IS Morning Report Sunday, May 13, 2018

Transcription

1 # Global & Regional Benchmarks # UAE Trading Summary Indices Close 1Day 1Mnth 3Mnth YTD 1Y (AEDm) BUY SELL NET ADX 4, % -5.4% -3.2% 0.9% -3.7% ADX DFM 2, % -8.0% -13.2% -14.5% -15.7% Local 38% 44% -6% TASI 7, % 1.4% 8.0% 9.5% 15.0% Foreign 62% 56% 6% KWSEI 1, % -1.4% -4.7% -4.6% -2.8% EGX 17, % -4.4% 15.7% 14.2% 32.9% Dow Jones 24, % 1.9% -0.3% 0.5% 18.8% S&P 500 2, % 2.7% 1.1% 2.0% 14.1% Nasdaq 7, % 4.2% 3.6% 7.2% 20.9% FTSE 100 7, % 6.3% 7.1% 0.5% 3.9% DAX 13, % 4.5% 5.4% 0.6% 1.8% CAC40 5, % 4.3% 7.3% 4.3% 2.5% Nikkei225 22, % 4.5% 7.6% 0.0% 14.5% HIS 31, % 1.0% 2.0% 4.0% 23.7% Institutional 61% 72% -11% Retail 39% 28% 11% DFM Local 61% 62% -1% Foreign 39% 38% 1% Institutional 34% 45% -11% Retail 66% 55% 11% Total Local 55% 57% -2% Foreign 45% 43% 2% # Upcoming Corporate Actions & Events Date Company Event 13-May GFH Board Meeting 13-May Julphar Board Meeting 14-May Amanat Board Meeting 14-May Aldar Board Meeting 14-May Gulf Nav Board Meeting

2 # Key Stories Waha Capital 1Q18 total income increased 18.9 percent year on year to mln. Waha capital says q1 profit rises on performance by company s asset management division and disposal of 3.77 million shares in Aercap. Q1 net profit 107 million dirhams UNB 1Q 18 net profit mln dirhams vs mln dirhams year ago. 1Q18 net interest income mln dirhams vs mln dirhams year ago U.S., UAE Are Said to Sign Deal to Resolve Airline Fight Dana Said to Reach Deal With Main Holders of $700 Million Sukuk OPEC in no hurry to decide if extra oil needed to offset Iran Saudi banks plan U.S. dollar bonds despite ample liquidity Saudi's Bupa Arabia Q1 Profit Rises Nama Chemicals swung to a 28.2 million riyal ($7.5 million) profit in the first quarter from a year-earlier loss. The stock soared 9.6 percent in its heaviest trade since May 2014 Savola swung to a loss in the first quarter, hit by lower sales in the food and retail sectors and a higher share of losses at an associate Bahrain launches $1 bln energy fund Egypt's Sovereign Rating Raised by S&P on Economic Revival Ghabbour Auto First Quarter Net Income 33.5 Mln Pounds Egypt signs MOU with China's GCL for $2 bln solar panel factory Telecom Egypt To Acquire MENA Cable, Obtain USD Credit Facilities # Key Global Trends // Market Clues The U.S. dollar eased on Friday while an index of global stock performance gained and was poised for its best week since early March, as moderate inflation eased worries about a faster pace of U.S. interest rate hikes and boosted risk appetite. Crude prices fell in a see-saw session on Friday, retreating after early gains as it looked likely that U.S. allies would push to maintain a deal with Iran, which could keep that country's crude exports on global markets. In another sign global supplies could rise further, data in the afternoon showed U.S. crude producers added 10 rigs in the latest week. Brent crude settled down 35 cents at $77.12 a barrel, just below the $78-level hit on Thursday, its highest since November The benchmark contract remained lower in post-settlement trade. U.S. light crude was down 66 cents at $70.70, off a 3-1/2 year high of $71.89 it hit on Thursday. Europe's largest economies lobbied to protect their companies' investments in Iran on Friday, seeking to keep the nuclear deal with Tehran alive after Washington pulled out and threatened to impose sanctions on European companies. Germany and France have significant trade links with Iran and remain committed to the nuclear agreement, as does Britain, and the three countries' foreign ministers plan to meet on Tuesday to discuss it. # UAE Stories

3 Waha Capital 1Q18 total income increased 18.9 percent year on year to mln. Waha capital says q1 profit rises on performance by company s asset management division and disposal of 3.77 million shares in Aercap. Q1 net profit 107 million dirhams UNB 1Q 18 net profit mln dirhams vs mln dirhams year ago. 1Q18 net interest income mln dirhams vs mln dirhams year ago Dana Gas PJSC has reached an agreement with key holders of $700 million of its Islamic bonds to restructure the securities, two people with knowledge of the matter said, possibly ending a legal battle that has unnerved the Islamic finance industry. U.S., United Arab Emirates signed deal to resolve years-old spat over alleged unfair airline competition in the U.S. by Emirati carriers, AP reports, citing sources. Deal signed in private on Fri. at the State Department after months of negotiations; expected to be announced Monday when Emirati foreign minister visits Washington. State Department declined to comment to AP. Emirates Airline and Etihad Airways agreed to open up accounting books under agreement known as "record of discussion", AP reports, citing text of the agreement it obtained. In a side letter, the Emiratis state they currently have no plans to add additional flights to the U.S. from Europe.or other destinations outside the UAE GCC/ MENA: OPEC is in no hurry to decide whether to pump more oil to make up for an expected drop in exports from Iran after the imposition of new U.S. sanctions, four sources familiar with the issue said, saying any loss in supply would take time. Saudi banks plan U.S. dollar bonds despite ample liquidity. A t least three commercial banks in Saudi Arabia are preparing U.S. dollar debt issues, banking sources said, in what would be the first hard-currency debt sales by Saudi banks in several years. The banks want to diversify their sources of finance and boost capital levels, but are in no rush for the cash as they are still flush with liquidity due to sluggish credit growth and looser public spending. Saudi's Bupa Arabia Q1 Profit Rises. Q1 net profit of shareholders capital investment 20.8 million riyals versus 11.9 million riyals year ago. Q1 gross written premiums 2.49 billion riyals versus 2.25 billion riyals year ago. Nama Chemicals swung to a 28.2 million riyal ($7.5 million) profit in the first quarter from a year-earlier loss. The stock soared 9.6 percent in its heaviest trade since May 2014 Savola swung to a loss in the first quarter, hit by lower sales in the food and retail sectors and a higher share of losses at an associate Bahrain's government has launched an energy fund that aims to raise $1 billion from local, regional and international investors to develop the kingdom's energy assets, Oil Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Khalifa al-khalifa said on Thursday. The Bahrain Energy Fund will receive its initial capital from local entities including Nogaholding, the investment arm of Bahrain's National Oil and Gas Authority, as well as from investment banks Osool and SICO, according to the minister's statement. Egypt s credit-rating was upgraded one notch by S&P Global Ratings, which cited strengthening economic growth and rising external foreign exchange reserves. The country s long-term rating was lifted to B, or five levels below investment grade, from B-, S&P said in a statement Friday. The outlook on the rating is stable. Ghabbour Auto reported net income for the first quarter of 33.5 million pounds. 1Q revenue 4.8 billion pounds. Egypt passenger cars volumes -22.6% to 6,319 cars vs 4Q last year; rev. + 77% to 1.6b pounds. Two and 3-wheelers rev. 741m pounds, or up 95% vs last year. Co s components manufacturing plant for motorcycles and 3-wheelers

4 completed. Plans expanding its service centers in Egypt within the next 2 years. GB Capital 1Q rev +31% vs last year to 1b pounds. China's GCL Group has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Egypt's ministry of military production to build a solar panel facility at a cost of up to $2 billion, state-run newspaper Al-Ahram reported on Thursday. Under the MOU, which was signed on Wednesday, the facility will manufacture panels capable of producing 5 gigawatts (GW) annually, it said, without mentioning the location or timeframe of the project. Telecom Egypt To Acquire MENA Cable, Obtain USD Credit Facilities. Board approved acquisition of middle east and north africa submarine cable (mena cable) through subsidiary with total enterprise value of $90 million to be financed through shareholder loan from telecom Egypt. Board approved to obtain credit facilities in USD. Board approved 5-year syndicated loan of up to $500 million arranged by Mashreq bank and first Abu Dhabi bank. (Source: ADX, DFM, Bloomberg, Reuters, Gulf News, The National, Arabian Business) Daily Foreign Ownership Increase Company Name Foreign Ownershp (%) (%) Shares Mcap (AED) DSI 16.51% ,356,173 2,591,790 National Takaful Co 12.94% ,000 37,800 Air Arabia 23.37% ,866,680 2,184,016 Eshraq 35.18% , ,175 Methaq Takaful Ins % ,000 34,650 DXBE 31.48% ,399, ,590 Union Properties 23.99% , ,763 Dana Gas 60.13% ,395,325 1,451,138 Dar Al Takaful 21.90% ,000 19,470 GFH 73.23% ,037 1,041,191

5 Daily Foreign Ownership Decrease Company Name Foreign Ownershp (%) (%) Shares Mcap (AED) Dubai Isl. Ins 12.39% (225,750) (144,254) Manazel 19.58% (2,600,000) (1,300,000) DIB 16.06% (5,263,522) (25,567,590) Amanat 21.34% (2,000,000) (2,680,000) Emaar Properties 36.91% (2,863,896) (14,290,839) Arabtec 18.27% (600,000) (1,044,000) Aramex 62.32% (292,820) (1,139,070) RAK Properties 29.20% (400,000) (260,000) DFM 7.43% (1,599,153) (1,529,600) Al Madina 24.91% (77,920) (27,690) (Source: ADX, DFM, Bloomberg, Reuters)

6 Institutional Sales and Trading Team Harshjit Oza Direct Line: Disclaimer This report was prepared by Integrated Securities ( IS ) in and for the United Arab Emirates ( U.A.E. ). IS is a securities brokerage company regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority (and neither an investment nor a financial advisory firm). The information contained in this report is given in summary and does not purport to be complete. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk. Content of this report is provided solely for informational purposes and private circulation and should not be construed as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or any other financial product or instrument, or adopting any hedging or investment strategy and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation, tax implications or any other needs. Before acting on any information you should consider and confirm the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek professional financial advice. While based on information believed to be reliable, we do not guarantee and make no express or implied representation as to the accuracy of this report or complete description of the securities markets or developments referred to in this report. The information, contained in this report are as of the date indicated and are subject to change at any time without prior notice. This report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. IS has not reviewed any such site and takes no responsibility for the content of the same. Such address or hyperlink is provided solely for your convenience and information and the content of any such website does not in any way form part of this document. Accessing such website or following such link through this report or IS s website shall be at your own risk. The stated price of any securities mentioned in this report is as of the date indicated and is not a representation made by IS that any transaction can be effected at this price. This report is for UAE distribution and only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The information contained in this report is not intended nor can it be construed as intended to be directed to any US persons (being any US Citizens, US Green Card Holders, or Resident Aliens subject to US income taxes for IRS purposes) unless stated otherwise. Neither IS nor its officers, directors or shareholders or other persons shall be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental or other damages including loss of profits arising in any way from the information contained in this report. This report is a mere update intended solely for the use by the intended recipients and the content of it may not be reproduced, redistributed or copied in whole or in part for any purpose without IS s prior express consent.