REFINITIV. EUROPEAN FUND FLOWS REPORT: October 2018

Transcription

1 REFINITIV EUROPEAN FUND FLOWS REPORT: October 2018 Please attribute the content to Detlef Glow, Head of EMEA Research at Lipper and the author of this report.

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY October 2018: European Investors sell-off Long-Term Mutual Funds October 2018 was the sixth month in a row with net outflows from long-term mutual funds after 16 consecutive months with net inflows. The overall fund flows for mutual funds in Europe amounted to net outflows of 48.6 bn for October. Real estate funds (+ 0.3 bn) were the best selling individual asset type overall for October. Bond USD Medium Term (+ 1.0 bn) was the best selling sector among long-term funds for October. France (+ 6.1 bn) was the fund domicile with the highest net inflows, followed by Belgium (+ 1.0 bn) and Ireland (+ 0.5 bn). JP Morgan, with net sales of 7.8 bn, was the best selling fund promoter for October overall, ahead of Legal & General (+ 6.6 bn) and Deutsche Bank (+ 2.7bn). The ten best selling long-term funds gathered at the share-class level total net inflows of 8.7 bn for October. Insight Investment UK Corp All Maturities Bond P Acc (+ 1.2 bn) was the best selling individual long-term fund for October.

3 EUROPEAN FUND FLOWS, OCTOBER 2018 European Fund-Flow Trends, October 2018 European investors pulled further away from long-term mutual funds as the market environment and general sentiment remained negative. As a consequence October was the sixth month in a row posting net outflows from long-term mutual funds after 16 consecutive months showing net inflows. Real estate funds (+ 0.3 bn) and commodity funds (+ 0.2 bn) enjoyed net inflows, while all the other asset types in the segment of longterm mutual funds witnessed net outflows: bond funds ( bn), equity funds ( bn), alternative UCITS funds ( bn), and mixed asset funds (- 9.1 bn), as well as other funds (- 0.9 bn). These fund flows added up to overall net outflows of 92.8 bn from long-term investment funds for October. ETFs contributed inflows of 0.7 bn to these flows. Money Market Products After a month with high outflows it seems that European investors returned to safe-haven money market products, which witnessed net inflows of 44.2 bn for October. In-line with their actively managed peers, ETFs investing in money market instruments contributed net inflows of 0.5 bn to these flows. This flow pattern led the overall fund flows to mutual funds in Europe to overall net outflows of 48.6 bn for October and to estimated net outflows of 43.0 bn for the year 2018 so far. Money Market Products by Sector Money Market EUR ( bn), Money Market USD ( bn) followed by Money Market GBP (+ 6.4 bn) and Money Market Global (+ 1.5 bn), as well as Money Market SEK (+ 1.1 bn) were the five best selling sectors overall for October. At the other end of the spectrum Money Market CHF (-.25 bn) suffered the highest net outflows overall, bettered by Money Market SGD ( bn) and Money Market HUF ( bn). Comparing this flow pattern with the flow pattern for September showed that European investors rebuilt their positions in the euro and the U.S. dollar and further increased their positions in Sterling. These shifts might have been caused by asset allocation decisions as well as for other reasons such as cash dividends or cash payments, since money market funds are also used by corporations as replacements for cash accounts. Graph 1: Estimated Net Sales by Asset Type, October 2018 (Euro Billions)

4 Fund Flows by Sectors Within the segment of long-term mutual funds Bond USD Medium Term (+ 1.0 bn) was the best selling sector, followed by Bond USD Government (+ 0.9 bn). Bond GBP Corporates (+ 0.6 bn) was the third best selling sector, followed by Equity UK (+ 0.5 bn) and Mixed-Asset USD Balanced-US (+ 0.5 bn). Graph 2: Ten Top Sectors, October 2018 (Euro Billions) At the other end of the spectrum Equity US (- 7.9 bn) suffered the highest net outflows from long-term mutual funds, bettered by Bond USD (- 6.1 bn) and Equity Global (- 5.4 bn) as well as Bond Global (- 4.7 bn) and Alternative Credit Focus (- 3.6 bn). Graph 3: Ten Bottom Sectors, October 2018 (Euro Billions)

5 Fund Flows by Markets (Fund Domiciles) Single fund domicile flows (including those to money market products) showed in general, a negative picture for October, with only 8 of the 34 markets covered in this report showing net inflows and 26 showing net outflows. France (+ 6.1 bn) was the fund domicile with the highest net inflows, followed by Belgium (+ 1.0 bn), Ireland (+ 0.5 bn), Isle of Man (+ 0.2 bn), and the Netherlands (+ 0.2 bn). On the other side of the table was Luxembourg ( bn) the fund domicile with the highest outflows, which was bettered by Germany (- 1.7 bn) and Italy (- 1.5 bn). Graph 4: Estimated Net Sales by Fund Domiciles, October 2018 (Euro Billions) Within the bond sector, funds domiciled in Sweden (+ 0.1 bn) led the table for October, followed by those domiciled in Liechtenstein ( bn), and Poland ( bn). Bond funds domiciled in Luxembourg ( bn), Ireland (- 5.5 bn), and France (- 2.1 bn) stood at the other end of the table. For equity funds, products domiciled in the United Kingdom (+ 1.1 bn) led the table for October, followed by funds domiciled in Switzerland (+ 0.6 bn), the Netherlands (+ 0.4 bn), and Norway (+ 0.1 bn) as well as Spain (+ 0.1 bn). Meanwhile, Luxembourg ( bn), Ireland (- 3.7 bn), and Belgium (- 3.5 bn) were the domiciles with the highest net outflows from equity funds. With regard to mixed-asset products Switzerland (+ 0.2 bn) was the domicile with the highest net inflows, followed by funds domiciled in Belgium (+ 0.1 bn), Denmark (+ 0.1 bn), Austria ( bn), and the Czech Republic ( bn). In contrast, Luxembourg (- 6.8 bn), France (- 1.6 bn), and Italy (- 0.5 bn) were the domiciles with the highest net outflows from mixed-asset funds. Isle of Man (+ 0.2 bn) was the domicile with the highest net inflows into alternative UCITS funds for October, followed by Denmark ( bn). Luxembourg (- 6.3 bn), bettered by Ireland (- 2.3 bn) and the United Kingdom (- 1.8 bn), stood at the other end of the table.

6 Fund Flows by Promoters JP Morgan, with net sales of 7.8 bn, was the best selling fund promoter for October overall, ahead of Legal & General (+ 6.6 bn) and Deutsche Bank (+ 2.7 bn). It is noteworthy that the flows of these promoters were driven by money market funds. Table 1: Ten Best Selling Promoters, October 2018 (Euro Billions) Considering the single-asset bases, UBS (+ 2.8 bn) was the best selling promoter of bond funds, followed by Insight (+ 1.0 bn), Vanguard Group (+ 0.8 bn), and Bank of America (+ 0.6 bn) as well as VanEck (+ 0.3 bn). Within the equity space Investec (+ 1.4 bn) stood at the head of the table, followed by State Street (+ 0.7 bn), Royal London (+ 0.7 bn), and Societe Generale (+ 0.6 bn) as well as Deka (+ 0.5 bn). Allianz (+ 0.3 bn) was once again the leading promoter of mixed-asset funds in Europe, followed by Union Investment (+ 0.3 bn), La Caixa (+ 0.3 bn), and Danske (+ 0.1 bn) as well as Smith & Williamson (+ 0.1 bn). H2O Asset Management (+ 0.6 bn) was once again the leading promoter of alternative UCITS funds for the month, followed by Canada Life (+ 0.2 bn), PIMCO (+ 0.1 bn), and LRI (+ 0.1 bn) as well as Deutsche Bank (+ 0.1 bn). Best Selling Funds The ten best selling long-term funds gathered at the share-class level total net inflows of 8.7 bn for October. Since only real estate and commodity funds enjoyed net inflows for the month, it was surprising that the sales table for the ten top single funds for October was dominated by bond funds (+ 5.1 bn), the asset type with the highest outflows overall. Table 2: Ten Best Selling Long-Term Funds, October 2018 (Euro Millions)

7 For more information, please contact our Lipper Research Team: Detlef Glow Head of Lipper EMEA Research Phone: +49(69) Robert Jenkins Global Head of Research, Lipper Phone: +1 (617) Xav Feng Head of Lipper Asia Pacific Research Phone: Otto Christian Kober Global Head of Methodology, Lipper Phone: +41 (0) Jake Moeller Head of Lipper United Kingdom & Ireland Research Phone: +44(20) Tom Roseen Head of Research Services Phone: +1 (303) Media enquiries: Eddie Dunthorne Lipper U.S. Client Services customers.reuters.com/crmcontactus/support.asp Lipper Europe Client Services (UK) (Europe) customers.reuters.com/crmcontactus/support.asp Lipper Asia Client Services customers.reuters.com/crmcontactus/support.asp Refinitiv. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Refinitiv content, including by framing or similar means, is prohibited without the prior written consent of Refinitiv. 'Refinitiv' and the Refinitiv logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of Refinitiv and its affiliated companies.