Capricorn GEM Fund. Objective. Manager's Comments 7,5% 199,7 6,3% (11,1%) 99,7% 2,4% 189,3 89,3% (14,0%) 2,1% 6,9% 4,2% 89,8% 4,8% 7,0% (13,0%) 189,8

Transcription

1 Objective The Fund is a US Dollar denominated, moderate risk, equity long/short hedge fund, which aims to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns on an absolute basis over any 12 month period by investing in Global Emerging Markets. Capricorn comprises Capricorn Inc. and Capricorn L.P. CURRENT NAV PER SHARE 1 MONTH % YTD % 1 YEAR % ANNUALISED SINCE LAUNCH SINCE LAUNCH % Class A ($) 199,7 2, 6,3% (11,) 7,5% 99,7% Class B ( ) 189,3 2, 4,2% (14,) 6,9% 89,3% Class C ( ) 189,8 2,2% 4, (13,) 7, 89, Date: as at 31/08/2017 (net of fees). Source: Quintillion Limited & Capricorn Fund Managers (Pty) Ltd AUM of the Capricorn GEM Strategy: $133m. The Strategy consists of Capricorn Inc., Capricorn LP ($76m) and Lyxor/Capricorn UCITS Fund ($57m). Manager's Comments After a good July the GEM strategy continued to move up in August, rising 2. to take year to date performance to 6.3%. The core long book continued its strong run, up nearly year to date. EM performance has been driven by record $32.6bn of inflows this year aided by robust earnings, a weak dollar and strong commodity prices. We are starting to see more belief in the sustainability of this rally, which has mostly been driven by index heavyweights China, South Korea and Taiwan, but this could easily be deflated by a dollar reversal or an increase in geopolitical stress, particularly on the trade side. We are becoming open to the possibility that the economic and political situation may be bottoming in South Africa in relative terms. This sounds like a minor thing, but given the relative performance of the market and current liquidity conditions, under such a scenario we could see significant capital inflows despite further potential downgrades as asset allocators look for the pace of deterioration to slow versus a recovery. The top contributor in August was our core position in Vakrangee in India, which rose 16.6% on the month. Another Indian company, financial services innovator, Edelweiss, rose 2 taking its year to date performance to 15. India has weathered demonetisation and GST (value added taxation) well and we anticipate continued gains as structural reforms take root with Edelweiss one of the leading innovators in the sector. Two new shorts, one in a Chinese internet stock and one in a South American internet stock, were two of the top performers in the month. We have been building up our internet exposure this year and see significant future dispersion in returns amongst the space. Turkish defence contractor Aselsan continued to perform, adding another 12% to take it to 10 up for This is a classic Capricorn stock with strong secular tailwinds. One of these in the utility space is now our largest short in the fund and we are convinced more than ever on the merits of our short case. It is never pleasant when shorts go against you, but for some of these core names fundamentals continue to look challenging and after much team discussion given the low level of operational leverage in these names we feel comfortable waiting for these to roll over and return to historic relative and absolute valuations. Emerging Markets volatility remains at multi-year lows, but we have started to see some hot markets and stocks find a level where they are stabilising rather than pushing on. As growth-focused managers it is a nice environment to find winners, with our long book having comfortably erased its losses of 2016, but more difficult on the short side when low quality names go to premium valuations. We have avoided names with operational leverage and constantly examined the prospects for the components of our short book, which has now returned to the level it was at at the start of Further ETF inflows are possible as we appear to be in a period of synchronised global reflation, assuming the dollar remains weak and we can avoid political mishaps, but at this point we would expect a level of market rotation as certain momentum factors top out. We are adding some index level protection to dampen the effects of any sharp market term and remain highly liquid and cautious of key levels on our short positions, ready to increase them if we see a market break. Two Filipino names, Xurpas (-2 in the month) and D&L (-16% in the month) did the bulk of the damage in the period as the mid cap space continued to come under pressure. D&L was not helped by poor results, but the long term story is better than ever we believe. An Indonesian short increased to truly puzzling levels on the back of some hopeful domestic newspaper reports. This is unusual for such a structurally challenged company consistently missing expectations. Two Polish shorts continued to melt up as the WIG20 index took its year to date rally to 3.

2 Historical Monthly Returns - Class A (USD) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD % 2.5% (0.) (0.) (0.7%) (0.) (0.) (0.) 0.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% % 3.2% 0.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.7% % % (0.6%) 1.9% 3. (2.) (2.) (0.5%) 4.6% 0.6% % (1.) 2.6% 12.6% 0.2% 1.6% (0.5%) (0.6%) 0. (1.9%) (7.) 6.3% 0.2% (2.) (2.9%) % % (0.9%) (0.) 3.5% % 3.3% (0.7%) % % (1.5%) 1.6% (3.5%) 0.5% % % (1.6%) % (1.) (0.7%) % 3. (1.2%) (0.) 9.2% 0. (0.) 2. (1.) % 4.9% (0.) 3.7% 2.5% 3.5% % (5.2%) (3.2%) (4.9%) (6.5%) 7. (1.) (3.) 0. (0.) (2.9%) (9.6%) (4.) (29.) ,7% (1.) (0.) (0.9%) % Date: as at 31/08/2017 (net of fees). Source: Quintillion Limited & Capricorn Fund Managers (Pty) Ltd 1 6% 2% -2% - -6% Jun 08 Sep 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun 10 Sep 10 Dec 10 Mar 11 Jun 11 Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun 12 Sep 12 Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Jun 15 Sep 15 Dec 15 Mar 16 Jun 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 16 Monthly Return Cumulative Monthly Return

3 Frequency Distribution of Monthly Returns Since Inception Statistics Assets Under Management (USD) 76m 25% Gross exposure Net Exposure 22 2 % of positive months 62% 15% 1 % of negative months Average positive monthly return Average negative monthly return 3 2. (1.) 5% -6% + -6% to -5% -5% to - - to -3% -3% to -2% -2% to - - to to to 2% 2% to 3% 3% to to 5% 5% to 6% 6%+ Annualised monthly volatility (historic) Sharpe Ratio Maximum monthly drawdown Maximum cumulative drawdown 9.2% 0.8 (9.6%) (29.) Exposure Sector Exposure Financials Gross Net Country Exposure 4 1 (based on Revenue split of Invested Companies) Gross Net Industrials 35% 3 Asia Ex-China 8 33% Consumer Discretionary 3 Africa 63% 22% Consumer Staples 3 Middle East 3% Information Technology 25% Eastern Europe 1 () Materials 15% China 12% 9% Hedge 13% 5% Europe 1 Utilities 1 (1) South America () Energy 7% (3%) ROW 7% 2% Telecommunication Services () Russia 3% Health Care () North America Grand Total 22 Australia All data: Date: as at 31/08/2017 (net of fees). Source: Quintillion Limited & Capricorn Fund Managers (Pty) Ltd Grand Total 22

4 Capricorn

5 Important information ALL DATA: as at 31 August 2017 (net of fees) Source: Quintillion Limited & Capricorn Fund Managers (Pty) Ltd Important Notice: This document is prepared by Capricorn Fund Managers Limited ( CFM ) authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority ( FCA ) in the United Kingdom. The investment products and services of CFM are only available to persons who are professional clients and eligible counterparties as defined in FCA's rules. They are not available to retail clients. This document is not intended for distribution to, or use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. The fund referred to in this document is a Cayman Limited Partnership and has not been registered under the securities laws, or authorized or approved by any regulatory authority, of any other jurisdiction. The fund is an unregulated collective investment scheme for the purposes of the Financial Services and Markets Act UK Investors should be aware that the fund is not covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. In particular, this document is not intended for distribution in the United States or for the account of U.S. persons (as defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act )) except to persons who are qualified purchasers (as defined in the United States Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the Companies Act )) and accredited investors (as defined in Rule 501(a) under the Securities Act). This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer to buy or a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in the funds managed by CFM (the Funds ). Investment in the Funds managed by CFM carries significant risk of loss of capital and investors should carefully review the terms of the Funds offering documents for details of these risks. The prospectuses of the Funds are the only authorised documents for offering of shares of the Funds and may only be distributed in accordance with the laws and regulations of each appropriate jurisdiction in which any potential investor resides. Nothing described herein is intended to imply that an investment in the Funds is safe, conservative, risk free or risk averse. This document does not consider the specific investment objective, financial situation or particular needs of any investor and an investment in the Funds is not suitable for all investors. Investors are reminded that past performance should not be seen as an indication of future performance and that they might not get back the amount that they originally invested. The price of shares can go up as well as down and can be affected by changes in the rates of exchange. Performance information for the month of the document is net of all fees and expenses, the performance data disclosed is not audited. Comparison to the index where shown is for information only and should not be interpreted to mean that there is a correlation between the portfolio and the index. The views expressed in this document are the views of CFM at time of publication and may change over time. Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal tax or other advice nor is it to be relied upon in making an investment decision. No recommendation is made positive or otherwise regarding individual securities mentioned herein. CFM does not provide investment advice to clients for the purposes of the FCA's rules. No guarantee is made as to the accuracy of the information provided which has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this document is strictly confidential and is intended only for use of the person to whom CFM has provided the material. No part of this document may be divulged to any other person, distributed, and/or reproduced without the prior written permission of CFM. The representative in Switzerland is ARM Swiss Representatives SA, Route de Cité-Ouest 2, 1196 Gland, Switzerland. The paying agent in Switzerland is Banque Cantonale de Genève (BCGE) 17 quai de l'ile, 1204 Geneva, Switzerland. The Memorandum and the articles of association and annual financial statements of the Fund can be obtained free of charge from the representative in Switzerland. The place of performance and jurisdiction is the registered office of the representative in Switzerland with regards to the Participating Shares distributed in and from Switzerland.