Corporate Presentation Fall 2018

Transcription

1 Corporate Presentation Fall 2018

2 Forward-looking and cautionary statements This Presentation on behalf of KP Tissue Inc. (the Corporation or KPT ) does not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any securities nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this Presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive. This Presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, further distributed or published in whole or in part by any other person. Neither this Presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into or distributed any other jurisdiction which prohibits the same except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of securities law. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of the directors, officers or employees of any such entities as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this Presentation and no responsibility or liability is accepted by any person for such information or opinions. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company does not undertake or agree to any obligation to provide the attendees with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation that may become apparent. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date of this Presentation. The contents of this Presentation are not to be construed as legal, financial or tax advice. Each person receiving this Presentation should contact his, her or its own legal adviser, independent financial adviser or tax adviser for legal, financial or tax advice. Certain statements in this presentation about the Corporation and Kruger Products L.P. ( KPLP ) as it relates to their current and future plans, expectations and intentions, results, levels of activity, performance, goals or achievements or any other future events or developments constitute forward-looking statements. The words may, will, would, should, could, expects, plans, intends, trends, indications, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, likely or potential or the negative or other variations of these words or other comparable words or phrases, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking information is based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by the Corporation or KPLP, including, but not limited to, items such as the potential construction of the TAD2 Project and its cost, the anticipated capacity of TAD2 and the benefits of TAD2 and the cost of capital under the Financings; KPLP s expansion efforts in U.S. premium private label and in the U.S. for the White Cloud brand; and KPLP s future business strategy. The forward-looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by the Corporation or KPLP, including expectations and assumptions concerning the on-time and on-budget construction of TAD2. Although the Corporation and KPLP believe that the expectations and assumptions on which such forwardlooking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information since no assurance can be given that such expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements made herein. The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly qualified in its entirety by this cautionary statement. The forward-looking information contained herein is made as of the date of this presentation and the Corporation undertakes no obligation to publicly update such forward-looking information to reflect new information, subsequent or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws. Unless otherwise stated, references in this presentation to market shares or KPLP s market leadership are based on Nielsen dollar market share data and management estimates. 2

3 Corporate Structure *As of September 30, 2018 (15.8% as of November 7, 2018) 3

4 Kruger Products Overview 1 Canada s Leading Tissue Company 2 Strong Customer Relationships Reinforced by Compelling Retail Proposition 3 Broad Manufacturing Infrastructure 4 Solid Cash Flow Generation 5 Prudent Growth Strategy 6 Experienced Management Team with Demonstrated Track Record 4

5 Kruger Products Overview Largest tissue products company in Canada representing 33% of all tissue and 45% of all branded volume #1 branded tissue company in Canada and 7 th largest in North America $1.3 billion in sales in 2017 Diversified portfolio across Canada & US, Private Label & Branded, Consumer & Away-From-Home (AFH) Large manufacturing footprint 7 plants, 13 paper machines, 79 converting lines Capabilities in structured, conventional and recycled paper ~2,500 employees 5

6 2017 Year to date KPLP Revenue Breakdown Segment Split Geographic Split Away-From-Home 17% Other 1% Mexico 6% U.S.A. 35% Consumer 82% Canada 59% Segment Split Geographic Split Away-From-Home 18% Other 1% Mexico 4% U.S.A. 35% Consumer 81% Canada 61% Note: Based on 2017 revenue 6

7 Financial Performance Trend Revenue Adjusted EBITDA (1) Adjusted EBITDA Margin (1) Operating Income (1) Non-GAAP measure see MD&A for the definition and reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure 7

8 Canada s Leading Tissue Company Bathroom Tissue Facial Tissue Paper Towel #1 34.8% #1 31.5% #2 21.8% 18.7% 19.0% 11.5% 11.3% 0.7% 34.7% 2.7% 18.3% 1.4% Source: Nielsen; dollar market share for the 52-week period ended September 15,

9 Brand Leadership Position #1 Bathroom Tissue #1 Facial Tissue #2 Paper Towel 34.8% 35.0% 34.7% 35.0% 36.2% 37.1% 36.3% 34.8% 30.2% 31.9% 33.2% 31.4% 32.7% 31.4% 31.4% 31.5% 21.9% 23.7% 24.3% 24.9% 24.7% 24.1% 22.6% 21.8% Source: Nielsen Canadian dollar market share for 52-week period data represents the latest 12 months ending September 15,

10 Canada s Favourite Tissue Brands No.1 Bathroom Tissue Market leader since 2000 Purex 32.0% share in the West Cashmere 35% share in the East No.1 Facial Tissue Market leader since 2005 Scotties 31.3% market share No.2 Paper Towel Market position since 2004 SpongeTowels 21.8% market share 10

11 Leading AFH in Canada, growing in the US across multiple segments Other Essity Kimberly Clark Cascades KPLP Management estimate of AFH market share 11

12 Strong Customer Relations / Recognition Highlights Ranked #1 CPG supplier, Industry Survey for 6 th Consecutive Year Vendor of the Year 2 years in a row United Grocers Inc. Best Supplier Award (3 times in the last 4 years) 16 Marketing Awards Won in

13 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Pulp Input Prices Q market pulp prices rose sequentially (NBSK +6.4% and BEK +1.4% in CAD) compared to Q2 2018, and also year-over-year, in both USD and CAD. Based on industry forecasts, pulp prices in USD are expected to remain high for the balance of 2018 and into The volatile CAD will create further fluctuations in pulp input costs. NBSK North American List Prices per MT (Q % YOY in CAD) BEK List Prices per MT (Q % YOY in CAD) $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 RISI USD RISI CAD RISI USD RISI CAD (USD average 1.31 in Q compared to 1.26 in Q3 2017) 13

14 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Index Freight Cost Index Freight costs have risen significantly since the beginning of 2017 and reached an all-time high in Q Management expects these costs to remain high for the balance of Cass Truckload Linehaul Index (Q % YOY) The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index is an accurate, timely indicator of market fluctuations in per-mile truckload pricing. The index isolates the linehaul component of full truckload costs from other components (e.g. fuel and accessorials), providing an accurate reflection of trends in baseline truckload prices. Data within this unique index is derived from actual freight invoices paid on behalf of Cass clients. The index uses January 2005 as its base month Source: Cass Information Systems, Inc. 14

15 Price Increase and Cost Reductions Price increase New price increase announced in Canada Consumer business in July 2018 to take effect in Q4 Price increases also expected to impact AFH and US private label markets starting in Q NBSK pulp prices rose 30% since the previous July 2017 selling price increase announcement. Value creation program Value added program to be much larger in scope and size compared to the past Smart cost reduction program with no impact on quality aimed at: Warehousing cost reduction Portfolio mix improvement Operating efficiency improvement in the mills Optimizing the production network SG&A cost reduction We are continuing to make significant progress in this program. 15

16 Stable Underlying Demand for Consumer Tissue Tissue demand has been relatively stable over time Demand typically supported by overall population growth and high household penetration rates Total Consumer Retail Sales in Canada C$ millions Bathroom Tissue Paper Towels Facial Tissue CAGR: 2.2% $1,270 $278 $268 $1,358 $1,395 $293 $298 $288 $300 $1,488 $1,479 $1,493 $1,482 $1,499 $1,534 $1,545 $1,563 $1,573 $1,636 $1,676 $311 $301 $302 $295 $297 $298 $293 $294 $292 $300 $305 $309 $307 $318 $324 $337 $340 $351 $358 $361 $389 $406 $724 $777 $797 $868 $871 $873 $863 $865 $895 $901 $911 $920 $947 $ Source: Nielsen 16

17 U.S. Tissue Demand is Stable U.S. demand for tissue products has grown consistently at a CAGR of 1.4% from CAGR of 1.6% expected from 2017E to 2026E Consumer represents ~67% of U.S. tissue demand AFH has shown similar growth to consumer segment; typically greater sensitivity to economic cycles Private label volume continues to gain share, rising from 18% in 2008 to over 28% by 2016 Greater acceptance since the economic downturn particularly in the towels and napkins segments Increasing emphasis on quality likely to support growth Total U.S. Tissue Demand Volume (millions of mt) to 2026E U.S. Tissue Demand Segments by Volume CAGR: 1.4% E 2026E CAGR: 1.6% 9.8 Facial / Hankies 5% Napkins 11% Sanitary / Other 1% Toilet Tissue 45% E 2026E Paper Towels 38% Source: RISI Source: RISI 17

18 Strategic Plan V I S I O N To be the most trusted, best loved tissue company in North America M I S S I O N Making everyday life more comfortable Drive Strong Revenue, Profit and Shareholder Value Build our Consumer Muscle Expand in US/Mexico Build Efficient Supply Chain Evolve Customer Strategy Winning Team & Culture Build Brand & Share Ramp up innovation Increase consumer insights Increase brand investment Evolve digital/ethnic connections Improve product quality Build PL customer partnerships Create new Mexico operating model Increase consumer & shopper insights Increase capacity and capabilities Build branded presence Total safety culture Reduce total delivered cost Invest in premium capacity (TAD) Simplify sku portfolio Enhance S&OP process Deliver Sustainability 2020 Revise pricing strategy to build baseline sales Drive more efficient go to market strategy Create strategic pricing model Win in Ecommerce Leverage strategic PL supply to build category Develop a Consumer centric tissue culture Robust succession performance & development strategy Strengthen diversity & inclusion Close key skill gaps 18

19 TAD2 Project Overview 1 Site location in Sherbrooke, Quebec in the Brompton area Total cost of C$575 million Anticipate output of approximately 70,000 metric tonnes per annum Designed to allow paper towels to be manufactured at very high speeds Financial return of project driven by: new volume capitalizing on the expanded towel manufacturing capability creating manufacturing efficiencies with TAD1 machine for the US market Ability to leverage the advantages created from the TAD1 project in Memphis Project will take 27 months from permitting through construction to start-up, which is expected in early 2021 A Canadian flagship for innovation, clean manufacturing technology and sustainable products 1 Please refer to MD&A for more information on TAD2 Project in the Business Highlights section. 19

20 TAD2 Project Financing Overview 1 Financing structure expected to be non-dilutive to KPT shareholders Newly-created, wholly-owned subsidiary of KPLP, Kruger Products Sherbrooke Inc. (KPSI) owns and operates the TAD2 Project Financed by 60% debt ($345 million) and 40% equity ($230 million) 40% equity component is comprised of: $125 million from KPLP ~$63 million of long-term senior secured fixed debt (US$48.8 million facility at 3.74%) ~$62 million from accounts receivable factoring (facility up to $50 million) and cash $105 million from convertible debenture with Investissement Québec with a capitalized fixed interest rate of 3% on a 10-year term Debt facility for the TAD2 Project of US$188 million fixed rate term loan and $111 million floating rate term loan, plus revolving loans of US$10 million and $12.5 million Weighted average cost of capital for TAD2 financing of $575 million is expected to be in the 5-7% range Existing KTG debt of US$147 million was refinanced with maturity on December 31, Quarterly principal repayments starting on March 31, Maximum fixed interest rate of 7.3% compared to 13-15% range under the prior KTG debt financing structure related to TAD1 TAD2 and KTG (i.e. TAD1) financings are both non-recourse to KPLP 1 Please refer to MD&A for more information on TAD2 Project in the Business Highlights section and press release issued on November 19,

21 Network Optimization GOAL Using a third party consultant to undertake a comprehensive review of our network to drive down costs and increase capacity. SCOPE All current manufacturing sites including AFH. FOCUS Priority will be on: OEE Yield Waste Freight & Warehousing TIMING Opportunity identification: Q Opportunity realization: starting in Q

22 Millions CAPEX CAPEX, including TAD2 Project $90 $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 TAD CAPEX total estimated at $70 to $80 million, including $30 to $35 million related to TAD2 Q CAPEX of $7.5 million, down from $12.5 million in Q due to PM8 $30 $20 $ F YTD CAPEX of approximately $15 million related to TAD2 Project 22

23 AFH Segment Resetting the AFH business to create a more efficient manufacturing and logistics footprint: Weak results have been impacted by high pulp and freight costs, and a very competitive environment Select price increases with contract renewals, however market remains highly price competitive Absorbs an important amount of fixed costs In progress with a multi-year CAPEX program to improve manufacturing and logistics costs. Reset will allow AFH business to become more competitive Capacity utilization decisions benefitting Consumer business have had a negative impact on AFH Undertaking a company-wide network optimization initiative, expected to yield benefits in 2019 Continued pressures will impact AFH business for the remainder of 2018 and

24 White Cloud to Pursue Expansion in the U.S. White Cloud was exclusive to Walmart in the U.S. until two years ago White Cloud benefits from a strong brand name recognition in the U.S. and continues to be recognized as the #1 bathroom tissue White Cloud restage in 2019 New Positioning & Support AFH Branding 24

25 Sustainability Efforts Deliver Impact -8.8% -23% Target -15% Reduction 1 vs Target -27% Reduction 1 vs % -28% Target -35% Reduction 1 vs Target -50% OSHA vs Intensity Basis 25

26 Q Financial Highlights $348.4 M 3.6% * Revenue over 2017 Revenues increased in the U.S. and Mexico, but slightly decreased in Canada. $28.3 M 28.2% Adjusted EBITDA 1 over 2017 Primarily due to significantly higher pulp and freight costs. Up 6% from $26.7 million in Q % Canada + 5.8% U.S. $4.2 M Net Income over 2017 Net income of $4.2 million compared to $16.5 million last year, and $1.6 million in Q * Includes 70.6% increase in revenues for Mexico to $23.6 million, which is a low contribution business. 1 Non-GAAP measure see MD&A for the definition and reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure. 26

27 Balance Sheet (Million CAD$, unless otherwise noted) Q Q Cash and Bank Indebtedness Current Portion of Long-term Debt* Long-term Debt** Net Debt LTM Adjusted EBITDA Net Debt/LTM Adjusted EBITDA * At the end of Q3, the Caisse Facility was classified as short-term debt, resulting in a working capital deficit. The Partnership has since refinanced this debt under a longterm facility in its KTG subsidiary with a fixed rate at a maximum of 7.3%, and has repaid the Caisse Facility. ** On April 24, 2018, Kruger Products issued CDN $125 million principal amount of 6.00% Senior Unsecured Notes due April 24, 2025 by way of private placement. Interest on the Notes is payable semi-annually in arrears on April 24 th and October 24 th of each year, commencing on October 24, Kruger Products used the net proceeds of the financing to reduce the outstanding balance under its syndicated bank credit facility and to pay transaction costs associated with the Offering. 1 Non-GAAP measure see MD&A for the definition and reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure. 27

28 Conclusion Despite this difficult cost environment in 2018, we are undertaking several key initiatives that will strengthen our business over the longer term, and reinforce our leadership position in the market: Continue to build revenue, grow market share and secure our private label support New price increase in Canada consumer business started to take effect in Q Initiated an escalated value creation program in 2018 to partially offset extraordinary short-term market conditions related to pulp and freight costs Undertaking a network optimizing program to benefit 2019 and beyond Continue to leverage TAD products market potential with successful startup of TAD2 Resetting the AFH business with multi-year program to create a more efficient manufacturing footprint In the U.S., continue to build the premium private label business and pursue White Cloud brand repositioning KPLP continues to have strong long-term business fundamentals. However, due to continued pressure from high input costs Q Adjusted EBITDA 1 is expected to be significantly lower than Q Non-GAAP measure see MD&A for the definition and reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure. 28

29 29