Bill Gunderson s Weekly Best Stocks Now Newsletter

Transcription

1 Bill Gunderson s Weekly Best Stocks Now Newsletter Straightforward, honest research for successful people on Twitter Bill@pwstreet.com March 2, 2012 Bill Gunderson, President and Founder of Gunderson Capital Mgt. Inc. discussing the Solyndra scandal with Megyn Kelley of the Fox News Channel. SPECIAL NOTE: AM1000 KCEO HAS BEEN SOLD. WE WILL BE MOVING TO AM1450 AND AM1510 NEXT WEEK-I HOPE YOU JOIN US! The Dow continues to struggle with the 13,000 level, but it looks like it will bust through that barrier soon enough. Actually, this is how I started last week s newsletter. This statement is still true, however. The Dow continues to struggle with 13,000, closing just shy of that psychological barrier once again this week. 1

2 I want you to notice however, that even though the Dow is struggling with 13,000, it has already broken through its resistance level. The Dow remains in a bullish trend for now. That trend has been in place since last October. The tech-heavy Nasdaq, along with the small-cap S & P 600 continue to lead the way in The chart of the Nasdaq looks almost the same as the Dow, just a bit more extended. The Nasdaq also remains in a bullish trend that began in October of last year. Lastly, here is a chart of the S & P 500: 2

3 The S & P also remains in a bullish uptrend for now. Economic reports were just decent this past week. The real big downside surprise for me was the durable goods orders which were very, very weak. Hopefully, this is just an anomaly and it will rebound next month. Here is how we fared in the markets this past week: Fri. 2/24/12 Fri. 3/2/12 Week Week Pct. Close Close Change Change S&P % DJIA 12, , % NASD % S&P600 (Small) % Emg. Mkts (ADRE) % 10yr Bd. 2.02% 1.99% -0.03% -1.49% Oil % Gold % One disturbing trend that jumps out at me from the above graph is the sell-off in the small-cap index this past week. This is something that needs to be watched closely as it could be the pre-cursor to a correction in the market. 3

4 Just for fun, let s look at a chart of an inverse small-cap fund: As you can see, the small-caps have been a good place to be since October. Being in an inverse fund has not been the place to be. You can see just a little uptrend maybe brewing in this inverse small-cap fund. Once again, this is worth keeping an eye on. It is comforting to see SBB ranked number 2,278 right now. While we are at it, let s just take a peek a double-short inverse small cap ETF: 4

5 Once again, it may be the small-caps are due for a breather. If the small-caps start to correct, it is only a matter of time before the Dow and the S & P 500 follow along. Stay tuned. SDD is ranked number 2739 out of 2762, however. Let s next take a peek at the current elephant in the room-light, sweet crude: Oil and gas prices continue to move higher, this is not a good scenario for a sustainable recovery in our economy. The biggest wild card that the market has to be concerned about right now is Iran. It almost seems like a sure thing, that this issue is not going to be solved peaceably. An attack on Iran would not sit well with friends of Iran like Russia, China, North Korea, Pakistan, etc. etc. These are definitely interesting times that we live in. In the meantime we can only take the market one day, one week, and one month at a time. There is always something hanging over the head of the market. Lastly, let s take a look at a current chart of Gold: 5

6 Gold remains in a very choppy, sideways trend just as I predicted it would after it broke its ten year uptrend line back in September. Gold and silver are currently ranked at number 645 out of 2,762 stocks. I currently have no positions in either. Silver Wheaton has moved back up into a rank of 367 and bears watching going forward. I usually like to buy things that are ranked number 150 or better. Here is where the markets stand year-to-date: 12/31/11 Fri. 3/2/ YTD Pct. Value Close YTD Change S&P % DJIA 12, , % NASD % S&P600 (Small) % Emg. Mkts (ADRE) % 10yr Bd. 1.87% 1.99% 0.12% 6.42% Oil % Gold % The Nasdaq (thanks Apple!) continues to lead the way, while all of sudden the small-caps had a very bad week. This may portend a sea-change ahead, but those inverse funds would have to move up significantly in rank first. The emerging markets also continue to do well. 6

7 One more key chart to look at is the Euro (FXE): Our markets and commodities want a strong euro and a weak dollar. As you can see the Euro pulled back over the last three days as Spain is not meeting its debt targets. A breakdown of the Euro would also lead to a sell-off in the markets. Stay tuned. Follow me on I remain bullish for now, but my vigilance antenna is going up! 7

8 Bill Gunderson s Model Portfolio for Conservative Growth Investors: This model is made up of the mostly mid-cap and large cap companies that I consider to be suitable for investors who have a conservative risk profile, but still want growth. This portfolio is up 11.0% year-to-date, while the S & P 500 is up 8.9%. The portfolio currently has a 1.1% cash position and no hedges. The portfolio is currently heavily weighted in the consumer sector. I am replacing ARLP with Cummins Engine (CMI) this week: Conservative Growth Model as of 3/2/ % 9:00AM Add Date Symbol Name Sector 22-Oct -10 AZO Aut ozone Consumer 6-Jan-12 AAPL Apple Comput er Technology 22-Apr-11 ABV Comp de Bebida Consumer 13-Jan-12 CELG Celgene Medical 4-Feb-12 CAT Cat erpillar Indust rial 2-Mar-12 CMI Cummins Engine Industrial 30-Sep-11 DG Dollar General Consumer 26-Aug-11 DLTR Dollar Tree Consumer 13-Jan-12 EOG E O G Resources Energy 22-Apr-11 FMX Foment o Econ Mex Consumer 21-Oct -11 GWW Grainger Indust rial 6-Nov-08 KMP Kinder Morgan Energy 10-Jun-11 KOF Coca Cola Femsa Consumer 26-Aug-11 MA Mastercard Consumer 21-Oct -11 MCD McDonalds Consumer 6-Nov-08 O Realt y Income REIT 21-May-10 ROST Ross St ores Consumer 7-Jan-11 PCLN Priceline.com Consumer 21-Oct -11 SBUX St arbucks Consumer 7-Oct -11 TJX T J Maxx Consumer 12-Aug-11 TNH Terra Nit rogen Commodities 29-Jul-11 UGP Ultrapar Part icipaco Utilit y 1-Jan-11 CASH Money Market Cash S&P % Ahead by 2.13% Add Price $ $ $31.07 $72.63 $ $ $37.76 $70.46 $ $62.48 $ $43.10 $88.13 $ $91.63 $16.68 $25.76 $ $41.93 $27.77 $ $17.83 $1.00 Shares ,856 Beginning Value $3,286 $4,646 $4,474 $4,648 $4,672 $4,213 $4,569 $4,580 $4,740 $4,499 $4,510 $2,371 $4,583 $4,552 $4,490 $2,168 $1,751 $5,728 $4,528 $4,553 $4,481 $4,493 na Current Price $ $ $39.77 $73.78 $ $ $43.04 $90.48 $ $75.76 $ $89.64 $ $ $99.19 $36.82 $53.80 $ $48.77 $36.96 $ $23.28 $1.00 Current Value $5,301 $6,007 $5,727 $4,722 $4,633 $4,213 $5,208 $5,881 $5,252 $5,455 $5,617 $4,930 $5,209 $5,828 $4,860 $4,787 $3,658 $8,330 $5,267 $6,061 $6,224 $5,867 $2,910 G/L 61.3% 29.3% 28.0% 1.6% -0.8% 0.0% 14.0% 28.4% 10.8% 21.3% 24.5% 108.0% 13.7% 28.0% 8.3% 120.7% 108.9% 45.4% 16.3% 33.1% 38.9% 30.6% na Alloc. 4.5% 5.0% 4.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.1% 4.0% 3.1% 7.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 0.0% 100.0% 8

9 Apple continues to hit new highs, but it sure looks tired: This is a great chart to own, not to buy! AutoZone is almost as impressive: I would be a little reluctant to buy it here, though. 9

10 I like the way that Cummins Engine has been moving up in rank and I like the recent break through resistance: I could not be happier with Dollar Tree: 10

11 Fomento (FMX) also had a nice breakout this past week: One of my favorite stocks (and largest holdings) Priceline.com blasted off this past week. It also moved up to number 12 in overall rank: Boy, a move like this brings a smile to my face! 11

12 Bill Gunderson s Model Portfolio for investors seeking Income along with the possibility of Growth. This model is my most conservative model. It is designed for risk-adverse investors that want income first and growth second. Income producing investments have proven themselves over time to be much less volatile than pure growth investments. If you look back at the year 2008, when the overall market was down 38.5%, income producers held up much better. I do like some growth with my income, however. I have written several articles on this subject recently. Here is an article that I wrote for Seeking Alpha on this very subject. Check out how the stocks I mentioned have performed since I wrote the article! The list below contains the best examples of such stocks that I can find in the market right now. No changes this week. INCOME Model as of March 2, 2012 (9:15am) 6.65% YTD S&P % -2.22% Inception Date August 5, % Since Inception S&P % -0.59% Add Beg. Current Current Curr. Added Symbol Name Sector Price Shares Value Price Value G/L Alloc. Yield 1 5-Aug-11 AGNC Amer. Cap. Agency Mortgage $ $4,990 $31.07 $5, % 5.0% 19.4% 2 11-Nov-11 ACC Amer. Campus Comm. REIT $ $4,097 $41.17 $4, % 4.0% 3.4% 3 11-Nov-11 AMLP Alerian MLP Energy $ $4,074 $17.08 $4, % 4.0% 6.1% 4 5-Aug-11 ARLP Allliance Res. Ptr. Energy $ $4,992 $72.33 $5, % 4.7% 5.3% 5 6-Jan-12 BPT B P Prudhoe Bay Energy $ $4,216 $ $4, % 4.0% 6.7% 6 11-Nov-11 BCE B C E Inc. Telcom $ $4,089 $41.07 $4, % 3.9% 5.3% 7 5-Aug-11 KMP Kinder Morgan Energy $ $5,034 $89.63 $6, % 6.0% 5.9% 8 21-Oct-11 MMP Magellan Mid. Ptrs. Energy $ $4,033 $72.61 $4, % 4.2% 4.9% 9 5-Aug-11 NHI Nat. Health Investors REIT $ $4,994 $46.93 $5, % 5.3% 5.6% 10 5-Aug-11 NLY Annaly Mortgage REIT $ $4,996 $16.51 $4, % 4.3% 14.9% Sep-11 NUV Nuveen Muni Val. Fund Muni Bond $ $3,960 $10.14 $4, % 3.8% 4.8% 12 9-Sep-11 OKS Oneok Ptrs. Energy $ $3,939 $58.14 $5, % 4.8% 4.5% 13 5-Aug-11 O Realty Income REIT $ $5,012 $36.74 $6, % 5.6% 5.1% 14 5-Aug-11 OHI Omega Healthcare REIT $ $4,999 $20.26 $6, % 5.8% 8.5% 15 7-Oct-11 SXL Sunoco Logistics Ptrs. Energy $ $3,949 $39.46 $5, % 4.7% 4.4% 16 5-Aug-11 TNH Terra Nitrogen Commodity $ $4,976 $ $7, % 6.5% 9.6% 17 3-Feb-12 SDRL Seadrill ltd Energy $ $4,432 $40.04 $4, % 4.3% 8.0% 18 5-Aug-11 TU Telus Corp. Telcom $ $5,009 $57.48 $5, % 5.2% 4.0% 19 5-Aug-11 VIV Telefonica Brasil Telcom $ $5,003 $29.80 $5, % 4.6% 7.6% 20 6-Jan-12 WHX Whiting Usa Trust Energy $ $4,279 $16.46 $3, % 3.6% 16.4% 21 5-Aug-11 WPC W P Carey REIT $ $5,012 $45.51 $6, % 5.8% 5.3% 22 5-Aug-11 CASH Money Market Cash $ $0 $1.00 $3, % 2.9% 0.0% 7.1% It should be noted that the average yield of this portfolio is 7.1%. This compares with a ten year U.S. treasury at a current rate of 1.8%, CD s offering next to nothing, and corporate bonds offering about 5.0% with very little chance of growth. There is obviously more risk in investing in a portfolio like this, but the reward potential is also much greater. Dividend stocks continue to underperform the market so far in

13 Bill Gunderson s Model Portfolio for Investors seeking AGGRESSIVE Growth This is my most aggressive portfolio. It is designed for investors with long-term time horizons seeking maximum growth. This portfolio is mainly made up of small and mid-cap stocks with superior growth potential. This portfolio is much more volatile than the Conservative Portfolio and the Income Portfolio. This portfolio also carries more risk than the aforementioned ones. I still feel like aggressive growth will be the best place to be this year as it had a lousy year in This portfolio is up 11.6% YTD, while the S & P 500 is up 8.9%. I am replacing Heckman (HEK) with Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) this week. Gunderson Aggressive Growth Model Portfolio 11.60% YTD S&P % 2.73% As of March 2, :30AM Add Add Begin Current Current Current Symbol Name Sector Date Price Shares Value Price Value G/L Allocation 1 AAPL Apple Comp. Technology 5-Mar-10 $ $2,408 $ $5, % 5.0% 2 ALXN Alexion Pharm. Medical 26-Aug-11 $ $4,484 $84.23 $6, % 5.8% 3 AZO Autozone Consumer 8-Oct-10 $ $2,095 $ $3, % 2.8% 4 BWLD Buffalo Wild Wings Consumer 2-Mar-12 $ $3,309 $87.07 $3, % 2.8% 5 CLH Clean Harbors Energy 8-Apr-11 $ $4,350 $66.23 $5, % 4.6% 6 DLTR Dollar Tree Consumer 21-May-10 $ $2,035 $90.52 $4, % 3.8% 7 DPZ Domino's Pizza Consumer 16-Sep-11 $ $4,808 $38.46 $6, % 5.5% 8 FCFS First Cash Financial Financial 1-Apr-11 $ $4,247 $42.51 $4, % 3.9% 9 GEOI Georesources Energy 3-Feb-12 $ $4,562 $32.23 $4, % 3.8% 10 LKQX L K Q Corp. Consumer 7-Oct-11 $ $4,528 $32.24 $5, % 4.5% 11 MNRO Monroe Muffler Consumer 10-Feb-12 $ $3,982 $46.99 $4, % 3.5% 12 NUS Nu Skin Enterprises Consumer 12-Aug-11 $ $4,750 $57.59 $6, % 5.8% 13 PCLN Priceline.com Leisure 29-Oct-11 $ $4,139 $ $7, % 5.9% 14 PEET Peet's Coffee Consumer 20-May-11 $ $4,030 $65.01 $5, % 4.5% 15 PETM Petsmart Consumer 21-Oct-11 $ $4,504 $55.26 $5, % 4.4% 16 PII Polaris Industries Consumer 28-Oct-11 $ $4,515 $67.59 $4, % 4.1% 17 PIR Pier One Imports Consumer 6-Jan-12 $ $4,290 $16.65 $4, % 4.0% 18 QSII Quality Systems Medical 26-Aug-11 $ $4,289 $43.14 $4, % 3.5% 19 SBH Sally Beauty Hldg. Consumer 21-Oct-11 $ $4,493 $24.22 $5, % 4.8% 20 SMP Standard Motor Prod. Automotive 23-Dec-11 $ $4,374 $24.67 $5, % 4.3% 21 STX Seagate Technology Technology 17-Feb-12 $ $4,084 $27.51 $4, % 3.5% 22 TYL Tyler Technologies Technology 14-Oct-11 $ $4,533 $37.91 $6, % 5.1% 23 VLTR Volterra Semiconductor Technology 17-Feb-12 $ $4,081 $30.58 $3, % 3.3% 24 CASH Money Market Cash 1-Jan-11 $ $1,075 $1.00 $1, % 0.0% Domino s Pizza had blowout earnings this past week and the stock had a huge breakout: 13

14 Bill Gunderson s Featured Stock of the Week 3/2/2012 I currently have 2,762 stocks in my database. Every day when I am done doing my radio show, I spend several hours looking at them. I especially focus in on the ones I own and the A rated stocks. My proprietary grading system consists of Value, Performance, and Safety. I like stocks that have performed much better than the rest and still offer good value. I spent years developing this grading system and I am thrilled with the results! This week s pick: 1. Description 2. Valuation 14

15 3. Performance 4. Overall Grade Data from Bill Gunderson s Best Stocks Now App Buffalo Wild Wings operates and franchises 732 quick casual restaurants in 44 states with plans to open 95 more in From time to time restaurant chains come along that sweep America. We saw this with Chipotle. This looks like a good growth story for now. Let s see where it takes us. 15

16 One year chart of BWLD Since Inception 16

17 Previously featured stocks: (As of 3/2/2012) `` My average featured stock has beat the S&P 500 by: 22.3%! I only buy A- or better stocks that are ranked number 150 or better. (with few exceptions) Current Prices as of 11:30AM Featured Current Pct. S&P 5 Yr. Upside Gunderson Rank Last Featured Symbol Name Price Price Change 500 Target Potential Grade out of 2,762 Week 1 01/02/2009 AGNC American Capital Agency $12.63 $ % 47.0% na na B /02/2010 ALXN Alexion Pharm. $27.28 $ % 16.3% $ % A /16/2010 ARLP Alliance Resource Partners $45.58 $ % 28.6% $ % B /08/2010 AZO Autozone $ $ % 17.5% $ % A /06/2012 BPT B P Prudhoe Bay $ $ % 7.2% NA NA A /04/2011 BRFS Brazil Foods $20.39 $ % 9.3% $ % B /30/2010 BWA Borg Warner $43.86 $ % 24.3% $ % A- NA NA 8 01/16/2009 CERN Cerner $20.05 $ % 61.1% $ % A /13/2012 CELG Celgene $72.63 $ % 6.2% $ % A /13/2009 CLB Core Labs $32.28 $ % 65.6% $ % A /07/2010 CLH Clean Harbors $30.07 $ % 23.3% $ % A /19/2010 CSH Cash America $37.96 $ % 23.5% $ % B /30/2010 DG Dollar General $37.76 $ % 21.1% $ % B /04/2009 DLTR Dollar Tree $31.19 $ % 23.8% $ % A /23/2011 DPZ Dominoe's Pizza $28.16 $ % 20.5% $ % B /20/2009 EPD Enterprise Products $26.81 $ % 25.5% $ % B /25/2011 FCFS First Cash Fin. Svcs. $36.60 $ % 7.1% $ % A /18/2005 FMX Fomento Econ Mex $72.37 $ % 6.0% $ % A /18/2005 GEOI Georesources $32.65 $ % 0.6% $ % A /07/2011 KMP Kinder Morgan $69.94 $ % 18.5% $ % A /10/2011 KOF Coca Cola Femsa $88.13 $ % 7.8% $ % A- NA NA 22 07/22/2011 LQDT Liquidity Services $22.55 $ % 4.1% $ % A /21/2011 MA Mastercard $ $ % 2.0% $ % A /21/2011 MCD McDonald's $92.32 $ % 4.1% $ % B /25/2011 MNRO Monroe Muffler $36.63 $ % 18.2% $ % A /02/2011 NEU Newmarket $ $ % 12.6% $ % B /02/2012 OII Oceaneering Intl $55.98 $ % 0.3% $ % A /03/2012 NUS Nu Skin Enterprises $39.29 $ % 14.2% $ % A /09/2010 OKS Oneok Partners LP $43.30 $ % 18.7% $ % A- NA NA 30 01/27/2012 OSIS O S I Systems $55.91 $ % 4.1% $ % A /21/2011 PCLN Priceline.com $ $ % 5.9% $1, % A /27/2011 PEET Peet's Coffee $52.22 $ % 2.9% $ % A /11/2011 PETM Petsmart $48.15 $ % 8.4% $ % A /28/2011 PII Polaris $62.71 $ % 2.9% $ % A /21/2011 PRGO Perrigo Inc. $70.20 $ % 5.9% $ % A /29/2011 QSII Quality Systems $44.86 $ % 5.9% $ % A /21/2011 RGR Sturm Ruger $29.50 $ % 21.9% $ % A /22/2007 ROST Ross Stores $15.26 $ % -8.8% $ % A /24/2011 SBH Sally Beauty Holdings $16.85 $ % 8.0% $ % A /29/2011 SCCO Southern Copper Corp. $32.42 $ % 8.0% $ % B /20/2011 SWI Solarwinds $34.66 $ % 1.8% $ % A /26/2009 TNH Terra Nitrogen $ $ % 16.2% na na A /25/2011 TSCO Tractor Supply $56.73 $ % 4.2% $ % A /29/2011 TYL Tyler Technologies $28.33 $ % 11.8% $ % A /27/2012 VLTR Volterra Semiconductor $30.42 $ % 4.0% $ % A /24/2010 UGP Ultrapar Participaco ADR $14.65 $ % 19.2% $ % A I have been featuring stocks in my newsletter for over five years now. The average featured stock of the week has beaten the S & P 500 by 22.3%. The list above is the current active list. The stocks that have been deleted from this list are listed later in the newsletter. 17

18 Gunderson Best Stocks Now One One One Top 100 Current Day Week Month Rank Ago Ago Ago MLAB A+ Mesa Laboratories REGN A+ Regeneron Pharmaceuticals ASPS A+ Alt isource EZCH A+ Ezchip Semiconductor BWLD A+ Buffalo Wild Wings Inc VVUS A+ Vivus Inc CIE A+ Cobalt Int l. Energy FOSL A+ Fossil Inc FAST A+ Fastenal Co PCLN A+ Priceline.com Inc CRMT A+ America's Car-Mart Inc TNH A+ Terra Nit rogen Co Lp AAPL A+ Apple Comput er PCYC A Pharmacyclics Inc LPSN A LivePerson Inc ALXN A+ Alexion Pharmaceuticals TSCO A Tractor Supply Co CHSI A Cat alyst Health Solut ions CERN A Cerner Corp UFPT A U F P Tech. Inc ADGF A Adams Golf SXCI A S X C Health Solutions NVO A Novo Nordisk A/S CLR A Cont inent al Res Inc AAP A Advance Aut o Part s Inc SHOO A Stephen Madden ORLY A O'Reilly Aut omot ive Inc CSTR A Coinstar TDG A Transdigm Group Inc ACFN A- Acorn Energy Inc GMCR A- Green Mtn Coffee Roast ers Inc KTCC A Key Tronic Corp DXPE A DXP Ent erprises Inc AE A Adams Res & Energy Inc

19 One One One Current Day Week Month Rank Ago Ago Ago TPX A Tempur Pedic Int l Inc TYL A Tyler Technologies Inc ZOLL A Zoll Medical BRY A Berry Pet roleum Co Cl A RL A Polo Ralph Lauren Corp HSTM A Healt hst ream MNST A Monst er Beverage Co HLF A- Herbalife DLTR A Dollar Tree Stores ACAT A Arct ic Cat Inc NDSN A Nordson Corp TDC A Teradat a COH A Coach inc SWI A Solarwinds Inc SLXP A- Salix Pharmaceut icals Lt d AKRX A Akorn Inc FMC A FMC Corp EQIX A Equinix Inc BAP A Credicorp Ltd CBD A- Companhia Brasileira Adr CMI A Cummins Inc UA A Under Armour CYNO A Cynosure Inc NTES A Netease.Com Inc Adr AZO A Aut ozone Inc INOD A- Innodat a Isogen Inc SBH A- Sally Beaut y Holdings WES A- West ern Gas Part ners TJX A TJX Co Inc FFIV A- F5 Networks Inc LGF A- Lions Gat e Entert ainment VFC A VF Corp OYOG A O Y O Geospace Corp OSIS A OSI Syst ems Inc PEET A Peet's Coffee & Tea Inc

20 One One One Current Day Week Month Rank Ago Ago Ago OII A Oceaneering Int l Inc SMP A- Standard Motor Prod UGP A- Ult rapar Participacoes Adr LF A- LeapFrog Ent erprises Inc CLNE A- Clean Energy Fuels EZPW A- Ezcorp Inc Cl A LQDT A- Liquidit y Services ASNA A- Ascena Retail Group WAB A Wabt ec Corp AEA A- Advance America QCOR A Quest cor Pharmaceut ical GWW A Grainger WW Inc PNRA A Panera Bread SCSS A- Select Comfort Corp WPRT A- West port Innovat ions Inc CAB A- Cabelas HOS A- Hornbeck Offshore CLCT A- Collect ors Universe Inc PRGO A- Perrigo Co CNC A- Cent ene Corp FCFS A- First Cash Financial Services V A Visa Inc BPT A BP Prudhoe Bay Royalt y Trust NOV A Nat ional Oilwell Varco Inc TEN A- Tenneco Aut omot ive Inc TKR A- Timken Co DORM A Dorman Products Inc HCSG A Healt hcare Services Grp Inc ULTI A Ult imat e Soft ware BTI A- British American Tobacco Plc PII A Polaris Industries Inc Bill Gunderson s Top 100 is a new feature in the newsletter. I can tell you from experience that it is very powerful. The Top 100 is a reflection of the market and the economy. These trends can remain in place for a long time. Sometimes bonds are at the top, sometimes cash is at the top, and there are even times when inverse funds rule the roost. Study this list carefully each week. 20

21 Global Markets as of 3/2/2012-On Fire! The Global markets continue on fire. Right now, the U.S. is the worst market in the world. Good info to know right? Right! 21

22 Commodities as of 3/2/2012 COMMODITIES-Oil breaking out. Gas now $4.49 plus in Socal! 2012 YTD Silver SLV 25.3% Steel SLX 16.1% Copper JJC 14.3% Gold GLD 9.4% Oil USO 7.0% Coal KOL 7.0% Grains JJG 4.1% Cotton BAL -4.9% Oil continues to break out to new highs along with unleaded gas. The average price in San Diego today is $4.49 per gallon! Bill Gunderson s Current Basic Recommended 401-k Allocation Long way till retirm Nearing Retirement Best Bond Fund Choices that you have: 10.0% 40.0% Best Large Cap Choices that you have: 0.0% 15.0% Best Mid Cap Choices that you have: 25.0% 15.0% Best Small Cap Choices that you have 35.0% 15.0% Best Nat. Resource (GOLD) Choices that you have: 10.0% 10.0% Best Technology Choices that you have: 10.0% 0.0% Best International Choices that you have: 10.0% 5.0% Cash 0.0% 0.0% TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 22

23 WORST STOCKS NOW! Short Ideas Shorting Ideas OPEN Start Price Closed Price Pct. Gain Not a good environment for short positisons right now CLOSED Sprint Nextel S October 7, 2011 $2.45 $ % Salesforce CRM November 11, 2011 $ $ % Sears Holding SHLD December 16, 2011 $46.16 $ % First Solar FSLR May 27, 2011 $ $ % Frontline FRO June 10, 2011 $15.84 $ % Sunpower SPWR November 4, 2011 $8.76 $ % Yingli Gr. Energy YGE October 21, 2011 $3.58 $ % Amazon.com AMZN December 30, 2011 $ $ % Goldman Sachs GS September 9, 2011 $ $ % UBS UBS September 30, 2011 $11.43 $ % Daimler DDAIF September 9, 2011 $43.96 $ % Toll Brothers TOL September 9, 2011 $15.65 $ % Amer. Int. Gr. AIG August 5, 2011 $25.10 $ % AVERAGE AVG. 2.8% UNDER CONSIDERATION Amzon.com AMZN 23

24 Bill Gunderson appeared on Bloomberg Radio with Pimm Foxx and Courtney Donahoe this past week. I talked about Priceline.com, one of the great stocks of the decade, Listen Here Pimm Foxx Click here to read Bill Gunderson s article on Priceline.com this past week on Seeking Alpha. Priceline is up over 130 points since my last article on the stock. Click here to read Bill Gunderson s Marketwatch article on his top three energy picks right now. Click here to read Bill Gunderson s latest commentary on Warren Buffett-A big position in the Obama administration coming? Scott Voak, our show s Real Estate expert continues to find double-digit returns on income properties all throughout San Diego. You can reach Scott at (888) Scott s website is covered a lot of interesting topics on my daily radio this past week. To listen to the archives, you can visit To order my book BEST STOCKS NOW, click here To set up and appointment with me, click here If you are looking for a good CPA to do some tax-planning or financial planning, give Randy Goodsell a call. Randy has been my CPA for many years. Randy is a frequent guest on my daily radio show. Randy can be reached at (619) His website is 24

25 Subscriptions to this weekly newsletter are $195 per year or $60 per quarter. To subscribe call us at (760) or visit our website at You can also mail a check to Gunderson Capital Mgt. 550 Seagaze Dr. #16 Oceanside, CA THIS REPORT PROVIDES GENERAL INFORMATION AND IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. IT IS THE SOLE OPINION OF THE WRITER, BILL GUNDERSON. BILL GUNDERSON IS PRESIDENT OF GUNDERSON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC. A REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISORY FIRM LOCATED AT 550 SEAGAZE DR. #16 OCEANSIDE, CALIFORNIA PHONE NO. (760) BILL GUNDERSON EDITS THE WEEKLY NEWSLETTER. INFORMATION IN THIS NEWSLETTER COMES FROM INDEPENDENT SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT ACCURACY IS NOT GUARANTEED. BILL GUNDERSON OR GUNDERSON CAPITAL MGT. INC. HAS NOT VERIFIED THE ACCURACY OF THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY THE INDEPENDENT SOURCES. SELECTIONS IN THIS NEWSLETTER ARE THE SOLE OPINIONS OF BILL GUNDERSON AND ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES BEYOND THE CONTROL OF BILL GUNDERSON AND GUNDERSON CAPITAL MGT. INC. SUCH RISKS AND UN- CERTAINTIES INCLUDE NATIONAL, INTERNATIONAL, ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND FLUCTUATIONS; ECONOMIC CONDITIONS OF SPECIFIC SECTORS AND GROUPS AND COMPANIES; MANAGEMENT CAPABILITIES OF COMPANIES SELECTED. SELECTIONS IN THIS NEWSLETTER MAY NOT YIELD PROFITABLE RESULTS AND MAY ACTUALLY RESULT IN A LOSS OF INVESTMENT CAPITAL. AS AN INVEST- MENT ADVISORS, BILL GUNDERSON, OR CLIENTS OF GUNDERSON CAPITAL MGT. INC. MAY PURCHASE AND SELL SECURITIES IDENTIFIED EITHER IN THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR ACCOUNTS THAT THEY MANAGE. THEY MAY ALSO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES MENTIONED WITHOUT NOTICE TO NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIBERS. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTONS, YOU CAN CONTACT BILL GUNDERSON AT (760) MENT ADVISORS, BILL GUNDERSON, OR CLIENTS OF GUNDERSON CAPITAL MGT. INC. MAY PURCHASE AND SELL SECURITIES IDENTIFIED EITHER IN THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR ACCOUNTS THAT THEY MANAGE. THEY MAY ALSO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES MENTIONED WITHOUT NOTICE TO NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIBERS. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTONS, YOU CAN CONTACT BILL GUNDERSON AT (760)

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