in Q2FY18 2,200,000 1,650,000 Mutual Fund Industry (QAAUM) Sep-17, 2,094,852 Jun-17, 1,951,775 Sep-16, 1,610,729 Growth in QAAUM for the Quarter Ended Sep-17 AMCs Range Top 5 4% to 12% Next 10-2% to 19% Rest -65% to 30% Source: AMFI; ICRA Online Research. AMC list as of Sep-17 QAAUM 1,100, ,000 0 Sep-17 Jun-17 Sep-16 Industry Quarterly Average Assets Under Management (QAAUM) grew for the 16 th consecutive quarter in Q2FY18 The 7.3% quarterly growth in industry assets was driven by sustained inflows in equity schemes through Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) and mark to market gains Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research; QAAUM Quarterly Average Assets Under Management ICRA Online Limited 4
5 AUM (in Rs. Crore) % change QoQ Top 10 AMCs accounted for ~81% of QAAUM 300,000 Top Ten AMCs 12% 250,000 9% 200, ,000 6% 100,000 3% 50,000 0 ICICI HDFC Mutual Prudential Fund Mutual Fund Reliance Mutual Fund Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund SBI Mutual Fund UTI Mutual Fund Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund Franklin Templeton Mutual Fund DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund Axis Mutual Fund 0% Sep-17 Jun-17 % Change QoQ Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research ICRA Online Limited 5
6 Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund Axis Mutual Fund L&T Mutual Fund Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund Mirae Asset Mutual Fund Indiabulls Mutual Fund Mahindra Mutual Fund IIFL Mutual Fund IIFCL Mutual Fund (IDF) AUM (In Rs. Crore) YoY Growth (In %) Smaller AMCs grew at a faster pace Top ten fastest growing AMCs 120,000 90,000 Sep-17 Sep-16 % Change YoY 150% 120% QAAUM of six fastest growing AMCs below Rs. 20,000 crore 60,000 90% 60% 30,000 30% 0 0% Among the larger AMCs (QAAUM > Rs. 35,000 crore), Kotak Mahindra, DSP BlackRock, Axis, and L&T Mutual Fund have shown exceptional growth in assets Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Note: Edelweiss AMC was not included in the list of top 10 fastest growing AMCs as its YoY growth of 260% was fuelled by the acquisition of JP Morgan AMC ICRA Online Limited 6
7 Private sector JVs (predominantly Indian) managed 58% of Sep-17 QAAUM Bank Sponsored Category In Rs. Crore Growth Sep-17 Sep-16 Sep-15 Year 1 Year 2 Joint Ventures - Predominantly Indian 204, ,510 98, % 46.40% Joint Ventures - Predominantly Foreign 11,138 11,703 9, % 22.80% Joint Ventures - Others 164, , , % 22.00% Institutions Indian 23,504 16,841 11, % 46.40% Indian 294, , , % 23.60% Private Sector Joint Ventures - Predominantly Indian 1,218, , , % 25.00% Foreign 137, , , % 1.30% Joint Ventures - Predominantly Foreign 16,004 18,704 26, % % Joint Ventures - Others 25,191 24,473 2, % % Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Note: Year 1 Sep-17 vs. Sep-16; Year 2 Sep-16 vs. Sep-15 ICRA Online Limited 7
8 Section II INVESTOR TRENDS ICRA Online Limited 8
9 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Folio (In Lakhs) One month change (In Lakhs) MF industry added 38.2 lakh folios in Q2FY18 Category wise Folio Count (In Lakhs) Folio growth in last 12 months Fund of funds investing Other ETFs GOLD ETF Balanced Equity ELSS Income Gilt Liquid/ Money Market Folio (In Lakhs) Sep-16 Jun-17 Sep-17 Folio 1M Change Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Source: SEBI, ICRA Online Research Total folio count at the end of Sep-17 stood at 6.2 crore, 6.6% higher than the previous quarter, according to data from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) In the last 12 months, 82.3 lakh new folios were added to the Equity and ELSS categories, suggesting more investors are opting for equity funds for long-term wealth creation ICRA Online Limited 9
10 AUM (In Rs. Crore) B-15 locations generated 18% of industry AUM in Sep-17 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 Growth in assets in T-15/B-15 locations 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Equity/Non-equity asset mix in T-15/B-15 Locations 36% 64% 58% 42% 30% 70% 51% 49% T15 B15 T15 B15 0 Sep-17 T15 B15 Sep-16 Sep-17 Equity Non-equity Sep-16 AUM garnered by different channels Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Sep-17 Sep-16 T-15 B-15 T-15 B-15 Associate Distributor 6% 15% 5% 12% Direct Plan 46% 21% 44% 26% Non-Associate Distributor 48% 64% 51% 62% Assets in top 15 cities (referred to as T-15) grew 28% YoY, while that in smaller towns (referred to as B-15 locations) expanded 39% Activity in B-15 locations has increased in recent years Improved distribution and regulatory changes to the fee structure have brought more people into the mutual fund fold ICRA Online Limited 10
11 Section III INFLOW OUTFLOW ANALYSIS
12 In Rs. Crore Investors poured Rs lakh crore in mutual funds in Q2FY18 Category-wise Net Inflow/Outflow Q2FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Fund Of Funds Investing Other ETFs Gold ETF ELSS - Equity Gilt 180, , ,000 90,000 60,000 30,000 Industry-wide Net Inflow/Outflow 144, ,601 93,400 Liquid/Money Market Balanced Equity Infrastructure Debt Fund Income -50,000-20,000 10,000 40,000 70,000 In Rs. Crore Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research 0 Q2FY18 Q1FY18 Q2FY17 Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Investors preferred Equities (including ELSS) and Balanced funds over Income and Liquid funds, which could be on account of low yields on money market and fixed income investments ICRA Online Limited 12
13 In Rs. Crore Robust retail participation led to high infusion in Equity funds 25,000 Equity Net Inflow/Outflow 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, ,000 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research; Equity includes ELSS funds Equity funds (including ELSS) saw net inflow of Rs. 52,025 crore in Q2FY18 vis-à-vis Rs. 28,332 crore in Q1FY18 In FY17, equity funds (including ELSS) witnessed inflows in every month with net inflows amounting to Rs. 98,699 crore Equity funds are becoming popular long-term investment avenues and people are investing mainly through SIPs ICRA Online Limited 13
14 Section IV SECTOR UPDATE
15 Equity AUM (In Rs. Crore) MFs continued to bet on Financial Services sector with more than 30% exposure 35,000 Equity exposure of Top 5 AMCs in Top 5 sectors (Sep-17) 28,000 21,000 14,000 7,000 0 Financial Services Energy Automobile Consumer Goods IT ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund HDFC Mutual Fund Reliance Mutual Fund Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund SBI Mutual Fund Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research Over the year, three out of the top five sectors witnessed more than 50% increase in exposure (Energy ~70%, Financial Services ~60% and Consumer Goods ~53%) Top five sectors constituted more than 65% of the total equity AUM ICRA Online Limited 15
16 In Rs. Crore % Change YoY Highest inflow witnessed in Metal and Paper Sectors 240, % Sector wise Inflow in Q2FY18 160% 180, % 92% 120,000 70% 60% 80% 60,000 37% 40% 0 Paper Metals Energy Financial Services Industrial Manufacturing Sep-17 Sep-16 % change YoY 0% Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research, Net-inflow has been calculated using the market value of the holdings Over the year, highest inflow was seen in Metal (156%), followed by Paper (92%) and Healthcare Services (83%) sectors ICRA Online Limited 16
17 Section V CATEGORY PERFORMANCE
18 0.00 Returns (in %) Equity-oriented mutual funds continued to find favour Performance* of Equity-Oriented Mutual Fund Categories Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Diversified Funds ELSS Global Funds Index Funds Sector Funds Source: ICRA Online Research; Data as of Sep-17; *Compound Annualised returns Key drivers: Benchmark index Sensex hovering above the 31,000 mark Implementation of goods and service tax creating a conducive environment for investors Expansion of Index of Industrial Production in Jul and Aug Positive impact of investor education programmes and soft performance of other asset classes ICRA Online Limited 18
19 Returns (in %) Returns (in %) Short term funds attracted investors amid rising savings account deposits Performance* of Short-Term Debt Oriented Categories Performance* of Long-Term Debt Oriented Categories Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years Liquid Funds Ultra Short-Term Funds Short-Term Funds Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Gilt Fund Income Fund Source: ICRA Online Research; Data as of Sep-17; *Compound annualised returns for periods 1 year; Simple annualised returns for <1 year Short term funds became the cynosure of market participants amid rising savings account deposits, triggered by demonetisation Long term papers posted subdued returns as five-month high retail inflation lowered probability of a rate-cut by MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) ICRA Online Limited 19
20 Section VI INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
21 In Rs. Crore MFs drove country s equity markets rather than foreign investors 150, ,033 FPI/FII & Mutual Fund Investment Trends in Equity Markets 110, ,000 50,000 79,723 40,281 65,041 54,912 52,977 76, ,000-5,279-22,678-20,925-14,171 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18TD FPI/FII MF Source: ICRA Online Research ICRA Online Limited 21
22 In % Large Caps commanded the largest share of assets 100% Investment Across Market Caps* 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Debt & Others Source: ICRA Online Research *On the basis of MFI market cap classification, only equity diversified funds were considered for analysis ICRA Online Limited 22
23 Bond/Debe nture Cash & Equivalents CD CP Gilt Gold Others REITs & InvITs SDL T Bill 3.76% 2.00% 3.15% 2.66% 2.62% 6.32% 6.59% 8.30% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.87% 1.29% 0.02% 4.53% 0.02% 5.43% 0.67% 10.24% 7.12% 8.49% 1.35% 0.33% 5.61% 0.00% 1.03% 14.32% In % 60.70% 70.97% 70.62% Instrument allocation pattern in debt segment 75% 50% 25% 0% Sep-17 Sep-16 Jun-17 Source: ICRA Online Research ICRA Online Limited 23
24 Average Maturity (In Years) Average maturity did not change much in Q2FY18 15 Average Maturity Trends in Income, Gilt Long-Term & Gilt Short-Term Funds Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Income Fund Gilt Long-Term Gilt Short-Term Source: ICRA Online Research ICRA Online Limited 24
25 Analysis of cash holding in last 12 months Category Sep-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 Jun-17 May-17 Apr-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Jan-17 Dec-16 Nov-16 Oct-16 Equity Specialty Gilt Liquid Balanced ETF Fund of Funds Dynamic/Asset Allocation Debt Source: ICRA Online Research Note: Numbers in the table denote the categories average percentage exposure to cash & cash equivalents; red denotes highest whereas dark green denotes lowest ICRA Online Limited 25
26 Section VII REGULATORY UPDATE
27 ICRA Online Limited Source: Media Reports Regulator remained vigilant SEBI categorised MF schemes under five different heads -- equity, debt, hybrid, solution-oriented and others -- in an effort to end duplication of schemes SEBI asked MF houses to benchmark equity schemes against total return index as the measure will exhibit a truer picture of the scheme s performance against its benchmark The government introduced a new Central Public Sector Enterprise ETF named Bharat 22 ETF (B22E) to be managed by ICICI Prudential Asset Management Co. Ltd. It will track the performance of 22 select companies disinvested by the government Association of Mutual Funds in India announced mutual funds will not be allowed to open any new folio without obtaining customers' Aadhaar numbers, with effect from Jan 1, 2018
28 Contact Information Saugat Acharya Atul Sharma Eshna Basu Disclaimer: All information contained herein is obtained by ICRA Online Limited ( ICRON ) from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. ICRON adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses is of sufficient quality and from sources ICRON considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, ICRON is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in preparing this document. All information contained herein must be construed solely as statements of opinion, and ICRA Online Limited or its affiliates or group companies and its respective and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, disclaim liability to any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this document or its contents in any manner or for any contingency within or beyond the control of, ICRON or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information. Opinions expressed in the document are not the opinions of our holding company, ICRA Limited (ICRA), and should not be construed as any indication of credit rating or grading of ICRA for any instruments that have been issued or are to be issued by any entity. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible and/or are liable for any decision taken on the basis of this document and/or the information contained herein. Readers are requested to click here for ICRON disclaimer -
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