TGS. Swedbank First Securities 2013 Nordic Energy Summit. Kristian K. Johansen. Chief Financial Officer

Transcription

1 TGS Swedbank First Securities 2013 Nordic Energy Summit Kristian K. Johansen Chief Financial Officer

2 Forward-Looking Statements All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS ability to continue to expand markets for licensing of data, and TGS ability to acquire and process data products at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements for any reason. 2

3 Another Record Year for TGS 1, Revenue development last 10 Years CAGR 22% In 10 years, TGS revenues have grown by 7 times from 124 MUSD to 932 MUSD (CAGR of 22%) Record high net revenues of 932 MUSD, up 53% from All-time high operating profit of 402 MUSD, 43% of net revenues. This is up 67% from Strong cash flow from operations before multi-client investments of 663 MUSD, up 36% from Healthy 2013 outlook for seismic spending and continued growth TGS proposes a dividend of NOK 8 per share for the accounting year (up from NOK 6 last year) 3

4 This is TGS Leading provider of multi-client seismic data and related geoscientific products to the oil & gas industry Main offices: Houston and Oslo Regional offices: London, Stavanger, Perth, Calgary and Rio de Janeiro Calgary Houston TGS Main Offices Stavanger Oslo London Fundamental values: Unmatched Quality and Service, Growth for Stakeholders Approximately 850 employees Rio de Janeiro Perth Traded on Oslo Stock Exchange, in OBX Index (25 most liquid shares at the OSE) Market Cap: ~$3.5 billion Leading and global provider of multi-client seismic data 4

5 TGS Value Proposition Strong balance sheet provides flexibility Unique high-quality data in the right place at the right time Multi-client model allows customers to access data at a reduced cost. Vendor neutral philosophy allows access to capacity and technology as needed Project modeling and investment merit drive major project decisions Diversified portfolio with a variety of data types and geographical locations covering frontier, emerging and mature markets 5

6 Track Record of Performing through the Cycles % MC Sales/MC average 4 year Investment EBIT margin vs. vessel rates 300 TGS multi-client projects return times cost. Demand for data drives TGS performance TGS best at top of the cycles, but multiclient model also provides protection at the bottom of the cycle 50% % 30% 20% 10% EBIT margin correlates strongly with oil price, E&P spending and vessel prices due to increased library sales 0% EBIT margin ** Vessel rates* * Average vessel rates per year for an 8 streamer 3D boat. Source: ODS Petrodata. (Note that rates may differ from actual rates paid by TGS). 6 ** TGS historical EBIT margins excluding one off items.

7 Key Quarterly Financials Q Q Q3 Net Revenues Q Q Q Q3 65 Q Q1 EBIT before non-recurring items 58 Q2 61 Q Q4 Q1 Q2 101 Q3 118 Q4 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Prefunding Late sales Proprietary EBIT EBIT Margin Cash Flow from Operations Multi-client Investments (operational) Q1 93 Q2 66 Q3 189 Q Q1 Q2 129 Q3 243 Q Q1 Q2 111 Q3 61 Q4 101 Q1 162 Q2 138 Q3 95 Q4 7

8 Cash Flow Statement USD million Received payments Payments for operational expenses Net gain/(loss) from currency exchange Paid taxes Operational cash flow Investments in tangible and intangible assets Investments in multi-client library Investments through mergers and acquisitons Proceeds from sales of short-term investments Interest received Interest paid Dividend payments Purchase of own shares Proceeds from share offerings Change in cash balance 12M 12M 862 (119) (98) - (80) (62) (26) 5 72% (0.4) (0.2) 43% (103) 648 (2) (13) (483) (283) (76) (44) (93) - (30) Change in % 33% 22% -100% 29% 36% 98% 70% 73% 292% 11% -100% -58% -93% 8

9 Strong Balance Sheet Backing TGS Strategy Other Goodwill Cash Receivables Multi-client Library Assets Equity and Liability Current liabilities Cash balance per Q4 Non-current liabilities Equity represents 339 MUSD Dividend paid in June of 103 MUSD Proposed dividend of 149 MUSD in 2013 Strong balance sheet provides excellent opportunities to continue growth M&A Strong credit quality attracts prefunding Flexibility No interest bearing debt and strong cash balance 9

10 Net Book Value ()NBV) in % of Original Investment (year-end) Library Book Value per Vintage % 3 % % % 59% % 41% 60% 20% 20% 28% 0% 6% WIP Original investments Maximum allowed NBV (year-end) Net Book Value Allowed Maximum % (year-end) 10

11 TGS Dividend Payments * 4.2% % 3.8% Dividend USD Dividend yield 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% * Proposed dividend NOK 8 per share Dividend yield calculated based on share price at day of announcement 11

12 12 Outlook

13 Positive Market Drivers in Oil Services World Liquid Fuel Supply Oil and gas reserves continue to decline More oil produced from existing reserves than we are discovering Source: IEA World Energy Outlook Political instability and closed markets reduces available acreage in known oil producing areas, putting more pressure on exploring new frontiers offshore and onshore Increasing investments are required just to maintain reserve replacement 13

14 E&P Spending Increase of 7% Expected For 2013 Barclays expect 2013 global E&P spending to surpass 640 BUSD More than 300 oil and gas companies worldwide participated in the Barclays Capital survey about their spending intentions for 2013 According to the Barclays Capital survey, global E&P spending in 2013 is expected to increase 7% to 644 BUSD, versus 604 BUSD in Acceleration expected to be led by increased expenditures internationally (up 9%) Companies are on average basing 2013 capital spending budgets on an average oil price of $85 WTI and $98 Brent 14

15 License Round Activity and TGS Positioning Northeast Greenland: Pre-round for Kanumas Consortium closed with awards expected Mar 2013 Ordinary Round closes Oct 2013 Canada - Onshore Alberta (bi- weekly), British Columbia (monthly), Saskatchewan (bi-monthly) Canada Newfoundland/ Labrador: Scheduled lease round expected H Canada Nova Scotia: License round expected 2013/14 Norway: 22nd Concession Round closed with awards expected Q Next Concession Round expected 2014 APA Round closed with awards expected Q APA round expected Sep 2013 United Kingdom: 28th round expected 2014 Gulf of Mexico 5 Year Plan Central GOM: 20 Mar 2013 Western GOM: H Brazil: Round 11 announced for May 2013 Pre-Salt expected Nov 2013 Expected Announced Sierra Leone: License round expected 2014 Liberia: Ultra Deep round expected in 2013 Australia Acreage Release planned May blocks proposed spanning 6 basins Indonesia: Bid deadline for Second Petroleum Round Regular Tenders 19 Feb Petroleum Rounds to be announced 15

16 Commercial Agreement with Fugro to License Data Exclusive right to license and market the majority of Fugro s multi-client 2D library and receive commission fees on the sales of this data. The agreement covers more than 1,000,000 km of seismic data in areas of great strategic interest for TGS. Significant data coverage in existing focus areas such as Northwest Europe Access to a broad range of new client contacts Exposure to seven new countries/areas where TGS is not active today Reprocessing opportunities and planning tool for new 3D surveys 16

17 Key Drivers for Continued Seismic Outperformance Geographic region Share of revenues Key drivers for future investments and growth EUR EUR Recent discoveries in mature markets in North Sea triggers increased optimism and demand for modern seismic Exploration success in the Barents Sea attracts new entrants Strong industry interest for 22 nd Norwegian License round trigger potential uplifts on awards and new investments for further license rounds NSA NSA GOM slowly getting back to normal with new seismic surveys and March 2013 Central Gulf of Mexico Lease Sale New 5 year plan 2017 approved by BOEMRE providing visibility for future activity growth Technological developments generate new opportunities in mature areas Expected license rounds in Brazil in 2013 fuels further industry interest AMEAP AMEAP Strong industry interest in the West African transform margin with proven potential Increasing industry interest in Australia and changed regulations facilitate for new multi-client projects South Atlantic pre-salt plays in Africa could prove potential similar to Brazil 17

18 Strong Position in Onshore Market Ille Lake 3D United States Firestone 3D - expanded to 658 km 2 in liquid rich Utica play Bucklin 3D km 2 of 3D data in Mississippi Lime Oil Play Wellington 3D km 2 of 3D data in the Mississippi Lime Oil Play Canada Neptune South km 2 of 3D data in the Bakken Oil play Unity North km 2 of 3D data in the Birdbear play of Western Saskatchewan Cameron River km 2 of 3D data in the liquids rich Triassic Montney and Doig unconventional fairways Ille Lake 180 km 2 of 3D data in the deep basin of Central Alberta Legacy 3D Data - 12,689 km 2 18

19 Geological Products & Services 19 TGS added 299,000 new LAS wells to its industry leading digital well log database in Q4 : 47,000 US LAS wells 252,000 Canada LAS wells 5,860 DS+ (directional surveys) also added

20 Improved Imaging From Clari-Fi TM Original processing Processing methodology that increases bandwidth and improves imaging May be applied to conventionally acquired pre- or post-stack data Addresses ghost and filtering effects Opportunities for reprocessing of existing library Strengthens technology offerings on new projects Clari-Fi 20

21 Acquisition Capacity Secured 3D Vessels committed per 31 Jan 2013 EUR AMEAP NSA Option 3D Vessel Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Geco Eagle Angola Geo Caribbean Gulf of Mexico Option Polarcus Asima Liberia Option Geo Barents NW Europe Option Oceanic Challenger NW Europe Option Sanco Swift NW Europe 2D Vessels committed per 31 Jan D Vessel Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Akademik Shatskiy Colombia Option Geo Arctic Sanco Spirit NW Europe Canada Option Land Crews committed per 31 Jan 2013 Crew Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Kansas Crew Ohio crew Canada Crew 1 Canada Crew 2 Wellington Firestone Cameron River Ille Lake 21

22 Summary Record high net revenues of 932 MUSD, up 53% from All-time high operating profit of 402 MUSD, 43% of net revenues. This is up 67% from Strong cash flow from operations before multi-client investments of 663 MUSD, up 36% from Strong seismic demand in all key markets allows TGS to continue profitable growth. Guidance for 2013: Multi-client investments MUSD Average pre-funding 50 60% Average multi-client amortization rate 40 46% Net revenues MUSD Contract revenues approximately 5% of total revenues 22

23 TGS Performs in all Cycles ROCE vs. Seismic Peers EBIT Margins vs. Seismic Peers 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -40% -60% -80% -100% -120% TGS Peer Range Peer Average -60% -80% -100% TGS Peer Range Peer Average ROCE consistently outperforming peers Average EBIT margin above 40% Stable EBIT performance through the cycles * ROCE is based on EBIT divided by average capital employed. Peer group includes CGG, Fugro, Geokinetics, ION Geophysical, PGS, Western Geco, and GGS Source Platou Markets and TGS 23

24 Thank you 2013 TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA. All rights reserved.