Foreign Currency Hedging Update. PPL Corporation October 12, 2016

Transcription

1 Foreign Currency Hedging Update PPL Corporation October 12, 2016

2 Cautionary Statements and Factors That May Affect Future Results Any statements made in this presentation about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to differ is contained in the Appendix to this presentation and in the Company s SEC filings. 2

3 Agenda 2016 and 2017 Earnings Forecast, Long-term Earnings and Dividend Growth Projections and Foreign Currency Hedging Strategy Foreign Currency Hedging Status and Future Hedging Targets W. H. Spence V. Sorgi Q&A 3

4 2016/2017 Earnings Forecast $/Share $3.00 $2.00 $2.21 $2.45 $2.25 $2.25 $2.05 Targeting to grow the dividend 4 percent annually starting in 2017 through 2020 $ % Compound Annual EPS Growth $ A 2016E 2017E $2.56 Segment 2015A Earnings from Ongoing Operations 2016E Earnings from Ongoing Operations (Midpoint) 2017E Earnings (Midpoint) $2.15 $2.49 U.K. Regulated $1.44 $1.41 $1.17 Kentucky Regulated PA Regulated (1) Corporate and Other (0.11) (0.10) (0.10) Total $2.21 $2.35 $2.15 (2) (2) Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings (loss) to earnings from ongoing operations. (1) Earnings presented here exclude any earnings from the Supply segment. However, the Supply segment was part of PPL Corporation s consolidated reported earnings for the first five months of (2) Forecast assumes $1.30/ exchange rate on remaining un-hedged earnings for 2016 and (3) (4) (3) Based on midpoint of the 2017 earnings guidance range of $ $2.25 per share. (4) Does not represent earnings forecast or guidance for

5 Foreign Currency Hedging Strategy PPL Response to Declining FX Rate Leveraged strong year-to-date earnings Executed 6 cents of 2016 restrikes moving hedge value to 2018 Average hedge rate now $1.38/ for 76% of 2018 earnings Ability to utilize upside in 2018 to execute restrikes for 2019 PPL Rationale Minimizes the effect a decline in the GBP/USD rate could have on future earnings Lowest risk alternative to locking in 2018 and 2019 earnings Liquidity and credit profiles remain strong Provides upside to the plan if the USD/GBP exchange rate increases Identified up to 5 cents in 2017 earnings to provide for additional restrikes 5

6 Foreign Currency Hedging Status GBP Foreign Currency Percentage Hedged 87% 95% 76% Hedged Rate $1.32/ $1.32/ $1.38/ (1) Budgeted Rate on Open Position $1.30/ $1.30/ $1.30/ Market Rate EPS Sensitivity on Open Position ($/ ) $0.00 $0.01 $ $0.00 $0.00 $ $0.00 $0.00 $ $0.00 $0.00 ($0.01) 1.20 $0.00 $0.00 ($0.02) 1.15 $0.00 ($0.01) ($0.04) Note: Hedging status as of 10/10/2016 (1) 2018 hedges are a combination of average-rate forwards and average-rate collars. Average hedged rate based on the average forward rate and the average floor rate for the collars. 6

7 2019 Hedge Attainment Currently have the ability to utilize 6 cents of existing 2018 hedge gains to hedge 2019 exposure: Market Rate Attainable EPS Sensitivity on 2019 Open Position ($/ ) 2019 Hedge % $1.25/ $1.20/ $1.15/ % % ($0.02) ($0.04) ($0.06) % ($0.03) ($0.06) ($0.09) In addition, further utilization of up to 5 cents of 2017 hedge gains to reduce GBP/USD exposure in 2019: Market Rate Targeted EPS Sensitivity on 2019 Open Position ($/ ) 2019 Hedge % $1.25/ $1.20/ $1.15/ % % % ($0.01) ($0.03) ($0.05) Note: Based on our current earnings estimates for 2017 and 2018 we could use restrikes to hedge 2019 earnings at the levels indicated in the chart above. 7

8 Appendix 8

9 Reconciliation of PPL's Forecast of Reported Earnings (Loss) to Earnings from Ongoing Operations After-Tax (Unaudited) Forecast (per share - diluted) 2016 Midpoint U.K. KY PA Corp. & Other Total High 2016 Low 2016 Reported Earnings (Loss) $ 1.60 $ 0.57 $ 0.47 $ (0.11) $ 2.53 $ 2.63 $ 2.43 Less: Special Items (expense) benefit: Foreign currency-related economic hedges Spinoff of the Supply segment (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Total Special Items 0.19 (0.01) Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 1.41 $ 0.57 $ 0.47 $ (0.10) $ 2.35 $ 2.45 $

10 Reconciliation of Segment Reported Earnings (Loss) to Earnings from Ongoing Operations After-Tax (Unaudited) Year-to-Date December 31, 2015 U.K. KY (millions of dollars) PA Corp. & Other (per share - diluted) PA Corp. & Other Disc. Ops. (1) Reported Earnings (Loss) $ 1,121 $ 326 $ 252 $ (96) $ (921) $ 682 $ 1.66 $ 0.48 $ 0.37 $ (0.14) $ (1.36) $ 1.01 Less: Special Items (expense) benefit: Foreign currency-related economic hedges, net of tax of ($30) Spinoff of the Supply segment: Discontinued operations, net of tax of $30 (1) (921) (921) (1.36) (1.36) Transition and transaction costs, net of tax of $6 (12) (12) (0.02) (0.02) Employee transitional services, net of tax of $2 (5) (5) (0.01) (0.01) Separation benefits, net of tax of $3 (5) (5) Other: Change in U.K. tax rate Settlement of certain income tax positions WPD Midlands acquisition-related adjustment, net of tax of ($1) 2 2 Certain valuation allowances, net of tax of $0 (12) (12) (0.02) (0.02) LKE acquisition-related adjustment, net of tax of $0 (5) (5) (0.01) (0.01) Total Special Items 153 (17) (22) (921) (807) 0.22 (0.03) (0.03) (1.36) (1.20) Earnings from Ongoing Operations $ 968 $ 343 $ 252 $ (74) $ $ 1,489 $ 1.44 $ 0.51 $ 0.37 $ (0.11) $ $ 2.21 (1) Includes Includes an $879 an $879 million million charge charge reflecting reflecting the difference the difference between PPL's between recorded PPL s value recorded for the Supply value segment for the and Supply the estimated segment fair and value the determined estimated in accordance fair value with determined applicable in rules under accordance GAAP. with applicable rules under GAAP. Disc. Ops. (1) Total Corp. U.K. KY Total Corp. 10

11 Forward-Looking Information Statement Statements contained in this presentation, including statements with respect to future earnings, cash flows, dividends, financing, regulation and corporate strategy are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although PPL Corporation believes that the expectations and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in the statements. The following are among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements: market demand for energy in our service territories, weather conditions affecting customer energy usage and operating costs; the effect of any business or industry restructuring, including the ability of PPL Corporation to realize all or a significant portion of the anticipated cost savings from the corporate restructuring following the Supply business spinoff; the profitability and liquidity of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; new accounting requirements or new interpretations or applications of existing requirements; operating performance of our facilities; the length of scheduled and unscheduled outages at our generating plants; environmental conditions and requirements and the related costs of compliance; system conditions and operating costs; development of new projects, markets and technologies; performance of new ventures; asset or business acquisitions and dispositions; any impact of hurricanes or other severe weather on our business; receipt of necessary government permits, approvals, rate relief and regulatory cost recovery; capital market conditions and decisions regarding capital structure; the impact of state, federal or foreign investigations applicable to PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; the outcome of litigation against PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; stock price performance; the market prices of equity securities and the impact on pension income and resultant cash funding requirements for defined benefit pension plans; the securities and credit ratings of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; political, regulatory or economic conditions in states, regions or countries where PPL Corporation or its subsidiaries conduct business, including any potential effects of threatened or actual terrorism or war or other hostilities; British pound sterling to U.S. dollar exchange rates; new state, federal or foreign legislation, including new tax legislation; and the commitments and liabilities of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries. Any such forward-looking statements should be considered in light of such important factors and in conjunction with PPL Corporation's Form 10-K and other reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 11

12 Definitions of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Management utilizes Earnings from ongoing operations as a non-gaap financial measure that should not be considered as an alternative to reported earnings, or net income, an indicator of operating performance determined in accordance with GAAP. PPL believes that earnings from ongoing operations is useful and meaningful to investors because it provides management s view of PPL s earnings performance as another criterion in making investment decisions. In addition, PPL's management uses earnings from ongoing operations in measuring achievement of certain corporate performance goals, including targets for certain executive incentive compensation. Other companies may use different measures to present financial performance. Earnings from ongoing operations is adjusted for the impact of special items. Special items are presented in the financial tables on an after-tax basis with the related income taxes on special items separately disclosed. Income taxes on special items, when applicable, are calculated based on the effective tax rate of the entity where the activity is recorded. Special items include: Unrealized gains or losses on foreign currency-related economic hedges (as discussed below). Supply segment discontinued operations. Gains and losses on sales of assets not in the ordinary course of business. Impairment charges. Workforce reduction and other restructuring effects. Acquisition and divestiture-related adjustments. Other charges or credits that are, in management s view, non-recurring or otherwise not reflective of the company s ongoing operations. Unrealized gains or losses on foreign currency economic hedges include the changes in fair value of foreign currency contracts used to hedge British-pound-sterling-denominated anticipated earnings. The changes in fair value of these contracts are recognized immediately within GAAP earnings. Management believes that excluding these amounts from earnings from ongoing operations until settlement of the contracts provides a better matching of the financial impacts of those contracts with the economic value of PPL s underlying hedged earnings. 12