PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook"

Transcription

1 PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook December 2014 Stocks Rebound from Early October Sell-off & Surge with Liquidity Boost from Japan, Eurozone & China Global Stock Markets to Rally into Year-end Fueled by BoJ Stimulus, ECB Set to Launch QE, Fed on Hold, China Rate Cut & Mini Stimulus, Rate Cuts & Easing Measures by Emerging Central Banks, Improved H2 GDP Growth, Solid Earnings & Fair Valuations Bond Yields Likely to Rise with solid GDP Growth in the U.S. & U.K., Eurozone Stabilizing, Expensive Valuations & Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist John Praveen s Global Investment Outlook for December 2014 expects global stock markets to rally into year-end fueled by BoJ stimulus, ECB prepares to undertake fullfledged QE, China rate cut & mini stimulus, Fed on hold, improved GDP growth in the U.S. and U.K., solid earnings growth & fair valuations. Stocks: Stock markets rebounded from the early October sell-off with sharp rally in late October with easing of Ebola pandemic fears and strong Q3 earnings results. Developed market stocks continued to rally in November with a fresh liquidity boost from the BoJ and ECB, and a surprise rate cut in China. Through November 28, developed markets are up 1.8% to take YTD returns to 4.7%. Emerging markets declined -1.1%, and are up 0.2% YTD. Looking ahead, we expect the global equity rally to continue into 2014 year-end fueled by: 1) Fresh stimulus in Japan, Eurozone & China, the Fed on hold, BoE rate hikes pushed out into 2015, and easing measures by Emerging central banks; 2) Global growth on track to modest H2 recovery with solid growth in the U.S. & U.K., and Eurozone stabilizing; 3) Strong Q3 earnings results and solid earnings outlook with improving GDP growth; and 4) Valuations remains fair and stocks are cheap relative to bonds. We expect U.S. stocks to reach and surpass our 2014 year-end target of 2100 for the S&P 500 index and 18,000 for the Dow. Bonds: Bond yields plunged in early October as weak Eurozone growth, deflation fears and Ebola pandemic scare triggered a sharp sell-off in equity markets leading to safe haven demand for bonds. Yields rose in late October as equity markets rebounded. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone: theresa.miller@ prudential.com Looking ahead, bond yields are likely to rise with; 1) Solid GDP growth in the U.S. and U.K., while Eurozone appears to be stabilizing. Japan GDP contracted in Q3 but is likely to recover in Q4 with fiscal and BoJ stimulus; 2) The Fed ended QE in October and while the Fed has assured that U.S. rates will remain on hold for a considerable period, there is likely to be increased uncertainty about Fed exit strategy; 3) Bond valuations are expensive relative to stocks. However, the rise in bond yields is likely to be limited by: 1) Low inflation in the developed economies with risk of Eurozone sliding into deflation; 2) Fresh BoJ stimulus, while the ECB is laying the ground work to undertake full-fledged QE; 3) Lingering geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. 1 *Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. (PIIA) is a business of Prudential Financial, Inc., (PFI), which is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential plc, a company headquartered in the United Kingdom. For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice. See Disclosures on the last page for important information.

2 Market Outlook: Stocks to Rally into Year-end Fueled by BoJ Stimulus, ECB Prepares to Undertake QE, Fed on Hold, China Rate Cut & Mini Stimulus, Rate Cuts & Easing Measures by Emerging Central Banks, Improved H2 GDP Growth, Solid Earnings & Fair Valuations Bond Yields Likely to Rise with Improved H2 GDP Growth, Expensive Valuations & Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty. Low Inflation, ECB QE, BoJ Stimulus & Geopolitical Tensions Likely to Cap Rise in Yields Stock Market Outlook (December): Stock markets posted modest gains in October fully erasing the losses from late September and early October. Developed markets (MSCI World) gained a modest 0.6% (US$) in October while Emerging markets rose 1.1% (US$). Developed market stocks continued to rally in November with a fresh liquidity boost from the BoJ and ECB, strong Q3 earnings results and a surprise rate cut in China. Through November 28, developed markets are up 1.8% to take YTD returns to 4.7%. Emerging markets declined -1.1% in November, dragged lower by a sharp decline in Emerging Eastern Europe (-7.8%). Emerging markets are up 0.2% YTD. Looking ahead, we expect the equity rally to continue into year-end fueled by: 1) Continued liquidity & interest rate support with fresh stimulus in Japan, Eurozone & China. 2) Global growth remains on track to modest H2 recovery; 3) Solid Earnings Outlook with Improving GDP Growth after strong Q3 Earnings; and 4) Stocks cheap relative to bonds. 1) Continued Liquidity & Interest Rate Support with Fresh Stimulus from BoJ, ECB & PBoC: The interest rate jitters which rocked markets in early October eased as financial markets got another liquidity boost from the BoJ and subsequently from the ECB and a surprise rate cut by China s PBoC. The BoJ surprised markets by announcing an aggressive expansion of stimulus, while the ECB started laying the ground work to undertake full-fledged QE having overcome internal opposition, especially from Germany. The ECB has indicated that it will expand its balance sheet by 1trn to the 2012 level of around 3trn. The ECB has already started purchase of Asset Backed Securities (ABSPP) and is due to start buying covered bonds (CBPP3) in late Q4. China s PBoC continues to provide stimulus with a surprise rate cut in November after targeted, mini liquidity injections in recent months. The Fed ended QE in October with no Taper Tantrums with the Fed reassuring that it will keep U.S. rates low for an extended period implying the first rate cut is unlikely until mid In the U.K., a BoE rate hikes have been pushed out further into 2015 with weak inflation data and some slowing of growth momentum. Several Emerging central banks are cutting rates and/or likely to cut rates or take other easing measures in early 2015 with falling inflation. The ECB left interest rates unchanged at its November meeting but signaled a distinct easing bias, overcoming differences among ECB council members and instructing ECB staff to prepare the ground work for additional easing measures, presumably full fledged QE with broad-based government bond purchases. ECB President Draghi cited two triggers for full-fledged QE: a deterioration in the inflation outlook, or the failure of existing policies to boost the ECB s balance sheet adequately. President Draghi announced that asset purchases will have a sizeable impact on our balance sheet, which is expected to move towards the 3trn level at the beginning of 2012, or a 1trn increase from current level, around 2trn. The ECB decision was unanimous which suggests that the governing council managed to patch up differences over QE expansion, especially German opposition, paving the way for the ECB to undertake full fledged QE. The ECB provided additional information about their current asset purchase program. Covered bond purchases began in late October and purchases of ABS will start in late Q4. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) remained on hold in November after surprising markets with a significant stimulus expansion in late October. With inflation at the low end of the bank s expectations, the Bank announced the expansion of its balance sheet at an annual pace of 80 trillion, up from 50 trillion. The BoJ said that it would accelerate purchases of Japanese government bonds at an annual pace of up to 80 trillion, up from 50 trillion, and triple its purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and real-estate investment trusts (REITs) to 3tr and 90 billion, respectively. 2 For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice.

3 The U.S. Federal Reserve ended its Quantitative Easing program at its late October meeting, without another bout of Taper Tantrums by the Markets. The Fed reiterated that interest rates will remain at current low for a considerable time which means the first rate hike is unlikely before mid However, the Fed made its rate policy a bit more data-dependent, indicating that rate hikes could occur sooner or later than the Fed currently anticipates depending on the evolution of economic data. The Fed upgraded its assessments of current U.S. conditions, acknowledging the improvement in labor market conditions and inflation outlook. In the U.K., the Bank of England (BoE) left U.K. monetary policy unchanged at their November meeting. Low inflation, weak wage growth and downside risks suggest that the BoE rate hikes are pushed out into Emerging central bank policies have been mixed with some central banks easing rates and/or likely to ease in early 2015, while Brazil and Russia are raising rates to counter rising inflation and weakening currencies. The People s Bank of China (PBoC) surprised markets by cutting interest rates for the first time since July The rate cuts follow various targeted easing measures by the PBoC in recent months to provide inter-bank liquidity and lower money market rates and bond yields. Low inflation gives the PBoC room to undertake further easing measures to provide liquidity ahead of year-end. Other emerging central banks are on hold in Asia but India, Taiwan and Korea are likely to cut rates with easing inflation. In Eastern Europe, deflation risk is likely to prompt rate cuts in Hungary, Poland, and Czech Republic in early ) Global Growth on Track to Modest H2 Recovery led by U.S. & U.K, & Eurozone Stabilization: Global GDP growth remains on track to a modest H2 recovery with solid GDP growth in the U.S. and U.K., and Core Eurozone stabilizing after the Q2 weakness while the Periphery remains healthy. Japan was a disappointment with GDP contracting in Q3 but is likely to recover in Q4 with fresh BoJ stimulus, another fiscal stimulus package and the postponement of second round of consumption tax increase. China s GDP growth remains stable in the 7-7.5% range and the policy makers continue to provide targeted stimulus to ensure that growth remains in this range. Growth in the other emerging economies continues to stabilize with improved growth in India, Taiwan, Korea, Turkey and Mexico. Brazil appears to be stabilizing, while Russia continues to struggle with sanctions and the sharp decline in oil prices. The U.S. economy remains solid, with Q3 GDP growth coming in stronger-than-expected at 3.9% annualized (3% expected) after 4.6% growth in Q2. Trade, consumption, and government spending were the key contributors to Q3 growth. Trade added a solid 1.3% to Q3 growth after -0.3% in Q2 as exports rose 7.8%, while imports fell -1.7%. Consumption spending grew 1.3% and added 1.2% to growth, down from 1.8% in Q2, with a slowdown in goods spending. Government spending rose 4.6% and added 0.8% to growth (0.3% in Q2), largely driven by increased defense spending. However, there was a slowdown in investment spending, to only 0.2% from 2.9% in Q2. Looking ahead, U.S. GDP growth is expected to remain solid in Q4, around 3%. The Eurozone economy appears to be stabilizing after the recovery stalled in Q2. Eurozone GDP grew a modest 0.8% QoQ annualized in Q3, according to the advance release, while Q2 GDP growth was revised higher to 0.4% (from 0% initially reported). The Q3 GDP increase allayed fears that the Eurozone economy is in imminent danger of slipping into recession. The annual pace of GDP growth was unchanged at 0.8% YoY. Full details of Q3 growth are not yet available, but a modest recovery in the Core economies lifted Eurozone GDP, while the Periphery remained healthy. U.K. growth outlook remains solid, with Q3 GDP growing 3% YoY after 3.2% in Q2. Quarterly growth was 2.8% annualized after 3.6% in Q2. Full details are not yet available. Japanese GDP fell, unexpectedly, contracting -1.6% annualized in Q3 after a sharp -7.1% decline in Q2 driven by a decline in business investment spending while recovery in consumption spending was modest. Following the unexpected decline in Q3 GDP, PM Abe called for snap elections to the Lower House to seek a fresh mandate for 3 For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice.

4 Abenomics and to push back the second round of tax increase scheduled in PM Abe announced a delay in the second increase in consumption tax scheduled for October 2015 to This is expected to help support consumption growth over Further, the government is considering fresh fiscal stimulus with a supplementary budget of 2-3 tr (0.5% of GDP) to boost the economy. Japanese GDP growth is expected to recover to around 1.5% in Q4. 3) Strong Q3 Earnings, Solid Earnings Outlook: Global earnings are expected to rise around 10% in 2015 after rising around 8% in 2014 driven by improving global GDP growth and solid margins. U.S. Q3 earnings results are coming out stronger than expected with earnings growth tracking 9.3% with 363 of the S&P 500 companies reporting and 76% of the companies beating expectations. After the Q3 earnings upside surprises, 2014 full-year earnings are tracking 8% and expected to accelerate to over 10% in Eurozone earnings are expected to strengthen to around 14% in 2015 after an 8% rise in Japanese earnings growth is tracking around 12% in 2015 and expected to grow over 10% in However, earnings expectations are likely to be revised lower after GDP growth contraction in Q3 and expectations are for modest growth in coming quarters. U.K. earnings remain lackluster with 3% growth in 2014 and 5% in Emerging Market earnings growth is expected to improve modestly to around 8% in 2015 after 7% in EM earnings growth is driven by solid earnings growth in EM Asia while earnings in Latin America and EMEA have lagged. 4) Stock Valuations remain Reasonable despite Modest Rise in P/Es on October Gains: Stock market P/E multiples rose in October with global markets posting gains amidst extreme intra month volatility. The P/E multiple for developed markets (DM) rose modestly to 18.1X in October from 17.9X in September, but remains well below the long term average of 21.2X. U.S. (S&P 500) trailing P/E multiple rose to 17.9X at the end of October from 17.5X at the end of September. The U.S. trailing P/E multiple still remains below the 2014 high of 18.1X in August and the long-term average of 19.3X. The P/E for Japanese stocks (TOPIX) was unchanged at 15.6X at the end of October, while the P/E for Eurozone stocks (STOXX 600) fell to 20.5X from 20.9X in September. Emerging Market (EM) P/E multiples rose slightly to 12.9X from 12.7X in September as EM stocks rose 1.3% during the month. Bottom-line: Stock markets rebounded from the early October sell-off as the Ebola pandemic fears eased and Q3 earnings were stronger-than-expected. Stock markets continued to rally in November with a fresh liquidity boost from the BoJ and ECB, and rate cut in China. The rally lifted the U.S. S&P 500 to a new all time high (2070). Through November 28, developed markets are up 1.8% to take YTD returns to 4.7%. Emerging markets declined -1.1% in November, dragged lower by a sharp decline in Emerging Eastern Europe (-7.8%). Emerging markets are up 0.2% YTD. Looking ahead, we expect the global equity rally to continue into year-end fueled by: 1) Fresh Stimulus in Japan, Eurozone & China. The BoJ announced fresh stimulus, aggressively expanding its balance sheet, while the ECB has started to lay the ground work to undertake full-fledged QE. China delivered a surprise rate cut in November after targeted, mini stimulus in recent months. The Fed ended QE in October with no Taper Tantrums and reassured that the first rate hike is unlikely until mid Several Emerging central banks have been cutting rates and likely to undertake easing measures in early 2015; 2) Global growth remains on track to modest H2 recovery with around 3% growth in the U.S. & U.K. Eurozone appears to be stabilizing with the Core economies posting modest growth in Q3 while the Periphery remains healthy. Japan GDP contracted in Q3 but is likely to recover in Q4 with fresh BoJ stimulus, another fiscal stimulus package and postponement of the 2015 tax hike. China GDP growth remains stable in the 7-7.5% range and growth continues to improve in India, Taiwan, Korea, Turkey and Mexico; 3) Strong Q3 Earnings, Solid Earnings Outlook with Improving GDP Growth: The Q3 earnings results were strong in the U.S. and Europe and earnings outlook remains solid with improving GDP growth. Global earnings are expected to rise over 8% in 2014 and improve to 10% in 2015 driven by solid earnings growth in the U.S. (11%), Japan (12%), Emerging Markets (8%) and Eurozone (14%); 4) Fair Valuations: Stock market P/E multiples rose in October with markets posting gains amidst extreme intra 4 For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice.

5 month volatility. However, P/E multiples remain below long term averages. Stocks are cheap relative to bonds given the decline in bond yields. We expect favorable macro, earnings and valuation fundamentals to fuel the equity rally to year-end. However, stocks face several uncertainties including ECB disappointing again on full-fledged QE, weak growth in Eurozone and Japan, another round of destabilizing Washington dysfunction and geo-political tensions. Further, while the Fed has assured that U.S. rates will remain on hold for a considerable period, there is likely to be increased uncertainty about Fed exit strategy and timing of first rate hike. While these uncertainties are likely to keep markets volatile, we expect stock markets to rally into year-end fuelled by liquidity & low interest rates, improved H2 GDP growth, solid earnings and fair valuations. We expect U.S. stocks to reach and surpass our 2014 year-end target of 2100 for the S&P 500 index and 18,000 for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Bond Market Outlook: Yields Likely to Rise with Improved H2 GDP Growth, Expensive Valuation & Fed Rate Uncertainty Bond yields plunged in early October as weak Eurozone growth, deflation fears and Ebola pandemic scare triggered a sharp sell-off in equity markets leading to safe haven demand for bonds. Yields rose in late October as equity markets rebounded. Looking ahead, bond yields are likely to rise with; 1) Solid GDP growth in the U.S. and U.K., while Eurozone appears to be stabilizing. Japan GDP contracted in Q3 but is likely to recover in Q4; 2) The Fed ended QE in October and while the Fed has assured that U.S. rates will remain on hold for a considerable period, there is likely to be increased uncertainty about Fed exit strategy; 3) Bond valuations are very expensive relative to stocks. However, the rise in bond yields is likely to be limited by: 1) Low inflation in the developed economies with the risk of Eurozone sliding into deflation; 2) The BoJ announcing fresh stimulus, while the ECB is laying the ground work to undertake full-fledged QE; 3) Lingering geopolitical tensions and risk. Investment Strategy: Asset Allocation: Stocks vs. Bonds - Increase Equity Overweight as Stocks to Rally into Year-end with BoJ, ECB & China Stimulus, Fed on Hold, Improved H2 Growth, Solid Earnings & Fair Valuations Stocks Increase overweight as stocks rebound from early October sell-off and likely to rally into year-end fueled by fresh BoJ stimulus, ECB undertaking full fledged QE, Fed on hold, China rate cut & mini stimulus, rate cuts & easing measures by other Emerging central banks, improved H2 GDP growth, solid earnings & fair valuations. Bonds Remain modest underweight as bond yields likely to rise with solid GDP growth in the U.S. & U.K., Eurozone stabilizing, expensive valuations & Fed rate hike uncertainty. Low inflation, ECB QE, BoJ stimulus and lingering geopolitical tensions are likely to limit the rise in yields. Global Equity Strategy: Modest Overweight in Emerging Asia, Japan & Eurozone; Downgrade U.S. to Modest Underweight; Underweight U.K., Latin America & Emerging Europe. Emerging Markets: Modest Overweight in Emerging Asia with China rate cut & mini stimulus, India reforms & rate cuts likely; Underweight in Latin America & EM Europe: Weak GDP growth in Brazil, rate hikes & reforms unlikely under Dilma II. Russia recession, rate hikes & Ukraine tensions persist. Japan: Raise to Modest Overweight with BoJ expanding stimulus, reforms likely to gets a jump start after snap election. Eurozone: Raise to Modest Overweight with ECB preparing to launch full fledged QE, expand balance sheet by 1trn, Eurozone growth stabilizing. 5 For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice.

6 U.S.: Reduce Overweight on profit taking after strong run, Fed rate hike uncertainty, risk of Washington dysfunction. Dollar strength poses risks to U.S. growth & earnings. Easing risk aversion reduces safe haven appeal of U.S. stocks. U.K.: Remain Underweight with BoE set to hike rates but growth momentum slowing with slower Eurozone GDP growth. Global Bond Market Strategy: Yields likely to Rise with Improved GDP, Fed Rate Hike Uncertainty. Low Inflation, BoJ Stimulus & ECB QE likely to Cap Rise in Yields Eurozone: Remain Overweight with weak GDP growth, low inflation and ECB preparing to undertake full fledged QE. EM Bonds: Modest Overweight with growth stabilizing, China rate cuts & mini stimulus, rate cuts by other banks, easing political uncertainties. Japan JGBs: Raise to Neutral with BoJ stimulus & fresh Abe reforms likely after snap elections. GPIF AA shift to risky assets a negative. U.S. Treasuries: Remain Modest Underweight as yields likely to rise with solid H2 GDP growth, uncertainty about Fed s exit strategy & timing of first rate hike, expensive valuations. Reduced safe haven demand with easing geopolitical tensions. U.K. Gilts: Remain Underweight as yields under pressure with solid GDP growth and BoE starts rate hikes in Global Sector Strategy: Overweight: Info. Tech & Healthcare; Modest Overweight: Industrials & Financials; Neutral: Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Telecomms; Underweight: Energy, Consumer Staples & Utilities. Currency Strategy: Overweight: U.S. Dollar (solid GDP growth & Fed ends QE) Neutral: Emerging Market Currencies (improving GDP growth, easing political uncertainties) & Pound Sterling (solid GDP growth but BoE rate hikes pushed out into 2015); Underweight: Euro & Yen (weak GDP growth in Eurozone & Japan, ECB set to undertake full-fledged QE, & BoJ expands stimulus). Follow us on Twitter: Disclosures: Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. (PIIA), a Prudential Financial, Inc. (PFI) company, is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission of the United States. Pramerica is a trade name used by PFI and its affiliated companies in select countries outside of the United States. PFI, a company incorporated and with its principal place of business in the United States of America is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential plc, a company headquartered in the United Kingdom. The commentary presented is for informational purposes only, and is not intended as investment advice. This material has been prepared by PIIA on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third party sources believed to be reliable. However, no assurances are provided regarding the reliability of such information. All opinions and views constitute judgments of PIIA as of the date of this writing, and are subject to change at any time without notice. There can be no assurance that any forecast made herein will be realized. Distribution of this information to any person other than the person to whom it was originally delivered and to such person s advisers is unauthorized and no part of this material may be reproduced or distributed further without the written approval of PIIA. These materials are not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any jurisdiction where such distribution would be contrary to local law or regulation. The companies, securities, sectors and/or markets referenced herein are included solely for illustrative purposes to highlight the economic trends, conditions, and the investment process, but may or may not be held by accounts actually managed by PIIA. The strategies and asset allocations discussed do not refer to any service or product offered by PIIA or by its affiliates The global asset and strategy allocation models presented are hypothetical allocation models shown for illustrative purposes only, and do not necessarily reflect the management of any actual account. Following the allocation recommendations presented will not necessarily result in profitable investments. Past performance is not an assurance of future results. Nothing herein should be viewed as investment advice to adopt any investment strategy, nor should it be considered an offer to provide investment advisory or other allocation services Prudential Financial, Inc. and it related entities. Prudential, the Prudential logo and the Rock symbol are service marks of Prudential Financial, Inc. and it related entities, registered in many jurisdictions worldwide. 6 For informational use only. Not intended as investment advice.

Global Investment Outlook

Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook 2015 Year Ahead - Global Investment Outlook Stocks likely to Post Solid Gains in 2015 Fuelled by Fresh QE Stimulus in Eurozone

More information

PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook

PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook February 2015 Stocks to Fully Rebound from Late 2014/Early 2015 Sell-off with ECB Launching Aggressive QE, Rate Cuts by Several

More information

November PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

November PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy November 2015 John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Theresa Miller Phone:

More information

PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook

PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook September 2013 Financial Market Outlook: Stocks likely to Remain in Modest Uptrend with Low Rates & Plentiful Liquidity, Improving

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy February 2017 Global Stock Market Rally likely to Continue with Solid Q4 Earnings & Stronger 2017 Earnings, ECB

More information

Global Investment Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook

Global Investment Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014 2014 Year Ahead - Global Investment Outlook Financial Market Outlook: After Strong Gains

More information

Global Investment Outlook

Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook April 2014 Stocks to Rebound & Post Further Gains as Global Growth Strengthens after Q1 Soft Patch, Earnings Rebound, Low Interest

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy March 2017 Global Stock Markets Rally likely to Continue, Driven by Strong Earnings & Strengthening GDP Growth.

More information

September PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

September PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy September 2015 Stock Market Volatility likely to Remain Elevated in Near-term on China Concerns & Fed Uncertainty.

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy John Praveen, PhD Chief Investment Strategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Mayura Hooper Phone: 973-367-7930 Email:

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised

Financial Market Outlook: Further Stock Gain on Faster GDP Rebound and Earnings Recovery. Year-end Target Raised For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: FurtherStock Gains Likely, Year-end Target Raised. Bond Under Pressure

More information

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy April 2017 Stock Markets likely to Grind Higher as Expectations of Strong Earnings Growth & Improving Global GDP

More information

March PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

March PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy March 2016 Stocks likely to Recover Further with Improving Growth & Recession Fears Easing, Fresh Stimulus from

More information

May PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

May PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy May 2016 Stocks under Shadow of Brexit Risk & Weak Earnings but likely to Grind Higher with Central Bank Put. Bonds

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Global Economic Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014

Global Economic Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014 PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Economic Outlook 2014 Year Ahead Outlook January 2014 2014 Year Ahead - Global Economic Outlook Global Growth Strengthens as U.S. & U.K. GDP Growth

More information

February PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

February PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy February 2016 Equity Market Turmoil in Early 2016 on Oil-Induced Recession Fears. Stocks Likely to Stabilize with

More information

Global Investment Outlook

Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook December 2013 Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Fed Taper Delay, ECB Rate Cut & Further Easing Likely, Improving

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy May 2008 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity

Financial Market Outlook: Stock Rally Continues with Faster & Stronger GDP Rebound, Earnings Recovery & Liquidity For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Further Stock Gains with Macro Sweet Spot & Earnings Recovery.

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy October 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* October - November 2012 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* Global Investment Strategy: Maintain Equity Overweight as Q3 Stock Market Rally

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy & Outlook For 2009 December 17, 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact:

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Global Investment Strategy

Global Investment Strategy By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

August PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

August PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook & Strategy August 2015 After Greece Relief Rally, Stocks to Grind Higher with Reduced Grexit Risk, Draghi Liquidity Put, Further

More information

Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks

Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Bottoming On Track to Recovery. Near-term Risks John Praveen

More information

Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound

Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond Yields Range Bound For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com Financial Market Outlook & Strategy: Stocks Rebounding from July Correction, Further Gains Likely. Bond

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy March 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy February 2010

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy February 2010 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy February 2010 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY January 2018 John Praveen, PhD Managing Director FOLLOW US ON TWITTER: @prustrategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Kristin Meza Phone: 973-367-4104 Email: kristin.meza@ prudential.com PGIM is the Global

More information

Global Investment Outlook

Global Investment Outlook PRUDENTIAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS ADVISERS, LLC. Global Investment Outlook November 2013 Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Rebound with U.S. Debt Deal, Fed QE Taper Delay, Yellen Nomination, Low Rates

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy June 2009

Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy June 2009 Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC. Global Investment Strategy June 2009 By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: Lisa Villareal, 973-367-2503/lisa.villareal@prudential.com

More information

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.*

By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* Financial Market Outlook: Stocks Supported by Renewed Central Bank Put but Face Headwinds from Continued

More information

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY May 2018 John Praveen, PhD Managing Director FOLLOW Us ON TWITTER: @prustrategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Kristin Meza Phone: 973-367-4104 Email: kristin.meza@ prudential.com PGIM is the Global Investment

More information

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY November 2017 John Praveen, PhD Managing Director FOLLOW US ON TWITTER: @prustrategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Kristin Meza Phone: 973-367-4104 Email: kristin.meza@ prudential.com Equity Rally likely

More information

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY

GLOBAL INVESTMENT OUTLOOK & STRATEGY December 2017 John Praveen, PhD Managing Director FOLLOW US ON TWITTER: @prustrategist FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT: Kristin Meza Phone: 973-367-4104 Email: kristin.meza@ prudential.com Stocks likely to

More information

Global Economic Outlook

Global Economic Outlook By John Praveen, Chief Investment Strategist of Prudential International Investments Advisers, LLC.* For Market Commentary Interviews Contact: lisa.villareal@prudential.com/973-367-2503 or follow Praveen

More information

June 2013 Equities Rally Drive Global Re-rating

June 2013 Equities Rally Drive Global Re-rating June 2013 Equities Rally Drive Global Re-rating Since the lows of 2011, global equities have rallied 30% while Earnings per Share remained flat. This has been the biggest mid-cycle re-rating of global

More information

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY KEY TAKEAWAYS 2017 was an excellent year for international equities, particularly EM. We favor the United States and EM equities for tactical global asset allocations

More information

January market performance. Equity Markets Price Indices Index

January market performance. Equity Markets Price Indices Index Global Central Banks continue to lower interest rates. The RBA cuts the cash rate by 25bp to 2.25% (February 2015). The ECB finally announces Quantitative Easing 60b per month. Oil prices declined again

More information

Economic and Portfolio Outlook 4th Quarter 2014 (Released October 2014)

Economic and Portfolio Outlook 4th Quarter 2014 (Released October 2014) Economic and Portfolio Outlook 4th Quarter 2014 (Released October 2014) Our economic outlook for the fourth quarter of 2014 for the U.S. is continued slow growth. We stated in our 3 rd quarter Economic

More information

B-GUIDE: Market Outlook

B-GUIDE: Market Outlook Quarterly Market Outlook: Quarter 1 2018 on 5 th January 2018 Investment Outlook for 1 st Quarter 2018 Accelerating Global Economy Supports the Rising Earnings Equity Thailand US Europe Japan Asia Bond

More information

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions. ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS First Quarter 2017 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.

More information

Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War

Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War Quarterly Market Outlook: Quarter 2 2018 on 3 April 2018 Global Equites declined from Concern over Trade War Investment Outlook for 2 nd Quarter 2018 Equity Thailand U.S. Europe Japan Asia Bond Thailand

More information

Quarterly market summary

Quarterly market summary Quarterly market summary 3rd Quarter 2017 Economic overview Economic data released during the quarter seemed to signal a continuation of synchronised global recovery in almost all regions. This is being

More information

Weekly Market Commentary

Weekly Market Commentary LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Weekly Market Commentary November 18, 2014 Emerging Markets Opportunity Still Emerging Burt White Chief Investment Officer LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Market Strategist

More information

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc.

OUTLOOK 2014/2015. BMO Asset Management Inc. OUTLOOK 2014/2015 BMO Asset Management Inc. We would like to take this opportunity to provide our capital markets outlook for the remainder of 2014 and the first half of 2015 and our recommended asset

More information

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions. ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS Fourth Quarter 2016 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.

More information

Markit economic overview

Markit economic overview Markit Economics Markit economic overview PMI data highlight growing variations in likely policy paths 9 June 2015 Global growth slows for second month running in May Global economic growth edged lower

More information

Beyond The realm Of possibilities

Beyond The realm Of possibilities Beyond The realm Of possibilities 2014 2nd Quarter Report 目錄 Table of Contents Market Outlook US Dollar Index. 4 EURUSD... 5 GBPUSD. 6 USDJPY.... 7 Products Performance Review POWERFUND. 9 12 Ayers Alliance

More information

International & Global Commentaries

International & Global Commentaries International & Global Commentaries Market Review International Equity Global Select Looking Ahead Market Review In aggregate, global equities posted positive returns in the first quarter, with developed

More information

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK: FAVOR U.S.; STICK WITH EM

GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK: FAVOR U.S.; STICK WITH EM LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY KEY TAKEAWAYS U.S. economic and earnings growth continue to stand out globally and support our positive view of U.S. equities. We continue to see upside potential

More information

Economic Outlook. DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months

Economic Outlook. DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months Economic Outlook DMS Economic Outlook for next 12 months GDP growth has rebounded from a dismal first quarter and GDP is growing modestly at 2.6%. Personal income growth has improved in recent months and

More information

Market Insight Economy and Asset Classes December Oil Prices Downtrending: The Real Global Economic Stimulus

Market Insight Economy and Asset Classes December Oil Prices Downtrending: The Real Global Economic Stimulus Market Insight Economy and Asset Classes December 2014 Oil Prices Downtrending: The Real Global Economic Stimulus 2 Equities Markets Feature In Citi analysts view, the expansion phase the US are enjoying

More information

Medium Risk Portfolio QUANTUM FUNDS PORTFOLIO REVIEW NOVEMBER DECEMBER 2014 OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGY COMPOSITION OF PORTFOLIO QUANTUM FUNDS

Medium Risk Portfolio QUANTUM FUNDS PORTFOLIO REVIEW NOVEMBER DECEMBER 2014 OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGY COMPOSITION OF PORTFOLIO QUANTUM FUNDS QUANTUM FUNDS ($500 INVESTMENT) Medium Risk Portfolio QUANTUM FUNDS PORTFOLIO REVIEW NOVEMBER OBJECTIVE AND STRATEGY The fund pursues the objective of long-term total returns combined with capital preservation.

More information

Market Outlook November 2014 More Economic Divergences, More Volatility

Market Outlook November 2014 More Economic Divergences, More Volatility 2 Market Outlook November 2014 More Economic Divergences, More Volatility Equities Markets Feature As global markets hover between price peaks and volatility lows, global investors are dealing with a cacophony

More information

February market performance. Index. Index. Global economies

February market performance. Index. Index. Global economies March 2016 Global equity markets continued to correct through February but stage an early March recovery Oil prices staged a strong recovery from mid-february up 37% China economic data continued to consolidate

More information

First Quarter 2016 Market Commentary

First Quarter 2016 Market Commentary First Quarter 2016 Market Commentary Domestic equity indices finished the quarter mixed following a period of heightened volatility to start the year. International markets also faced dispersion as developed

More information

February market performance. Equity Markets Index Price Indices. Property Index Price Index

February market performance. Equity Markets Index Price Indices. Property Index Price Index MARCH 2017 In February, global equity markets continued to trend higher boosted by optimism about US growth and reasonably good economic and corporate earnings data. In the United States, the Standard

More information

KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017

KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017 KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION August 2017 Investment climate Key rate trends and outlook 2,0 2,0 1,5 VS EMU 1,5 0,5 0,5 0,0 0,0-0,5-0,5 - - 07-2012 07-2013 07-2014 07-2015 07-2016 07-2017 07-2018

More information

Market Outlook March 2015 Euro equities: Beyond political risks. By Citi EMEA Consumer Bank

Market Outlook March 2015 Euro equities: Beyond political risks. By Citi EMEA Consumer Bank Market Outlook March 2015 Euro equities: Beyond political risks By Citi EMEA Consumer Bank Equities Markets Feature On 22 January 2015, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its long-awaited large

More information

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY KEY TAKEAWAYS The IMF will release its World Economic Outlook this week, which will garner plenty of attention in the financial media. As first quarter earnings

More information

Market Outlook. April 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE

Market Outlook. April 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE Market Outlook April 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE ECB to the rescue On 10 March 2016, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the

More information

Global MT outlook: Will the crisis in emerging markets derail the recovery?

Global MT outlook: Will the crisis in emerging markets derail the recovery? Global MT outlook: Will the crisis in emerging markets derail the recovery? John Walker Chairman and Chief Economist jwalker@oxfordeconomics.com March 2014 Oxford Economics Oxford Economics is one of the

More information

Danske Bank March 1 ST 2016 Economic Update,

Danske Bank March 1 ST 2016 Economic Update, Monthly update: Tuesday 1 March 2016 Danske Bank Chief Economist, Twitter: angela_mcgowan Local job and investment announcements during January 2016: The NI economy suffered a significant blow during the

More information

Global Update. 6 th October, Global Prospects. Contacts: Madan Sabnavis Chief Economist

Global Update. 6 th October, Global Prospects. Contacts: Madan Sabnavis Chief Economist Global Update Global Prospects 6 th October, 2010 Contacts: Madan Sabnavis Chief Economist 91-022-6754 3489 Samruddha Paradkar Associate Economist 91-022-6754 3407 Krithika Subramanian Associate Economist

More information

Economic forecasts. Summary. December 2014

Economic forecasts. Summary. December 2014 December 2014 Summary The US economy has maintained momentum through the third quarter, once again led by investment and consumption. The solid employment growth of recent months suggests that wage pressures

More information

Emerging market debt outlook

Emerging market debt outlook Investment Insights Emerging market debt outlook January 2012 2011 in review 2011 was a year in which investors focused on the economic fundamentals underlying their investments. Financial markets were

More information

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 December 2017

Summary. Economic Update 1 / 7 December 2017 Economic Update Economic Update 1 / 7 Summary 2 Global Strengthening of the pickup in global growth, with GDP expected to increase 2.9% in 2017 and 3.1% in 2018. 3 Eurozone The eurozone recovery is upholding

More information

SIP Aggressive Portfolio

SIP Aggressive Portfolio SIP LIFESTYLE PORTFOLIOS FACT SHEET (NOV 2015) SIP Aggressive Portfolio SIP Aggressive Portfolio is a unitized fund, which is designed to provide long term capital growth. It is designed for those who

More information

2018 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

2018 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY December 4 207 208 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK EXPECT BETTER GROWTH WORLDWIDE John Lynch Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial Barry Gilbert, PhD, CFA Asset Allocation

More information

May market performance. Index. Index. Global economies

May market performance. Index. Index. Global economies JUNE 2016 The recovery in equity and commodity prices from February lows continued into May with the third straight month of equity and commodity price rises. Oil prices continued to move higher, up another

More information

Market Outlook. March 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE

Market Outlook. March 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE Market Outlook March 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE Negative BoJ interest rate and its implications? In a surprise move, the BoJ

More information

Market volatility to continue

Market volatility to continue How much more? Renewed speculation that financial institutions may report increased US subprime-related losses has sent equity markets tumbling. How much more bad news can investors expect going forward?

More information

Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management. Americas Edition June CIO View. Macro outlook. Flood of money continues

Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management. Americas Edition June CIO View. Macro outlook. Flood of money continues Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management Americas Edition June 214 CIO View Macro outlook Flood of money continues Growing divergence The United States is leading the economic way, followed by Japan and then

More information

Market Outlook. July 2015

Market Outlook. July 2015 Market Outlook July 2015 Greece Defaults; Contagion Risks Limited Greek government failed to make the EUR 1.6bn IMF debt payment due on 30 June and becomes the first nation to default on IMF since Mugabe's

More information

Perspectives JAN Market Preview: Non-U.S. Equities

Perspectives JAN Market Preview: Non-U.S. Equities Perspectives JAN 2018 2018 Market Preview: Non-U.S. Equities SUSTAINED STRENGTH OR ONE HIT WONDER? Non-U.S. equity investors patience was finally rewarded with a banner year in 2017, as both strong economic

More information

1 month 3 mths FYTD 1 Year Fund (Net)

1 month 3 mths FYTD 1 Year Fund (Net) Overview Fund objective Key features To generate long-term returns before fees in excess of traditional capitalisation weighted global equity indices by investing in a diversified portfolio of equity and

More information

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions.

Explore the themes and thinking behind our decisions. ASSET ALLOCATION COMMITTEE VIEWPOINTS Fourth Quarter 2017 These views are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.

More information

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 2015 & 2016 John J. Canally, Jr., CFA Chief Economic Strategist, LPL Financial

GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 2015 & 2016 John J. Canally, Jr., CFA Chief Economic Strategist, LPL Financial LPL RESEARCH WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY October 1 15 GAUGING GLOBAL GROWTH: AN UPDATE FOR 15 & 16 John J. Canally, Jr., CFA Chief Economic Strategist, LPL Financial KEY TAKEAWAYS As companies report third

More information

Global Macroeconomic Outlook March 2016

Global Macroeconomic Outlook March 2016 Prepared by Meketa Investment Group Global Economic Outlook Projections for global growth continue to be lowered, as the economic recovery in many countries remains weak. The IMF reduced their 206 global

More information

Personal Managed Funds and Future Lifestyle Plan. Investor Report

Personal Managed Funds and Future Lifestyle Plan. Investor Report Personal Managed Funds and Future Lifestyle Plan Investor Report for the six months ended 31 March 2016 1 Getting the most from your Investor Report Your Investor Report makes it easy for you to see how

More information

INVESTMENT OUTLOOK. August 2017

INVESTMENT OUTLOOK. August 2017 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK August 2017 INVESTMENT OUTLOOK AUGUST 2017 MACRO-ECONOMICS AND CURRENCIES Developed and Emerging Markets A series of comments from major central banks during the month, reminded investors

More information

MONTHLY INVESTMENT OVERVIEW

MONTHLY INVESTMENT OVERVIEW MONTHLY INVESTMENT OVERVIEW Asset Class View MONTH IN BRIEF Equities Fixed Income Real Estate Commodities Low Vol / Alternatives Cash Despite intense warmongering between the US and North Korea after the

More information

ORSO 職業退休計劃. Fidelity Advantage Portfolio Fund

ORSO 職業退休計劃. Fidelity Advantage Portfolio Fund ORSO 職業退休計劃 Fidelity Advantage Portfolio Fund Semi-Annual Report and Accounts For the period ended 30 June 2018 SEMI-ANNUAL REPORT AND ACCOUNTS - FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 30TH JUNE 2018 Contents Pages Management

More information

Leumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. May 8, The Finance Division, Economics Department. leumiusa.

Leumi. Global Economics Monthly Review. Arie Tal, Research Economist. May 8, The Finance Division, Economics Department. leumiusa. Global Economics Monthly Review May 8, 2018 Arie Tal, Research Economist The Finance Division, Economics Department Leumi leumiusa.com Please see important disclaimer on the last page of this report Key

More information

Global Macroeconomic Outlook March LOWDER BROOK DRIVE SUITE 1100 WESTWOOD MA FAX

Global Macroeconomic Outlook March LOWDER BROOK DRIVE SUITE 1100 WESTWOOD MA FAX March 208 M E K E T A I N V E S T M E N T G R O U P 00 LOWDER BROOK DRIVE SUITE 00 WESTWOOD MA 02090 78 47 3500 FAX 78 47 34 Global Economic Outlook The IMF continues to forecast a slight pick-up in growth

More information

Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios

Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios Portfolio Strategist Update from BlackRock Active Opportunity ETF Portfolios As of Sept. 30, 2017 Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc., ("Ameriprise Financial") is the investment manager for Active Opportunity

More information

April 2016 Market Commentary

April 2016 Market Commentary April 2016 Market Commentary Domestic equity indices finished the month mixed, while international developed markets ended higher. The falling U.S. dollar continued to reverberate across markets, especially

More information

INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES

INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES 2018 Global Market Outlook Press Briefing INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES Justin Thomson Portfolio Manager, CIO, Equity November 14, 2017 FOR 2018 GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK PRESS BRIEFING. PROVIDED TO DESIGNATED MEMBERS

More information

1 World Economy. Value of Finnish Forest Industry Exports Fell by Almost a Quarter in 2009

1 World Economy. Value of Finnish Forest Industry Exports Fell by Almost a Quarter in 2009 1 World Economy The recovery in the world economy that began during 2009 has started to slow since spring 2010 as stocks are replenished and government stimulus packages are gradually brought to an end.

More information

Emerging Markets Weekly Economic Briefing

Emerging Markets Weekly Economic Briefing Emerging Markets Weekly Economic Briefing Divergence in emergers monetary policy This year economic activity across the emergers has been subdued but inflation has generally remained moderate, allowing

More information

WHAT GLOBAL SYNCHRONIZED EXPANSION?

WHAT GLOBAL SYNCHRONIZED EXPANSION? Special Commentary Written by Leo Goldstein WHAT GLOBAL SYNCHRONIZED EXPANSION? LEO GOLDSTEIN Senior Research Analyst JAMES F. KEEGAN Chairman and Chief Investment Officer Seix Investment Advisors is an

More information

Investment Monthly. Goldilocks economic backdrop continues. October 2, Strong and synchronized global growth environment persists.

Investment Monthly. Goldilocks economic backdrop continues. October 2, Strong and synchronized global growth environment persists. Investment Monthly October 2, 2017 For Retail Client Use Goldilocks economic backdrop continues Key takeaways We remain overweight global equities and local currency emerging market (EM) government bonds.

More information

ASSET ALLOCATION MONTHLY BNPP AM Multi Asset, Quantitative and Solutions (MAQS)

ASSET ALLOCATION MONTHLY BNPP AM Multi Asset, Quantitative and Solutions (MAQS) FOR PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS 6 September 2018 ASSET ALLOCATION MONTHLY BNPP AM Multi Asset, Quantitative and Solutions (MAQS) REGIONAL DIFFERENCES, DIVERGENT RETURNS Asset allocation overview: Christophe

More information

Adjusting to a Stronger Dollar and Weaker Oil Prices

Adjusting to a Stronger Dollar and Weaker Oil Prices 2 nd Quarter 2015 Adjusting to a Stronger Dollar and Weaker Oil Prices Most Americans are aware that the U.S. economy and markets are more frequently and deeply affected by global developments than was

More information

Economic and market snapshot for January 2016

Economic and market snapshot for January 2016 From left to right: Herman van Papendorp (Head of Macro Research and Asset Allocation), Sanisha Packirisamy (Economist) Economic and market snapshot for January 2016 Global economic developments United

More information

Market Outlook. May 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE

Market Outlook. May 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE Market Outlook May 2016 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT A BANK DEPOSIT. NOT GOVERNMENT INSURED. NO BANK GUARANTEE. MAY LOSE VALUE Could Commodities be a Catalyst for Optimism? As we head into mid year, the main

More information