Sep 2017 = 21.9 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.6 Bn USD. H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep %MoM
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1 1 Aug = 21.0 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.0 Bn USD Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P = Preliminary data Sep = 21.9 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.6 Bn USD P P Share %YoY P P H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep %MoM sa Agriculture Fishery Manufacturing Agro-manufacturing Products Electronics and Optical Appliances Export Value Electrical Appliances Automotive Machinery & Equipment Petroleum Related Total (BOP basis) Ex. Gold Ex. Gold+Petroleum related Note: Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total export value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents Index sa, 3mma ( =) Thai Export to Major Destinations Index sa, 3mma ( =) Ex.gold * ex. Aircraft and other manufacturing EU US Japan* Asian Export Performance MY China ASEAN5 ME ID ex.oil & Gas KR TH ex.gold TW SG CN
2 2 H1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep P YTD No. of tourists ( 000) 32,530 16,514 8,250 7,766 9,194 8,130 8,777 3,133 2,556 26,101 %YoY %QoQsa, %MoMsa Index sa ( = ) Total China (share 27%) Malaysia (share 11%) Asia ex. CN MY (share 29%) Europe ex. Russia (share 16%) Russia (share 3%) Tourists Classified by Nationality 0 Sources: Ministry of Tourism and Sports, Calculated by Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data Note: ( ) denotes share in total tourist arrivals in
3 3 = Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma 95 Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) 85 Durable and Semi-durable Indices Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa, 3mma Durable Index sa = 130 * Comprises of the VAT on hotel and restaurant sector and the sale of transportation sector %YoY Private Consumption Indicators %MoM sa H1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 P Aug Sep P Sep P Non-durable index Semi-durable index Durable index P 5.0 P Service index E 0.8 E (less) Net tourist spending PCI Sources: The Nielsen Company, Revenue Department, Department of Tourism, Ministry of Energy, NSO, OAE P = Preliminary E = Estimated Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index Service Index sa, 3mma Non-resident spending Index sa, 3mma (RHS) =
4 4 Farm Income Index = Real Income Farm Income sa Farm Income sa, 3mma Average Non-Farm Income sa, 3mma 70 P = Preliminary Data Diffusion Index, sa (Unchanged = 50) Consumer Confidence Index Average 5 years = 37.1 Sep 17 Non-Agriculture = 39.3 Agriculture = 37.3 Sources: MOC, NSO, OAE, calculated by BOT
5 5 (%YoY) Manufacturing Production Index (MPI) Share 2011 H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep P %MoM sa Food & Beverages Automotive Vehicle Engine Rubbers & Plastics IC & Semiconductors Textiles & Apparels Chemicals Cement & Construction Electrical Appliances Petroleum HDD Others MPI MPI sa % from last period Capacity Utilization (SA) Note: the new MPI series as adjusted by the OIE (coverage and base year at 2011) P = Preliminary data Sources: NSO, OIE, Customs Department and seasonally adjusted by BOT Index sa ( = ) Note: Calculated and Classified by the BOT Index sa ( = ) Industrial Electricity Consumption* Quantity of Imported Raw Materials Index of Work Hours in Manufacturing (3mma) MPI Classified by Export Share Export<30% 30%<Export<60% Export>60% Other Indicators of Manufacturing Production * The latest month was estimated by the BOT
6 -16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun Aug-17 Sep-17 6 Index sa, 3mma ( = ) 140 Bn baht Investment in Machinery and Equipment Real Imports of Capital Goods Domestic Machinery Sales Car Sales for Investment Sources of Corporate Financing Business Credits (SA) Equity Debt 3MMA Index sa, 3mma ( =) 105 1,000 m 2 9mma 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 Sources: Bank of Thailand, ThaiBMA, SET, Business Sentiment Survey by BOT, NSO, OIE, calculated by BOT P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data % YoY Permitted Construction Area (9mma) Investment in Construction Construction Materials Index Permitted Construction Area (RHS) Private Investment Indicators %MoM sa H1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 P Aug Sep P Sep P Construction Materials Index Real Imports of Capital Goods Real Domestic Machinery Sales E 0.4 E Car Sales for Investment PII Capacity Utilization (SA)
7 7 Aug = 17.6 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 16.9 Bn USD %YoY Share P P P P Sep = 16.5 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 15.8 Bn USD H1 H2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep %MoM sa Consumer Raw material&intermediate o/w Fuel o/w Raw mat&interm ex. Fuel Import Value Capital Others Total (BOP basis) Ex. Gold Ex. Gold&Fuel Index sa, 3mma ( =) 60 Import Value Index Total imports Raw materials ex. fuel* Capital goods Consumer goods Fuel 40 * Regrouping to include vehicle parts, which appear in others in the accompanying table. Index sa, 3mma ( =) Value Quantity Price Note: Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total import value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents. Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P = Preliminary data
8 Sources: Comptroller General s Department, Fiscal Policy Office 8 Central Government Current Expenditure Billion baht (Ex. Subsidies/Grants and Other) Central Government Capital Expenditure Billion baht (Ex. Subsidies/Grants and Other) avg. FY-16 FY FY Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug avg. FY-16 FY FY Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Fiscal Position (Cash basis) Fiscal Position FY P Billion Baht FY P FY P Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Aug Sep Revenue 2,412 2, (%YoY) (9.3) (-2.6) (-5.9) (3.0) (-6.9) (1.4) (1.5) (-0.4) Expenditure 1/ 2,736 2, (%YoY) (9.0) (2.2) (6.0) (-4.0) (-1.3) (7.5) (4.0) (-3.7) Budgetary B/L Non-Budgetary B/L Cash B/L (CG) Net Financing Treasury B/L Note: P = Preliminary data 1/ Includes cash payments for operating and purchase of non-financial assets, except loan repayments
9 9 Labor Market Indicators Thousand persons sa, 3mma 27,000 Employment Non-Agriculture (sa, 3mma) Non-Agriculture (sa) Agriculture (sa, 3mma) (RHS) Thousand persons sa, 3mma 14,000 25,000 12,000 Source: Labor Force Survey (NSO), calculated by BOT %YoY Headline inflation contribution Raw food (15.69%) Energy (11.75%) Core (72.56%) Sep 0.86% 23,000 %YoY Core inflation contribution Rent (19.62%) Food & Beverage (28.17%) Non-Food & Beverage ex. Rent (52.21%) 10, Sep 0.53% -2 Sources: NSO and Ministry of Commerce calculated by BOT 0
10 10 Balance of Payments Billion USD P P P H1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep E YTD Trade Balance Exports (f.o.b.) %YoY Imports (f.o.b.) %YoY Net Services, Income & Transfers Current Account Capital and Financial Account Overall Balance Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data
11 11 Net Financial Flows Millions of USD P P P H1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aug Sep E YTD 1. Assets -19,744-8,678-6,007-5,059-10,916-8,071-5,7-2,073-4, -24,893 TDI -13,409-7,878-3,279-2,252-3,487-4,322-2,614-1,599-1,183-10,423 - Equity -9,073-5,448-2,193-1,433-1,447-1,126-2, ,063 Thai Portfolio investment -4, ,784-1,977-3,749-2,738-2, ,581 - Equity security investment -1, , ,756-1,888-2, ,750 - Debt security investment -2, ,465-1,562-1, ,831 Loans 1, Other Investments -3,396-2, ,240-2,3-1, ,705-4,930 - Trade credits , , , Liabilities -1,279 7,535-1,765-7,049 3,6 3,998 6,930 3,353 3,136 14,834 FDI 3,063 4,862-4,103 2,305 2,483 1,842 1, ,970 - Equity 2, ,206 1, , ,109 Foreign Portfolio investment 1,481 2,160 5,542-6,220 2,318 1,483 5,439 2,106 2,6 9,240 - Equity security investment ,223-3, Debt security investment 2,268 2,492 2,319-2,544 1,913 1,265 5,197 2,257 2,198 8,375 Loans 60 1,965-1, , , ,263 Other Investments -5,883-1,452-1,871-2,560-1, ,278-2,638 - Trade credits Total Financial Flows (1+2) -21,023-1,143-7,772-12,108-7,010-4,072 1,023 1, ,059 Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data
12 Sources: Bank of Thailand, Reuters and Bloomberg 30-Dec Feb-16 7-Mar Mar Apr May-16 9-Jun Jun Aug-16 7-Sep Sep Oct Nov-16 1-Dec Dec Feb-17 2-Mar Mar Apr May-17 1-Jun Jun Aug Aug Sep Oct Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2-17 Aug-17 Sep % 4.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% -0.5% -1.5% -2.5% (Positive values denote currency appreciation compared to USD) INR JPY KRW IDR CNY EUR TWD THB SGD PHP MYR GBP Index ( = ) NEER REER USDTHB Exchange Rate Movement end of Sep compared to end of Aug 24 Oct compared to end of Sep THB Appreciation Oct (Average data until 24 Oct) % p.a. 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Times Exchange Rate Volatility (vis-à-vis USD) Reserves/Short-term Debt Latest data 24 Oct Sep E 3.2
Oct 2017 = 20.0 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 19.9 Bn USD
1 Sep = 21.9 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.6 Bn USD %YoY Oct = 20.0 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 19.9 Bn USD Share P P P H1 Q2 Q3 Sep Oct %MoM sa Agriculture 7.0-6.2 19.8 19.2 28.4 9.8 10.2-5.2 Fishery 1.0 15.1 6.5 10.4 11.5
More informationJun 2018 = 21.8 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 21.3 Bn USD
1 May = 22.3 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 21.9 Bn USD %YoY Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P = Preliminary data Jun = 21.8 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 21.3 Bn USD P P Share P P H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 May Jun %MoM sa
More informationNielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index Jan 2014 = 100
1 = Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = 115 105 95 85 Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index
More informationJul 2018 = 20.3 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.1 Bn USD. H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun Jul
1 Jun = 21.8 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 21.3 Bn USD %YoY Export Value Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P = Preliminary data = 20.3 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 20.1 Bn USD P P Share P P H1 H2 H1 Q1 Q2 Jun %MoM
More informationNielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index Jan 2014 = 100
1 = Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = 115 15 95 85 Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa,
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1 = Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = 115 15 95 Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa,
More informationService Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index. Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Durable and Semi-durable Indices
1 Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = 115 15 95 85 = Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa,
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