Offshore Investor Presentation April

Transcription

1 Offshore Investor Presentation April

2 Stockland s Position in the A-REIT Sector Stockland was formed in 1952 and pioneered the stapled security structure Stockland s current position* Top 2 A-REIT^ Largest diversified A-REIT Market capitalisation of >A$10bn 10% of the A-REIT 200 Index High liquidity (90% moving annual) The Boardwalk, Queensland -2- *As at 3 April 2008 ^ By market capitalisation Source: IRESS

3 Review & Commentary Unprecedented volatility in debt and equity markets Key market themes : Risk has been mispriced Financial engineering with excessive debt has had its day Businesses with strong fundamental property skills and solid balance sheets will prevail Tooronga, Glen Iris, VIC Artist s impression We re all being impacted despite strong property fundamentals Our business model and skill set are well placed to perform in these conditions -3-

4 Overview Utilise solid business model to drive value in the current volatile market and capitalise on opportunities Use our expertise and asset diversity / mixed use capability to maximise profits Capital management debt / capital via direct partnerships Focus on driving organic growth through the existing portfolio Evaluate value add of Trust development pipeline / acquisitions given higher IRR hurdles -4-

5 Business Model Stockland Baldivis, WA The Islands, South Beach, WA *Artist s impression -5-

6 Stockland s Integrated Platform Capital Partners Retail Retirem ent Living Office Integrated mixed use capability Apartments Industrial Residential Communities -6-

7 Australia s largest diversified REIT Retail Office Industrial Australian Capital Partners A$937m assets Australian Investment Assets - A$9.3bn under management Communities Apartments Australian Residential Assets - A$3.2bn Retirement Stockland Halladale (UK) A$2.5bn assets under management A$1.0bn development pipeline end value -7- * As at 31 December 2007

8 Financial Performance (A$m) Financial Net operating Performance profit* 1H 2H FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 1H08 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Total Shareholder Return 3 Yr 5 Yr SGP A-REIT 200 EPRA / NAREIT Global -8- * FY01-FY04 is AGAAP, FY05-1H08 is AIFRS (Before certain significant items)

9 Capital Management Optus Centre, Macquarie Park, NSW Stockland Baldivis, WA -9-

10 Capital Management Gearing (Debt / Total Tangible Assets) Capital Management Stockland vs A-REIT200 * SGP A-REIT200 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 1H08 ^ -10- * As at 31 December 2008 ^ A-REIT200 Citi Estimate Source: SGP / Citi

11 Capital Management 1H08 S&P Rating Weighted Average Debt Maturity Debt Fixed / Hedged Weighted Average Cost of Debt* Gearing (debt/total tangible assets) Interest Cover A-/Stable 6.2 years 61% 6.6% 28.5% 3.2: $billion FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY27 FY36 Bank Facilities Domestic MTNs EMTNs USPPs -11- * Including all costs, fees and margins * Including all costs, fees and margins

12 Diverse Businesses Stockland Baulkham Hills, NSW Stockland Baldivis, WA -12-

13 Residential PORTFOLIO SUMMARY* Number of Projects Residential Communities 65 Apartments 13 Retirement 20 Book Value (Historic Cost) A$3bn Total End Value Residential Communities Apartments A$15.7bn A$3.2bn No. of Future Lots Residential Communities 67,000 Apartments 2,300 Retirement 3,800 No. of Future Lots -13- * As at 31 December 2007

14 Market Overview Positives: Residential markets are still performing well GDP Growth Low Unemployment 20,000 Monthly Dwelling Approvals Houses and Units, private, monthly % 1.7 Population Growth 15, Supply remains constrained 10, Challenges: Issues that hover over the market Affordability concerns Cost and availability of consumer debt 5,000 0 M oving 12-month ave 10-year ave Popn. growth (RHS) Nov 92 Nov 97 Nov 02 Nov Negative commentary could dampen consumer confidence Summary: The market remains very sound -14- Source: ABS

15 Market Outlook Residential Sector Each market has its own characteristics Last 6 months Next 12 months NSW VIC WA QLD Trading conditions remained soft Demand strengthened Volumes slowed and price growth moderated Strong population increase continued to strengthen demand Tight supply and population growth could trigger improvement in late 2008 Sound market due to favourable conditions (affordability and population growth) Further easing in volumes. Prices to stabilise Demand robust due to population growth and supply constraints -15-

16 Residential Strong Business Model Scale and reach as Australia s largest residential developer Diversity underpins business growth Geography Product Proven track record of managing through market cycles Gross Assets ($3bn) Operating Profit $m $31m Retirement Living Apartments Residential Communities $41m $84m $97m $110m $113m $152m Residential Communities 69% Apartments 21% Re tire m ent Living 10% H02* 1H03* 1H04* 1H05* 1H06* 1H07* 1H08* -16- * 1H02-1H04 is AGAAP, 1H05-1H08 is AIFRS

17 Residential Outlook Market conditions generally positive Strong pipeline from apartments and retirement living will broaden our market reach Solid position with contracts on hand Contracts on hand - 31 December Apartments Residential Communities ($m)

18 Retail PORTFOLIO SUMMARY* Number of Properties 45 Book Value A$4.6bn Average Cap Rate 6.2% Total MAT^ A$5.0bn Specialty MAT A$8,600/m 2 Vacancy 0.1% (11 shops) Development Pipeline A$2.0bn Est. Return on Cost 7.6% 10 Yr Forecast IRR 13.3% Comp Rent Income Growth 5.5% Occupancy Costs 13% -18- ^ Moving Annual Turnover * As at 31 December 2007

19 Market Outlook - Retail Retail outlook positive due to: Steady consumer demand Strong labour market and growth in real incomes Sales growth is solid, but may moderate if interest rates rise Real Wage Growth by State (% yoy) Retail Turnover (% yoy, sa.) 4 3 NSW Victoria Queensland WA 15 NSW Victoria Queensland WA Sep 05 M ar 06 Sep 06 M ar 07 Sep 07-5 Sep 05 M ar 06 Sep 06 M ar 07 Sep Source: ABS; Stockland *Weighted 3-Month Average

20 Development Pipeline Project Status* No of Projects Estimated Total Cost (A$bn) Forecast Yield on Cost Current Average Cap Rate 10 year Forecast IRR Under Construction % 6.5% 13.3% DA Approved % 6.5% 11.4% DA Preparation / Master Planning % 6.0% 13.6% TOTAL % 6.2% 13.3% -20-

21 Outlook - Retail Market outlook favourable High productivity driving strong income growth Further upside from development pipeline Experienced management team to deliver strategy Stockland Baldivis, WA -21-

22 Office & Industrial PORTFOLIO SUMMARY* Number of Properties 68 Total Asset Value A$4.7bn Average Cap Rate Office Industrial 6.4% 7.3% Occupancy 98% Development Pipeline A$1.4bn Est. Return on Cost 7.3% 10 Yr Forecast IRR 11.7% WALE 4.1 years -22- * As at 31 December 2007

23 Office Market Outlook Office market vacancies at record lows Rental growth in Perth & Brisbane likely to moderate in 2009 Sydney poised for strong rental growth Credit crunch could dampen supply $1,000 CBD Market Rental Growth Canberra, 6% SGP Portfolio Adelaide, 3% Prime Gross Effective Rent $/m2 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 (Forecast) Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth Canberra Adelaide Perth, 17% Brisbane, 16% Melbourne, 6% Sydney, 33% Sydney North Shore, 19% -23- Source: Stockland, CBRE Research

24 Development Pipeline Project Status* No of Projects Estimated Total Cost (A$bn) Forecast Yield on Cost Current Average Cap Rate 10 year Forecast IRR Under Construction % 6.5% 13.3% DA Approved % 6.5% 11.4% DA Preparation / Master Planning % 6.0% 13.6% TOTAL % 6.2% 13.3% -24-

25 Outlook Office & Industrial Office markets are in very good shape Strong growth from rent reversions Further upside from development pipeline Strategic position in the emerging intermodal market Durack Centre proposed development Artist s impression -25-

26 Stockland Halladale PORTFOLIO SUMMARY* Number of Properties 128 Gross Assets Assets under Management Development Pipeline A$452m A$2.5bn A$1.0bn Portfolio Office Industrial Retail 31% 2% 67% -26- * As at 31 December 2007

27 Stockland Halladale Integration completed successfully Strong team and platform Market conditions very tough, expected to bottom in late 2008 Downside Pre-sales of several of our projects have been deferred We will carry them on balance sheet until completion They remain profitable Tudor Street, London Artist s impression Upside Buying opportunities from forced sales could accelerate growth -27-

28 Stockland Halladale Strategy for Growth Sound strategy of allocating 5% of SGP total value to initial market entry Strategic target - 10% by 2010 Upscale existing business Larger scale projects More profit share potential Broaden JV s / Capital partnerships Expand operating platform Shaftesbury House, Glasgow Artist s impression Develop residential capability Grow mixed use capability -28-

29 Summary & Outlook Strong property and capital management skills Solid financial position Our strategy is sound and well proven Allisee, Gold Coast, QLD -29-

30 Annexures Annexures -30-

31 1H08 Results in Summary Quality earnings growth 1H08 1H07 Quality Earnings Growth Transparent Reporting Operating Profit* $324.6m 10.7% $293.1m Earnings per security* 22.4 cents 4.2% 21.5 cents Distributions per security 22.6 cents 5.1% 21.5 cents NTA per security $ % ** Strong Balance Sheet Gearing 28.5% -31- * Operating profit and EPS before certain significant items ** Increase since June 2007

32 1H08 Divisional Financial Highlights Retail Divisional operating profit Comparable net income growth Revaluations in 1H08 $128.2m 5.5% $174m Office & Industrial Divisional operating profit Comparable net income growth Revaluations in 1H08 $157.7m 4.9% $239m Residential Operating Profit - Residential Communities - Apartments - Retirement Living $151.5m $124.6m $13.3m $13.6m Capital Partners / JV s Australia: Over $900m of wholesale and retail assets under management Performance of all funds at or above PDS/IM forecast UK/Europe: Over $2.5bn assets under management* -32- ** Including Rynda funds

33 Stockland Corporation Limited ACN Stockland Trust Management Limited ACN th Floor 133 Castlereagh Street SYDNEY NSW DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Stockland does not warrant or represent that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for your intended use. The information provided in this presentation may not be suitable for your specific situation or needs and should not be relied upon by you in substitution of you obtaining independent advice. Subject to any terms implied by law and which cannot be excluded, Stockland accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.