Analyst Ideas of the Week February 19, 2018
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1 Week of February 19, 2018 Analyst Ideas of the Week February 19, 2018 Sid Rajeev, B.Tech, MBA, CFA Head of Research Dynacor Gold Mines Inc. (TSX: DNG / Share Price: $2.02 per share/ FRC Rating: BUY with a fair value estimate of $3.85 per share) On February 16, 2018, Dynacor announced that January 2018 production was 5,560 oz of gold, up 6.8% YoY. The company is aiming to reach a daily production rate of 360 tpd by the end of this year year-end financial statements are expected to be released in March. The full year production in 2017 was 79,897 oz, with 24,066 oz coming from the last quarter (up 15% YoY). As 2017 gold production beat our estimate of 79,182 oz, we are expecting the company s 2017 financials to beat our revenue estimate of $100 million, and net profit estimate of $3.72 million (EPS: $0.10). Bonterra Resources Inc. (TSXV: BTR / Share Price : $0.50 per share/ FRC Rating: BUY with a fair value estimate of $1.03 per share) On February 15, 2018, Bonterra announced its intent to pursue a $21.50 million financing by issuing up to million super flow-through shares at $0.75 per share, and million flowthrough shares at $0.60 per share. The financing is expected to be completed in March 2018.
2 Aton Resources Inc. (TSXV: AAN / Share Price: $0.04 per share/ FRC Rating: BUY with a fair value estimate of $0.13 per share) On February 14, 2018, Aton announced the closing of a previously announced equity financing. The company raised $1.63 million by issuing million units at $0.04 per unit. Each unit consisted of a common share and a share purchase warrant (exercise price - $0.05 per share until February 2023). We were pleased with this raise as the company had originally announced a raise of just $1 million. Insider, OU Moonrider, acquired 25 million units and increased their total holdings to 29% of the total outstanding shares. As mentioned in our previous note, the company is preparing for an aggressive drill program at Rodruin. Corvus Gold Inc. (TSX: KOR/ Share Price: $1.63 per share/ FRC Rating: BUY with a fair value estimate of $3.14 per share) Corvus recently announced that it has expanded its land package in the region to 16 sq. km. The newly acquired land includes three promising targets, and the company has already commenced surface exploration on them. An updated preliminary economic assessment combining the North Bullfrog Project and the Mother Lode project is expected shortly. Kontrol Energy Corp. (CSE: KNR / Share Price: $1.25 per share/ FRC Rating: BUY with a fair value estimate of $2.54 per share) Kontrol announced two significant initiatives last week. 1) Launch of the biotasphere - a Decentralized Ledger Technology (DLT) platform that will enable early-stage companies, larger corporations, governments, and universities, to fasttrack commercialization of new DLT solutions. 2) Development of a utility token (GHGcoin) and a carbon offset trading platform it is a platform focused on greenhouse gas emissions using blockchain. The token, based on DLT, is aimed at sequestering up to 10 billion tonnes of C02 through the carbon offset markets. The value of each GHGcoin will be pegged to the value of one tonne of C02. We will publish a detailed update report once more details are announced. 2
3 3 Anthony De Ruijter, B.A. (econ) Analyst Isodiol Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire 100% of Canadian National Pharma Group Inc. On February 15, 2018, Isodiol announced that it had entered into a definitive agreement with Canadian National Pharma Group Inc. ( CN Pharma ) to acquire 100% of the company s outstanding equity. The company had previously invested $1.5 million ($0.5 million in cash, and the rest in Isodiol stock) to acquire a 25% stake in CN Pharma. This deal makes CN Pharma a wholly owned subsidiary of the company, post-acquisition. The agreement calls for Isodiol to issue $6 million in stock to CN Pharma s shareholders, with the share count based on the closing price on February 14, The closing price at the end of that trading session was $1.16, indicating a total issuance of 5.17 million common shares of Isodiol unto CN Pharma. Our readers may recall that CN Pharma is a late-stage Licensed Dealer ( LD ) applicant under the Health Canada Controlled Substances Act. Upon Health Canada approval of the LD application, CN Pharma will be able to process and manufacture controlled substances, handle cannabinoid derivatives, import and export cannabinoid extracts, prepare custom formulations, and conduct DNA/ product testing on substances such as cannabis. The company continues to exhibit an aggressive, acquisition-led growth strategy. Whilst dilutive, we see this transaction as supportive of future operations on multiple fronts. It increases the assumed baseline revenue used in our DCF models, which readers may refer to in our initiating report. Secondly, the LD status (upon approval) would make Isodiol only the 36 th LD in Canada. This could potentially open Isodiol up to strategic relationships and product licensing agreements with third-parties interested in the formulation and extraction capabilities offered by the LD status. Furthermore, the import/ export capabilities allowed by the LD status stands to further expand Isodiol s international footprint, which is rapidly expanding via Isodiol s strategic acquisitions.
4 Lastly, the formulation capabilities allowed to an LD would allow Isodiol to introduce new products based on custom formulations- an avenue for future organic growth. 4
5 5 Disclaimers and Disclosure The opinions expressed in this report are the true opinions of the analyst(s) about any companies and industries mentioned. Any forward looking statements are our best estimates and opinions based upon information that is publicly available and that we believe to be correct, but we have not independently verified with respect to truth or correctness. There is no guarantee that our forecasts will materialize. Actual results will likely vary. Companies mentioned in this report may be covered by FRC under an issuer paid model or be candidates for coverage. FRC may hold shares in some companies mentioned in this report. Distribution procedure: our reports are distributed first to our web-based subscribers on the date shown on this report then made available to delayed access users through various other channels for a limited time. The performance of FRC s research is ranked by Investars. Full rankings and are available at To subscribe for real-time access to research, visit for subscription options. This report contains "forward looking" statements. Forward-looking statements regarding the Company, industry, and/or stock s performance inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements. Factors that would cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, continued acceptance of the Company's products/services in the marketplace; acceptance in the marketplace of the Company's new product lines/services; competitive factors; new product/service introductions by others; technological changes; dependence on suppliers; systematic market risks and other risks discussed in the Company's periodic report filings, including interim reports, annual reports, and annual information forms filed with the various securities regulators. By making these forwardlooking statements, Fundamental Research Corp. and the analyst/author of this report undertakes no obligation to update these statements for revisions or changes after the date of this report. Fundamental Research Corp DOES NOT MAKE ANY WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THIS INFORMATION AND MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR USE. ANYONE USING THIS REPORT ASSUMES FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR WHATEVER RESULTS THEY OBTAIN FROM WHATEVER USE THE INFORMATION WAS PUT TO. ALWAYS TALK TO YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE YOU INVEST. WHETHER A STOCK SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN A PORTFOLIO DEPENDS ON ONE S RISK TOLERANCE, OBJECTIVES, SITUATION, RETURN ON OTHER ASSETS, ETC. ONLY YOUR INVESTMENT ADVISOR WHO KNOWS YOUR UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES CAN MAKE A PROPER RECOMMENDATION AS TO THE MERIT OF ANY PARTICULAR SECURITY FOR INCLUSION IN YOUR PORTFOLIO. This REPORT is solely for informative purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. It is not intended as being a complete description of the company, industry, securities or developments referred to in the material. Any forecasts contained in this report were independently prepared unless otherwise stated, and HAVE NOT BEEN endorsed by the Management of the company which is the subject of this report. Additional information is available upon request. THIS REPORT IS COPYRIGHT. YOU MAY NOT REDISTRIBUTE THIS REPORT WITHOUT OUR PERMISSION. Please give proper credit, including citing Fundamental Research Corp and/or the analyst, when quoting information from this report. The information contained in this report is intended to be viewed only in jurisdictions where it may be legally viewed and is not intended for use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to local regulations or which would require any registration requirement within such jurisdiction.
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