RBC Global Mining and Materials Conference JUNE 14-15, The future of Oyu Tolgoi is underground Developing the third-largest copper mine

Transcription

1 RBC Global Mining and Materials Conference JUNE 14-15, 2016 The future of Oyu Tolgoi is underground Developing the third-largest copper mine

2 Forward-looking statements This presentation includes certain forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbour provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of All statements and information, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements and information that involve various risks and uncertainties. There can be no assurances that such statements or information will prove accurate and actual results and future events could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Such statements and information contained herein, which include, but are not limited to, statements respecting anticipated business activities, planned expenditures, corporate strategies and other statements that are not historical facts, represent the Company s best judgment as of the date hereof based on information currently available. The Company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information or to conform these forward-looking statements or information to actual results, except as required by law. For a more detailed list of specific forward-looking statements and information applicable to the Company, refer to the Forward-Looking Information and Forward-Looking Statements section of the Annual Information Form dated as of March 15, 2016 in respect to the year ended December 31, All amounts are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated. 2

3 Investment summary Re-starting underground development 2015 Underground Development Plan approved (May), pre-start activities began (Aug) and project finance signed (Dec) May 2016 Notice to proceed approved and 2016 feasibility study completed June 2016 EPCM contract awarded to Jacobs Engineering Targeting mid-2016 underground construction re-start Long-life, high-grade asset with significant expansion potential Underground copper grades roughly 3.5 times open pit Hugo North Lift 1 first part of underground development Development pipeline includes Hugo North Lift 2, Hugo South and Heruga Multi-generational copper asset based on current reserves and resources Open pit in production Strong Q1 16 concentrator performance; currently averaging above nameplate capacity All-in sustaining cost per pound of copper: $0.62 Q1 16; $ Cash of $1.5 billion (Q1 16) Investment to date of >$6.5 billion 3

4 Multi-generational copper asset* Southern Oyu Open Pit ~1,000Mt (reserve) 0.45% copper; 0.31 g/t gold Heruga ~700Mt (resource) 0.42% copper 0.43 g/t gold; >100Mlb moly Hugo South ~300Mt (resource) 1.07% copper 0.06 g/t gold Hugo North Lift 1 ~500Mt (reserve) 1.66% copper; 0.35 g/t gold Plant Hugo North Lift 2 ~700Mt (resource) 1.13% copper; 0.36 g/t gold * Based on current reserves and resources. 4

5 Hugo North Lift 1 development timeline Sustainable underground production Complete convey to surface Project re-start 1st draw bell firing Complete concentrator upgrade Complete ramp-up Pre-start Excavation (lateral / mass / vertical) Excavation (lateral) Undercutting Extraction level access Extraction level access Material handling (conveyto surface + crushers + shafts) Surface infrastructure Concentrator upgrade Expansion capital Sustaining capital Timeline is illustrative only and subject to change. 5

6 Key underground components Not on critical path Shaft 1 (early development and ventilation) Shaft 2 (production and ventilation) Shaft 5 (ventilation) Shaft 3 (ventilation) Shaft 4 (ventilation) Total Depth 1,385 metres 1,284 metres 1,195 metres 1,148 metres 1,220 metres Diameter 6.7 metres 10 metres 6.7 metres 10 metres 11 metres Completion 2008 Expected 2016 Expected 2017 Expected 2021 Expected 2021 Remaining Complete ~100 metres ~1,000 metres Not started Not started Lateral Development (includes conveyor development) Underground Development km completed 65km to first draw bell ~200km over life of mine

7 Medium-term timeline Project finance signed Completed feasibility study Hugo North Lift 1 construction Additional $1.6 billion project financing debt Sustainable underground production Ramp-up to full production Hugo North Lift 2 Hugo South Board approvals First draw bell production Hugo North Lift 2 drilling Drawdown project finance Additional exploration Evaluate concentrator expansion options 7

8 Multiple development options Production creep targeted along with expansion Source: 2014 Oyu Tolgoi Technical Report Actual operating performance will inform choice of expansion path A decision to expand the concentrator is not required for a couple years 8

9 Project financing flow of funds At March 31, At project financing drawdown Payable to Turquoise Hill* Shareholder loan: $7.0 billion Receivable from Oyu Tolgoi* Shareholder loan: $7.0 billion 1. In accordance with the ARSHA, Turquoise Hill funded the common share investments in Oyu Tolgoi on behalf of Erdenes Oyu Tolgoi LLC; at March 31, 2016 the balance was approximately $999.4 million * Balances as of March 31, 2016 Interest rate LIBOR + 6.5% Proceeds: $4.4 billion 2 $4.1 billion 3,4 $4.1 billion 4 Payable to Turquoise Hill* Shareholder loan: $7.0 billion to $2.9 billion 4 Receivable from Oyu Tolgoi* Shareholder loan: $7.0 billion to $2.9 billion 4 2. Project finance facility made directly with Oyu Tolgoi 3. Amount received net of withholding tax and facility fees 4. Approximate amount * Calculated on balances as of March 31, 2016 Interest rate LIBOR + 6.5% ** When guarantee fee paid, Oyu Tolgoi pays 1.9% and Turquoise Hill pays 0.6% Deposit from Turquoise Hill Investment: $4.1 billion 4 Waive 2.5%** guarantee fee with amount on deposit Priority of funding used for development Oyu Tolgoi cash call Oyu Tolgoi operating cash flow Project financing funds Funding Funding Funding Turquoise Hill cash Payable to Turquoise Hill (2.5%** guarantee fee on funds used) Receivable from Oyu Tolgoi* Reduction in deposit from Turquoise Hill* Shareholder loan: Equity loan: Shareholder loan: Equity loan: Deposit: * Indicative, does not show the withholding tax implications original shareholder loan interest rate LIBOR + 6.5% Oyu Tolgoi s allin project finance interest rate, including upfront and ongoing fees as well as the guarantee fee, is LIBOR + 6.0% ** Guarantee fee - Oyu Tolgoi pays 1.9% and Turquoise Hill pays 0.6% 9

10 Production highlights Concentrator throughput ('000 tonnes) Concentrate production ( 000 tonnes) ,537 27, ,512 9,025 8,632 9,369 9, Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Q1 16 throughput averaging above nameplate capacity Strong concentrate sales; ~95% of 2016 production under contract Copper in concentrates ('000 tonnes) Gold in concentrates ('000 ounces) Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Q1 16 copper production reached quarterly high Revised 2016 gold guidance of 255,000 to 285,000 10

11 Financial highlights Cash position ($'000,000) Operating cash flow ($'000,000) $1,200.0 $1,310.4 $1,343.9 $1,482.2 $718.5 $650.5 $862.8 $954.2 $101.5 $239.2 $171.7 $138.1 $195.9 Cu:$2.66* Au:$1,219* Cu:$2.77 Au:$1,194 Cu:$2.39 Au:$1,124 Cu:$2.20 Au:$1,106 Cu:$2.11 Au:$1,183 Cu:$3.10 Au:$1,266 Cu:$2.51 Au:$1,160 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Strong cash position Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow *Source: Average quarterly Comex copper price and average quarterly LBMA gold price. Capital expenditures ($'000,000) C1 and All-in sustaining costs C1 AISC $1.95 $242.2 $1.26 $1.52 $1.56 $1.37 $24.3 $35.1 $29.3 $27.5 $55.9 $116.2 $0.96 $0.09 $0.73 $0.40 $0.88 $0.62 $0.02 $1.14 $0.57 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1' CAPEX guidance: $300 million, $285 million sustaining Competitive unit costs 11

12 Phases of open-pit production In Q2 16, mining bottom of phase 2 as well as phases 3 and 6 Phase 2 mining expected to complete in Q2 16 Deferred stripping of phase 4 underway, expected until late Material by select pit phases Phase Ore (Mt) Waste (Mt) Strip Ratio Cu (%) Au (g/t) Phase Phase Phase Source: 2014 Oyu Tolgoi Technical Report, Table 16.5, page

13 Copper industry overview C/lb, 2016$ copper mine C1 + sustaining normal cost curve Oyu Tolgoi Other Mines In top three largest copper mines after planned expansion expected average annual copper production of ~560kt 2 Top 10 copper deposit by contained reserves and resource ,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Cumulative production ( 000 tonnes) 14,000 16,000 18,000 kt One of largest gold deposits by contained reserves and resources Source: Wood Mackenzie (Q1 16 Cost Service). Oyu Tolgoi forecasts average from 2016 feasibility study. Normal C1 cost + sustaining capex, range capped at -100/lb and 400/lb for base, highly probable and probable mines only. 1. Oyu Tolgoi s 10-year average peak production including underground 2. Oyu Tolgoi 2016 Feasibility Study 3. Metals Economics Group and 2014 Oyu Tolgoi Technical Report 13

14 Long-term copper fundamentals strong Copper mine supply/demand outlook Base Highly Probable Primary Demand Annual Avg Cu Price Copper market likely to see small surplus in coming years. Copper supply/demand (Mt) 30 Forecast $4 $3 $2 $1 $- Annual average LME copper price (US$/lb) Ongoing attrition at existing mines driven by declining grades Continued demand growth requires new capacity in the medium-term Market anticipates smaller surplus at end of decade and deficit from 2020 China now largest buyer of gold and continues to be largest consumer of copper Source: Wood Mackenzie (Q1 16 Long-Term Outlook) 14

15 Turquoise Hill a long-term growth opportunity Pure copper and gold exposure Positive operating cash flow with focused asset optimization Agreed path forward for development of the high-grade underground mine Significant growth, development and expansion opportunities Resources located near China with further prospectivity 15

16 Appendix

17 Ore flow 17

18 Oyu Tolgoi at China s doorstep 18

19 Made in Mongolia Mongolians occupy 95% of Oyu Tolgoi roles Since 2010, in-country spend of $5.5 billion (Mongolian suppliers, salaries, taxes and other Government payments) Partnered with more than 800 local suppliers in 2015, accounting for over 50% of procurement spend In April 2015, Oyu Tolgoi signed a Cooperation Agreement with local governments for community development Oyu Tolgoi recognized by Mongolian Business Council as Company of the Year for 2015 Mongolian Mining Journal awarded Oyu Tolgoi Best Responsible Mine of the Year in 2014 Oyu Tolgoi expected to represent about 30% of country s GDP when fully developed 19