Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance Conference

Transcription

1 Merrill Lynch Banking & Insurance Conference October 8, 2008 London Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer

2 Cautionary statement Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-gaap information This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-looking statements. A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including those we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press releases. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable laws. This presentation contains non-gaap financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-gaap financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found in Credit Suisse Group's second quarter report Slide 1

3 Remaining focused in challenging environment Credit Suisse positioned to benefit when markets turn Challenging third quarter operating environment Continue to implement our focused business strategy Positioned to create long-term value and seize opportunities that arise from market dislocation Slide 2

4 Competitive strengths of Credit Suisse s strategy Strong balance sheet strong risk reduction Strong capital position Substantial deposit base Secure funding profile Competitive funding costs Continue to reduce risk exposures Slide 3

5 Competitive strengths of Credit Suisse s strategy Strong balance sheet strong risk reduction Integrated model well suited to new competitive environment Good mix of stability and growth potential Private Banking: strong net new asset flows attracting best talent Investment Banking continues to transform good geographic diversification Greater focus on strengths in Asset Management Continued contribution from integrated bank activities Slide 4

6 Competitive strengths of Credit Suisse s strategy Strong balance sheet strong risk reduction Integrated model well suited to new competitive environment Capitalizing on growth opportunities Strong net new assets in Private Banking Good client flows in Investment Banking Exceptional opportunities to hire new talent Slide 5

7 Volatile market conditions during 3Q08 S&P 500 index 10-day volatility % in 3Q08 10-year average Jul-01 Jul-15 Jul-29 Aug-12 Aug-26 Sep-09 Sep-23 EUR/USD one-month implied volatility CDX investment grade index in basis points % in 3Q08 4-year average Jul-01 Jul-15 Jul-29 Aug-12 Aug-26 Sep-09 Sep-23 DJ AIG commodity index 30-day volatility % in 3Q08 10-year average % in 3Q08 10-year average 7 Jul-01 Jul-15 Jul-29 Aug-12 Aug-26 Sep-09 Sep Jul-01 Jul-15 Jul-29 Aug-12 Aug-26 Sep-09 Sep-23 Source: Bloomberg, all data through September 30, 2008 Slide 6

8 Credit Suisse has maintained strong capital position BIS Tier 1 ratio (Basel II) 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% Strong capital base as competitive advantage Continue to prudently manage our balance sheet, exposures and capital Our Tier 1 ratio of 10.2% makes us one of the best capitalized banks in the world 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Slide 7

9 Solid funding structure Asset and liabilities by category CHF bn at end of 2Q08 1,230 1,230 Long-term debt and term CD issuance USD bn CD Long-term debt Full-year long-term debt goal 25 CHF 541 bn Full-year CD goal 11 Assets Capital and liabilities Full year 2007 Year-to-date 2008 Slide 8

10 Funding mix: strong and stable deposit base Debt and deposit funding by type Total: CHF 541bn at end of 2Q08 Retail and private banking deposits CHF bn Adverse exchange rate movements of CHF 14bn Institutional deposits 3) 21% Long-term debt 2) 29% Retail & private banking deposits 1) 50% Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 1) Time, demand and saving deposits 2) Structured notes, long-term bonds and subordinated debt 3) Bank deposits, CDs, corporates Slide 9

11 Credit Suisse CDS spreads are at the low end of peers 5-year CDS spreads (senior debt) as of October 3, 2008 Basis points Peer 0 Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 9 Source: Bloomberg Credit Suisse Slide 10

12 Risk management discipline Most rapid reduction of exposures among peers CHF bn (exposures shown gross) Originationbased Tradingbased (exposures shown net) Leveraged finance (76)% Funded Unfunded Commercial mortgages 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Residential mortgages 1) CDO trading (US subprime related) 2) (67)% Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Subprime Other Q07 26 (58)% 19 (76)% Q08 2Q08 15 Subprime 1) All non-agency business, including higher quality segments (Alt-A and prime) 2) 2Q08 long positions are CHF 5.2 bn and short positions of CHF 4.1 bn Slide 11

13 Strong, stable balance sheet position Capital Deposit base Funding profile and spreads Asset quality All among the best in the industry Slide 12

14 We benefit from positive long-term growth trends in global Private Banking Long-term growth prospects for wealth managers remain intact Rise of emerging markets Generational transfers of wealth "Private investment banking" We are well positioned to face challenges and outperform competition Global presence and brand Strong balance sheet and capital Unique integrated bank approach Slide 13

15 Private Banking resilient through the cycle Private Banking pre-tax income CHF m 1,381 1,377 1,289 1,324 1,220 Gross margin on AuM in Wealth Mgmt basis points Transaction-based Recurring Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 AuM = client Assets under Management Slide 14

16 Wealth Management maintains strong NNA growth in 2008 Net new assets (NNA) growth on AuM 6% 8% 7% 6% 7% * * Annualized Net new assets in Wealth Management CHF bn H 1H H08 AuM in Wealth Management CHF bn % CAGR June-08 AuM = client Assets under Management Slide 15

17 Private Banking: ongoing global diversification Continued turnaround and growth in the US Accelerated growth in Western Europe Continued investment in Eastern Europe & Russia India onshore launched China onshore established Mexico onshore in preparation Expanded presence in Brazil (Hedging- Griffo) Gulf: Leverage integrated bank Relationship managers (RMs) at year-end 2,540 3,140 4,100 Japan onshore in preparation Australia onshore launched Goal 2010 Slide 16

18 Private Banking: our flagship franchise Results have shown resilience despite market dislocation Strong asset gathering and hiring trends across all regions Continue to invest in business and implement international growth strategy Private Banking offers unique growth prospects within the financial services industry Slide 17

19 Investment Banking strategy in the new environment Ongoing diversification of revenues leading to reduction in volatility Continued focus on diversifying business and increasing client-based revenues progress in equity cash, prime services and equity derivatives Increasing capital efficiency and reducing risk capital down 15 percent from the end of 2007 Continued focus on efficiency and expense management We will continue to aggressively and dynamically transform the business model Slide 18

20 Growth of less correlated and innovative businesses Prime services quarterly revenue growth +68% Equity derivatives quarterly revenue growth +7% 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Electronic trading quarterly revenue growth 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Life finance quarterly revenue growth +47% +201% 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Slide 19

21 Reallocation of headcount to less correlated growth businesses Correlation of revenues 1) High Med. High High Low Med. Med. Low % change in headcount from 2Q07 to 2Q08 (68%) RMBS (52%) CDOs (40%) CMBS (23%) Lev. Finance Prime Svcs. 12% Equity Derivs. 27% Commodities 57% Life Finance 102% 1) Based on historic results and long-term expectations Slide 20

22 Focus on growing client revenues Client revenues from 1Q06 to 2Q08 +39% 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 Client revenues = Estimates of the client-related value inherent in trading and sales transactions as well as fees and other amounts which can be directly associated with client activity. Slide 21

23 Market dislocation has created opportunities Example: Significant market share increase in RMBS agency business US mortgage-backed securities Residential Federal Credit Agencies 2007 Volume Market Company (USD bn) Rank share (%) JP Morgan Chase Lehman Brothers Merrill Lynch Morgan Stanley RBS Credit Suisse Banc of America Citigroup UBS Deutsche Bank Year-to-date 2008 Volume Market Company (USD bn) Rank share (%) Credit Suisse JP Morgan Chase Barclays Capital Lehman Brothers Merrill Lynch RBS Banc of America Deutsche Bank Citigroup UBS Source: Thomson Financial Slide 22

24 Rebalancing Investment Banking ERC ERC change by business from year-end 2007 to June 30, 2008 % change from year-end % -9.9% (15)% ERC = Economic Risk Capital -7.4% -2.0% -1.6% -1.2% +2.8% +1.5% +0.2% +2.2% 2007 LevFin CMBS Prop Trading CDOs ABS / Conduits Comm. Equity Derivatives Life Finance Other June 08 Slide 23

25 Credit Suisse Investment Banking headcount amongst the lowest in peer group Investment Banking headcount at 30 June 2007 Investment Banking headcount at 30 June ,000 30,000 25,000 Peer average 25,000 Peer average 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 0 CS Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 0 Peer 1 CS Peer 3 Peer 6 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 2 Peer 7 Note: Based on Credit Suisse estimates Slide 24

26 Disciplined cost management in Investment Banking Other operating expenses General & Administration expenses per head 1) CHF m CHF 000's 2,286 2,178 1) 2, (5)% 1) 149 (13)% 6M07 6M08 6M07 6M08 1) Excluding net litigation credit of CHF 134 m in 2Q08 Slide 25

27 Investment Banking strategy in the new environment Long standing strategy to reduce volatility Diversifying revenues and increasing client-based revenues Increasing capital efficiency and reducing ERC Continued focus on efficiency and expense management We will continue to aggressively and dynamically transform the business model Slide 26

28 Continued geographic diversification Credit Suisse 2007 net revenues by region 1) Global Footprint in CHF bn and up/down in % vs % +15% 9.6bn 10.4bn 4.0bn +23% 11.1bn +11% Switzerland APAC Americas EMEA Russia Ukraine Czech Republic Wroclaw Frankfurt Toronto Zurich Montreal London Paris San Francisco Boston Milan Los Angeles Chicago Irvine New York Madrid Atlanta Dallas Miami Houston Nassau Monterrey Cayman Islands Mexico City Bogotá Santiago Rio de Janeiro São Paulo Montevideo Buenos Aires Kazakhstan South Africa Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong Bangkok Karachi New Philippines U.A.E. Delhi Mumbai Malaysia Qatar Singapore Kuala Lumpur Jakarta Perth Tokyo Sydney Melbourne APAC = Asia / Pacific, EMEA = Europe, Middle East and Africa 1) Based on Core Results before Corporate Center Slide 27

29 Continue to focus on achieving integration benefits; 2010 target collaboration revenues of over CHF 10 bn Core and collaboration revenues Collaboration revenues share (%) 1) CHF bn Core revenues 1) (different scale) Collaboration revenues % 16% 15% 16% M08 1) Excludes valuation reductions and fair value gains/losses on own debt of total CHF 3.0 bn and CHF 5.4 bn in 2007 and 1H08, respectively Avg. qtr 2006 Avg. qtr Q08 2Q08 Slide 28

30 Competitive strengths of Credit Suisse s strategy Strong balance sheet good risk reduction Business model well suited to new competitive environment Capitalizing on growth opportunities Positioned to create long-term value and seize opportunities that arise from market dislocation Slide 29

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