MnDOT Highway Construction Outlook
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1 MnDOT Highway Construction Outlook Mark Gieseke MnDOT Office of Capital Programs & Performance Measures Minnesota Transportation Alliance November 1, 2012
2 MnDOT Highway Construction Outlook Forecast Accuracy Stock market 45% College basketball scores 70% Weather forecasts 80% Projects in the first year of the STIP 90%
3 MnDOT Highway Construction Outlook
4 The Minnesota STIP has been developed using programs specified in SAFETEA-LU. With the passage of MAP-21, programs and funding distributions have changed Changes to the program in 2014 to 2016 are anticipated October 1, 2012 STIP Cover Letter
5 MnDOT Highway Construction Outlook 1. State Road Construction Spending Outlook 2. Special Programs 3. Looking to the Future
6 MnDOT Construction Spending Outlook Funding by Source (in millions of dollars)
7 State Road Construction Program by Year including Bond Funds (millions) TOTAL* FEDERAL FUNDS Formula ,045 High Priority Projects Other Federal Advance Construction SUBTOTAL* ,598 STATE FUNDS Trunk Highway ,184 Bond Funds TOTAL* 1, ,305 *May not total correctly due to rounding
8 State Road Construction Program by Year and Program including Bond Funds (millions) DISTRICT/ ATP TOTAL* SUBTOTAL* ,940 METRO ,290 MISC TOTAL* 1, ,305 *May not total correctly due to rounding
9 MnDOT Construction Outlook 2012 Outlook compared to 2013 Outlook
10 Special Programs
11 Chapter 152 Bridge Projects Funding Source: Transportation Bonds Federal and State Funds Timeframe: 2009 to Projects (incl. Cayuga) Projects(incl. St. Croix) projects (incl. Winona) projects (incl. Kennedy)
12 Interchange Bond Program ( ) Funding Source: Transportation Bonds Timeframe: SFY TH 13 At CSAH 5 in Burnsville Sep 2012 Letting TH 169 At 93 rd in Brooklyn Park Oct 2012 Letting
13 Chapter 152 Bond Utilization with the Advancement of Bonds by State Fiscal Year (millions) Fiscal Year Total 1) Bridges ) State-wide Transit Facilities Impv't ) Metro Interchange ) Greater MN Interchange ) Dist 7 Legislative Priority (TH 60 Bigelow to Worthington ) Pavement/Safety ) 169/ ) Governor's Inititative Total Bonds Appropriated Bonds Remaining Preservation Project Savings 50 Bridge Project Savings 90 7 Less: Additional Commitments Flood Prevention TH 53 Realignment 60 Better Road for Minnesota Bonds Remaining
14 Transportation Economic Development (TED) Interchange Program First Solicitation Funding Source: Transportation Bonds - $25M (Chapter 388) Timeframe: One-time solicitation in 2011 Second Solicitation Funding Source: State Road Construction - $5 M Timeframe: One-time solicitation in 2012
15 Transportation Economic Development Program MnDOT financial resources have been leveraged through outside ventures with DEED as well as local partners
16 Safety and Mobility Interchange Program (SaM) Funding Source: Transportation Bonds - $45 M (Chapter 388) Timeframe: One-time solicitation in 2011 Metro Projects: TH Scott CSAH 69, Shakopee Nov 2013 Letting Greater Minnesota Projects: TH Goodhue CSAH 24, Cannon Falls Jan 2013 Letting TH Benton CSAH 2, Rice Feb 2013 Letting
17 Long-Term Sustainability for Flood-Prone Highways Funding Source: Transportation Bonds - $40M to $50M Timeframe: 2011 to 2016 February 2011 Solicitation $20 M January 2012 Solicitation $26.4 M District 1: $0.9 M District 2: $7.4 M District 3: $0.4 M District 4: $0.9 M District 6: $0.9 M District 7: $8.1 M District 8: $0.9 M Metro: $20.0 M State Match (ER): $1.4 M
18 Better Roads for a Better Minnesota Funding Source: Federal, State and Bond Funds - $332M Timeframe: 2012 to 2015 SFY 2012: $144M (+$11M*) SFY 2013: $84M (+$7M*) SFY 2014: $73M (+$6M*) SFY 2015: $31M (+$2M*) (*Construction Delivery)
19 American Recovery & Reinvestment Act (ARRA) (September 2012 Update) $506M and 228 projects authorized for letting $506M and 228 projects under contract/ construction $496M expended to date and 214 projects completed
20 Corridor Investment Management Strategy (CIMS) A collaborative process between MnDOT and local, modal, and state partners Identifies and prioritizes investment opportunities Seeks a high return-on-investment given constrained resources. Anticipates $30 million for a competitive solicitation in 2013
21 Construction Projects in Calendar Years By Program Program Number of Projects Cost in Millions Bridge Replacement 38 $638 Major Construction Reconstruction Recondition Resurface TOTAL 155 $1,255
22 MnDOT Construction Projects in Calendar Years 2013 and 2014 Calendar Year Total Number of Projects Cost in Millions $848 $407 $1,255
23 Construction Projects in Next Twelve Months Estimate Cost > $15 Million Hwy Description Cost Estimate E Construction of a new interchange between in Benton on CSAH 2 and Hwy 10. The at-grade intersection has a history of severe and fatal crashes. Construct of a diamond interchange and a second overpass to replace the two signalized intersections on Trunk Highway 52 in Cannon Falls. Major bridge replacement along Pennsylvania interchange with interchange at Cayuga to solve safety and operational problems, geometric improvements on 35E, reconstruction of 35E, lane addition on 35E Reconstruction of frontage roads and intersections in Oak Park Heights. West of Junction 95 near lookout trail. Major river bridge replacement, two intersections, one interchange in Minnesota; one interchange and one overpass in Wisconsin. Construction of a four lane roadway and new bridge from CSAH 5 in Butterfield to 700 th Ave. in St. James
24 System Performance Trends 3.3% of Bridges in poor condition. A slight increase from 2010, but is projected to improve the close to the 2% target in 2015 Minnesota Road Fatalities were 368, down from 408 in This is the lowest number of fatalities in a generation. 98% of interregional trips on IRCs can be driven at target speed. Metro congestion fell to 21% in 2011 compared to 21.5% in Congestion is expected to grow as economic activity increases Pavement in poor condition declined to 6.6% in 2011 compared to 5.2% in Increased investment through MnDOT s Better Roads program and in response to MAP-21 will slow deterioration, though pavement is still expected to decline to 8.6% poor in 2016.
25 Looking to the Future
26 Minnesota State Highway Investment Plan 2013 to
27 Current Trunk Highway System Investments
28
29 20-Year Revenue Estimate
30 Inflation Impact on Future SRC Revenue
31 Minnesota State Highway Investment Plan
32 Questions
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