Accounting for flows of emissions units
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1 Accounting for flows of emissions units Andrew Prag (OECD) and Christina Hood (IEA) CCXG Global Forum 19 Sept 2013, session 5b Climate Change Expert Group
2 Overview Life cycle of an emissions unit Which units matter for UNFCCC accounting? Understanding double counting Period of application of target Options for tracking and reporting requirements 2 Climate Change Expert Group
3 Life cycle of units: scope of UNFCCC accounting Domestic and/or UNFCCC UNFCCC Creation of units: design and governance of market mechanisms Tracking of unit transactions: unit registries and reporting Accounting for unit movements within national targets/goals FVA FVA? Reporting reqs? Influence of accounting framework on mechanism design and tracking 3 Climate Change Expert Group
4 Which units matter, and how to account for net flows of units? Two conditions under which units matter for UNFCCC accounting: Used by a Party as counting directly towards a target under UNFCCC Could include credits (offsets) AND allowance units from domestic emissions trading systems Three key challenges: How to know in advance which units Parties may count towards pledges? + Originating outside the boundary of that target (geographic, scope or temporal) How to address double claiming of units towards more than one country target Does the target s period of application matter? 4 Climate Change Expert Group
5 Double counting Double issuance = more than one unit issued for the same emissions reductions. What incentives could/should there be to ensure those issuing allowances take care to avoid this? Double claiming against pledges/targets = same emissions reductions used by two jurisdictions (one via inventory, other via units) Double selling = same unit sold more than once and used towards emissions obligations What tracking arrangements are needed to preclude this? (e.g. common serial numbers? Reporting of all issuance/retirement of units that are valid for international pledges?) 5 Climate Change Expert Group
6 Double claiming example Party A -10Mt 10Mt Party B Inventory granularity? Emissions 100Mt Mt Emissions 100Mt Mt If Party A DOES NOT account for export but Party B DOES account for import, then: Declared total = = 190Mt, Combined emissions inventory total = = 200Mt 6 Climate Change Expert Group
7 Addressing double claiming If net export of units is not accounted for by selling country, then if units are purchased and used by another country there is overlap of country pledges reduced mitigation effort globally could impact mutual trust Tracking of unit flows allows ex-post reconciliation, could avoid double counting of global mitigation ex-post Avoiding or minimising double claiming ex-ante would require restrictions on how pledges are expressed and/or unit use. 7 Climate Change Expert Group
8 Pledges defined as single-year or multiple-year targets Annual unit purchases Multiple Year Target Mt 90Mt Actual reported inventory emissions 2030 inventory 80Mt 2030 target Units purchased for each year of multi-year target Multi-year target avoids risk that emissions in single target year are unrepresentative of general trend 8 Climate Change Expert Group
9 Impact of a single year target Single Year Target Mt 90Mt 80Mt Actual inventory emissions Purchase 10MT offsets 2030 inventory emissions 2030 target If units only bought to cover 2030 emissions, overall abatement is less than for multi-year target Total abatement less certain ex-ante Gets complex when we think about vintages 9 Climate Change Expert Group
10 Options for tracking and reporting requirements Ex-ante clarity on expected total abatement and national goals Overall objective Ex-post transparency on total abatement and national goals Option A Option B Option C Prohibit double claiming (could lead countries to redefine pledge numbers) Quantify double claiming (limits, or ex-ante estimates) Ex post reporting of unit flows No unit use toward single-year targets Central tracking (technical + policy check) Quantify unit use toward single-year targets Opt-in to central tracking No central tracking 10 Climate Change Expert Group
11 Questions for discussion What are the implications of different types of commitments for the transfer of units e.g. with national commitments defined as single-year targets as opposed to multiple-year targets? What do we need to know about post-2020 commitments to avoid or minimise double claiming of market units as counting towards the pledge of more than one country? What do we need to know about domestic market mechanisms if their units may be counted towards national commitments under UNFCCC? 11 Climate Change Expert Group
12 What market units might count towards a national pledge? Country A Country B Total emissions Scope of pledge Total emissions Scope of pledge Credits (domestic) Scope of ETS Allowances Scope of ETS Banked/ borrowed allowances Future and past ETS periods Crediting mech Crediting mech ETS allowances may originate outside pledge (temporal or geographic) 12 Climate Change Expert Group
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