Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index. Durable and Semi-durable Indices

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1 1 = Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa, 3mma = 13 7 Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index * Comprises of the VAT on hotel and restaurant sector and the sale of transportation sector %YoY Private Consumption Indicators H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec P %MoM sa Non-durable index Semi-durable index Durable index Service index E.1 E (less) Net tourist spending PCI Sources: The Nielsen Company, Revenue Department, Department of Tourism, Ministry of Energy, NSO, OAE P = Preliminary E = Estimated Service Index sa, 3mma Non-resident spending Index sa, 3mma (RHS) = 1 1

2 2 P = Preliminary Data %YoY (%YoY) Apr Farm Income Contribution to Growth: Farm Income Oct H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Nov Dec Nominal farm income P Agricultural production P Agricultural price Apr ข าวเปล อก อ อย ม นสาปะหล ง ยางพารา ผลไม ปาล มนาม น ปศ ส ตว ก ง อ นๆ รวมส นค าเกษตร Sources: UTCC, NSO, OAE, National ITMX Bulk Payment, calculated by BOT Oct 4.8 Index = 1 Diffusion Index, sa (Unchanged = ) Consumer Confidence Index Total Current Next 6 months Real Income Transfer of salary through FI sa, 3mma (Baht/person)* Transfer of salary through FI sa Total Non-Farm Income sa, 3mma Farm Income sa, 3mma Farm Income sa Note : * 1) Calculated from retail funds transfer transactions obtained from the National ITMX and BOT s payment systems data as the value of total salary tranfered divided by volume of salary transfer. 2) Oct figures were estimated by the BOT Average 5 years = 76.2

3 -17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec Index sa ( = ) Bn baht Investment in Machinery and Equipment Real Imports of Capital Goods Domestic Machinery Sales Car Registered for Investment Sources of Corporate Financing Business Credits (SA) Debt Equity 3MMA Note: Business credits and debt refer to change in outstanding (par); equity refers to new issuance at par value. Index sa ( =) 1, m 2 9mma 7, Sources: Bank of Thailand, ThaiBMA, SET, Business Sentiment Survey by BOT, NSO, OIE, calculated by BOT P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data 7 % YoY Permitted Construction Area (9mma) Investment in Construction Construction Materials Index Permitted Construction Area (RHS) 6,5 6, 5,5 5, 4,5 4, H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec P %MoM sa E 1.6 E Construction Materials Index Real Imports of Capital Goods Real Domestic Machinery Sales E -2.8 E Newly Registered Motor Vehicles for Investment Private Investment Indicators PII

4 Sources: Comptroller General s Department, Fiscal Policy Office 4 Central Government Current Expenditure Billion baht (Ex. Subsidies/Grants and Other) % avg. FY-18 FY FY Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Central Government Capital Expenditure Billion baht (Ex. Subsidies/Grants and Other) 19.6% avg. FY-18 FY FY Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug Billion Baht FY FY Fiscal Position (Cash basis) FY FY P Q3 Q4 Q1 Dec Revenue 2,354 2, (%YoY) (-2.4) (6.8) (8.7) (8.9) (12.7) (1.9) (8.1) Expenditure 1/ 2,795 2, (%YoY) (2.2) (3.1) (14.) (2.3) (-2.2) (-6.8) (31.1) Budgetary B/L Non-Budgetary B/L Cash B/L (CG) Net Financing Treasury B/L Note: P = Preliminary data 1/ Includes cash payments for operating and purchase of non-financial assets, except loan repayments

5 5 H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec P No. of tourists ( ) 38,277 19,482 18,796 9, 9,735 3,846 3,719 %YoY %QoQsa, %MoMsa Index sa ( = ) 35 3 Tourists Classified by Nationality Total China (share 28%) Malaysia (share 11%) Asia ex. CN MY (share 3%) Europe ex. Russia (share 14%) Russia (share 4%) Sources: Ministry of Tourism and Sports, Calculated by Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data Note: ( ) denotes share in total tourist arrivals in

6 6 Dec = 19.5 Bn USD Ex. Gold = 19.1 Bn USD Export Value Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P = Preliminary data = 19.4 Bn USD Ex.Gold = 19.1 Bn USD Share P P %YoY P H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec (%MoM) Agriculture Fishery Manufacturing Agro-manufacturing Electronics Electrical Appliances Automotive Machinery & Equipment Petroleum Related Total (BOP Basis) Ex. Gold Ex. Gold & Petroleum Related Note: Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total export value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents. Ex.gold 13 7 Thai Export to Major Destinations Index sa, 3mma ( =) -19 * ex. aircraft, other vehicles and other manufacturing goods Asian Export Performance Index sa, 3mma ( =) SG Japan* China US EU ASEAN5 ME - 19 ID ex.oil & Gas TH ex.gold MY TW CN KR

7 7 (%YoY) Manufacturing Production Index (MPI) Share R Note: the new MPI series as adjusted by the OIE (coverage and base year at ) R = Revision P = Preliminary data Sources: NSO, OIE, Customs Department and seasonally adjusted by BOT H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec P Food & Beverages Automotives Passenger Cars Commercial Vehicles Engine Petroleum Chemicals Rubbers & Plastics Cement & Construction IC & Semiconductors Electrical Appliances Textiles & Apparels Hard Disk Drive Others MPI Capacity Utilization (Non-SA) %YoY MPI Classified by Export Share Note: Calculated and Classified by the BOT Other Indicators of Manufacturing Production Index sa ( = ) Apr Oct * The latest month was estimated by the BOT Export <3 3<Export< Export > Apr Oct Industrial Electricity Consumption* Quantity of Imported Raw Materials Index of Work Hours in Manufacturing (3mma)

8 8 Dec = 17.1 Bn USD Ex.Gold = 16.7 Bn USD %YoY Share Source: Compiled from Customs Department s data P P P H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec (%MoM) Consumer Raw material & Intermediate o/w Fuel o/w Raw mat & Interm ex. Fuel Import Value = 19.3 Bn USD Ex.Gold = 18.7 Bn USD Capital Others Total (BOP Basis) Ex. Gold Ex. Gold&Fuel Note: Data above are recorded by custom basis, except total import value which is recorded by BOP basis. Custom basis considers recording as goods pass through Customs, while BOP basis considers changes in ownership between residents and non-residents. P = Preliminary data Index sa, 3mma ( =) Import Value Index Total imports Raw materials ex. fuel* Capital goods Consumer goods Fuel 4 * Regrouping to include vehicle parts, which appear in others in the accompanying table. Index sa, 3mma ( =) Value Quantity Price

9 9 Unemployment rate (sa) Employed persons (%YoY) %YoY % Labor Market Indicators Source: Labor Force Survey (NSO), calculated by BOT Headline inflation contribution H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec Sources: NSO and Ministry of Commerce calculated by BOT 1. (1.).9 (1.).9 (1.1) Raw food (15.69%) Energy (11.75%) Core (72.56%).27% 1. (1.) Underemployment rate Thousand persons sa, 3mma 28, 27, 26, 25, 24, 23, %YoY Rent (19.62%) Food & Beverage (28.17%) Non-Food & Beverage ex. Rent (52.21%) Core inflation contribution Employment Non-Agriculture (sa, 3mma) Non-Agriculture (sa) Agriculture (sa, 3mma) (RHS) Agriculture (sa) (RHS) Thousand persons sa, 3mma 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 1,.69%

10 Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data 1 Balance of Payments P E Billion USD P H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec E Trade Balance Exports (f.o.b.) %YoY Imports (f.o.b.) %YoY Net Services, Income & Transfers Current Account Capital and Financial Account Overall Balance

11 Source: Bank of Thailand P = Preliminary data E = Estimated data 11 Net Financial Flows Millions of USD P P E H1 H2 Q3 Q4 Dec E 1. Assets -26,2-11,446-15,456-9,66-6,3-2, TDI -18,133-1,521-7,611-5,563-2, Equity -7,722-3,1-4,532-3,331-1, Thai Portfolio investment -2, ,773-1, Equity security investment -4,696-4, Debt security investment 2,492 3,961-1,469-1, Loans -1,217-1, Other Investments -5, ,1-2,712-3,1-1, Trade credits -2,727-2, Liabilities 5,282-1,697 6,979 4,873 2, FDI 12,462 6,986 5,476 3,176 2, Equity 6,269 2,826 3,443 1,819 1, Foreign Portfolio investment -3,228-6,545 3,318 2, Equity security investment -7, -4,632-2, , Debt security investment 3,873-1,913 5,786 2,845 2, Loans 1, , ,36 2,314-1,562 Other Investments -5,915-1,355-4,5-1,326-3,234-1,598 1,12 - Trade credits -1, , ,575-1, Total Financial Flows (1+2) -21,62-13,143-8,477-4,194-4,284-2,7 73

12 Sources: Bank of Thailand, Reuters and Bloomberg 3-Dec Feb-17 8-Mar Mar Apr May-17 7-Jun Jun Aug-17 4-Sep Sep Oct-17 9-Nov-17 3-Nov Dec Feb Feb Mar Apr-18 9-May May Jun Aug Aug Sep-18 9-Oct-18 1-Nov Nov Dec Feb Q18 Q2 Q3 Q % 4% 3% 2% 1% % -1% -2% -3% Exchange Rate Movement end of 19 compared to end of Dec Feb 19 compared to end of 18 (Positive values denote currency appreciation compared to USD) INR TWD VND KRW EUR PHP MYR SGD JPY CNY GBP IDR THB Index ( = ) 13 NEER REER USDTHB THB Appreciation % p.a. 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% % Feb Feb Feb (Average data until 21 Feb ) Times Exchange Rate Volatility (vis-à-vis USD) Reserves/Short-term Debt Latest data 21 Feb E 3.4

Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index. Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Durable and Semi-durable Indices

Service Index* & Net Tourist Spending Index. Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index Jan 2014 = 100 Jan 2014 = 100. Durable and Semi-durable Indices 1 Nielsen s FMCG Index & Fuel Index = = 115 15 95 85 = Durable and Semi-durable Indices Nielsen s FMCG Index sa, 3mma Fuel Index, sa Fuel Index sa, 3mma (RHS) Semi-durable Index sa,3mma Durable Index sa,

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