Third Quarter Results 2002

Transcription

1 Third Quarter Results 22 Zurich, 12th November 22 Peter Wuffli, President Mark Branson, Chief Communication Officer

2 Caution regarding forward-looking statements This communication contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements relating to the implementation of strategic initiatives, such as the implementation of the new European wealth management strategy, expansion of our corporate finance presence in the US and worldwide, the development of UBS Warburg's new energy trading operations, and other statements relating to our future business development and economic performance. While these forward-looking statements represent our judgments and future expectations concerning the development of our business, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include, but are not limited to, (1) general market, macro-economic, governmental and regulatory trends, (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rates and interest rates, (3) competitive pressures, (4) technological developments, (5) changes in the financial position or credit-worthiness of our customers, obligors and counterparties and developments in the markets in which they operate, (6) legislative developments, (7) management changes and changes to our business group structure in 21 and 22 and (8) other key factors that we have indicated could adversely affect our business and financial performance which are contained in other parts of this document and in our past and future filings and reports, including those filed with the SEC. More detailed information out those factors is set forth elsewhere in this document and in documents furnished by UBS and filings made by UBS with the SEC, including UBS s Annual Report on Form 2-F for the year ended 31 December 21. UBS is not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaims any such obligations to) update or alter its forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

3 New brand architecture at UBS A single "masterbrand... supported by client segment descriptors

4 Our brands don t reflect our success Our business momentum is ahead of our brand momentum Business strength Familiarity (out of 1) 1st the world's largest private bank 7th among non-us wealthy individuals 1st for investment banking market share growth in the US 9th among US corporate clients 2nd globally for secondary equity market share 7th among institutions 2nd largest European asset manager 4th among European asset management buyers 3rd largest private client firm in the US 3rd among US wealth management clients

5 Familiarity Reflects integrated business model Focused, co-ordinated marketing is much more effective Supports shared corporate culture 1,9 High net worth individuals 1,2 Corporate and institutional clients 3 Asset management buyers 1 Swiss retail clients 3 Top UBS client advisors 14 Countries Quantitative market research shows that our clients' preferences are similar across segments and regions

6 Financial implications 2 year amortization brought forward Acquired intangible asset USD 773 m net at acquisition USD 699 m net writedown Value of PaineWebber brand is preserved through transfer of brand equity to UBS over the last two years, although this cannot be reflected in the accounts

7 Group results

8 Net profit Adjusted for significant financial events CHF m Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Net profit after tax (adj) Net profit after tax (adj), before goodwill P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

9 Operating business unit performance 1 1,5 = year-on-year change 1, -16% -5% +27% 5-34% 39% UBS Cap PB BBS UBS Global AM CIC UBS PW % 3Q1 2Q2 3Q2 Note: 1 Adjusted for SFE's and excluding the amortization of goodwill and other intangible assets 2 Before acquisition costs P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

10 Performance against targets ROE 1,2 Basic EPS 1 25% 2. 2% 15% 1% 5% (CHF) % M1 6M1 9M112M13M2 6M2 9M2 Cost / Income 1 Private client net new money 3,4,5 8% 2. 99Avg Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 6% 4% (CHF bn) % 5 % Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 1 Excludes the amortization of goodwill and other intangible assets and adjusted for significant financial events 2 Year to date, annualized 3 Private Banking and UBS PaineWebber 4 Excludes interest and dividend income 5 Private Bankin g net new money is calculated based on the new structure for UBS Wealth Management & Business Banking effective 1 July 22. P&L Invested Assets 99Avg Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Asset Quality Capital

11 Invested assets 3Q2 vs. 2Q2 UBS WM&BB UBS Global AM UBS W UBS PW (CHFbn) PB BBS Inst. Wholesale Total Total opening ,198 Net new money (3.2) Performance, currency & transfers (34) (13) (27) (16) (52) (143) Closing ,7 3Q2 Market performance 5% % -5% -1% -15% -2% DJIA FT-SE 1 SMI DJ Euro Stoxx MSCI World Bond Index NASDAQ CHF/EUR CHF/USD -25% P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

12 Revenue trends 1, 8, CHF m 6, 4, 2, -2, Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Credit loss Net income from interest margin activities Other Net fee & commission income Net income from trading activities P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

13 Market sensitivity 1 of asset base Rebased: 1Q = 1% 12% 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% % 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 UBS-PW Asset based fees PB Asset based fees UBS Global AM income. DJ Stoxx Europe index S&P5 index Notes: 1) Current quarter's income vs previous quarter's market level P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

14 Group cost trends CHF bn 4 2 Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Personnel Depreciation General & administrative Amortization of Goodwill & other intangible assets P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

15 Operating business unit cost trends = year-on-year change 3.5-1% % CHF bn % -3% -15%.5-13% PB BBS UBS Global AM CIC UBS Cap UBS PW 3Q1 2Q2 3Q2 P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

16 Actual credit loss expense Business Banking Switzerland CHF m 2 Corporate & Institutional Clients CHF m (5) 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 (5) 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Actual Credit Loss Actuarial Expected Credit Loss P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Actual Credit Loss Actuarial Expected Credit Loss Capital

17 Group loan portfolio CHF bn % Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep UBS WM&BB C&IC UBS PaineWebber NPL% P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

18 Share buyback & Tier 1 ratio Shares (m) % 12% 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% Tier 1 ratio 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 % 2 Program 1 21 Program 1 22 Program 1 Tier 1 ratio Note: 1) Share repurchase programs run for 12 months from early March. P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

19 Cumulative share buyback effect on EPS % of EPS due to cumulative effect of share buybacks 1% 8% 6% 4% 2% % 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 P&L Invested Assets Asset Quality Capital

20 Business unit results

21 Balanced business mix Revenues 1 by operating business area (in CHF m) 3Q1 2Q2 3Q2 21% 7% 1% 16% 2% 5% 1% 15% 17% 5% 18% 18% 12% 43% 16% 43% 43% 8,875 9,45 8,95 Domestic banking Wealth & Asset Mgmt Equities Fixed Income & FX Investment Banking Other 2 Notes: 1 Before credit loss expense 2 Corporate Center, UBS Capital & CIC Non-core Business BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

22 Continued strong profitility Net profit before tax (CHF m) ,2 1, Operating expenses (CHF m) Avg99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Net profit before tax Total operating expenses BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

23 Continued strong, stle gross margin bps Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Transactional fees Recurring fees Other BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

24 Net new money CHF bn Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Private Banking - Swiss Clients European Wealth Management Initiative Private Banking - International Clients (excluding EWMI) Net outflow from Italian Tax Amnesty BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

25 Net new money 6 4 CHF bn Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Institutional Wholesale (ex-money market) Money market Wholesale BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

26 CIC: continued cost control Operating expenses CHF m 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 1% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% c/i ratio Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 Total operating expenses 3% Cost/income ratio (excl. goodwill) BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

27 Improving market share in the Americas Sector View Financials Technology.5%.9% 1.4% 1.7% Transport 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% Telecom 4.1% 3.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.7% Healthcare Consumer 7.% 5.6% 2.9% 6.2% 9.3% 1.6% Industrials 3.2% Energy 3.4% 3.5% Real Estate.1% Media 1.% 1.4% UBS-W market share M2 2.5% BBS 3.1% PB 3.5% Global AM 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% Bubble size = market size UBS-W UBS-PW

28 UBS Capital - relative value creation 15% 1% 5% % 1H99 2H99 1H 2H 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2-5% -1% -15% BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

29 Improving profitility CHF 25 2 USD 15 95% 9% millions % 8% 75% 4Q 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 7% Performance before tax 1 Cost/Income ratio 1 (%) CHF USD Note: 1) Before acquisition costs BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

30 Net new money CHF bn Avg 99 Avg 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 BBS PB Global AM UBS-W UBS-PW

31 Market environment Equity market levels 12% 11% 1% 9% Investor Optimism US EU-5 CHF bn 8% 7% 6% 5% Global bankruptcies Q99 3Q99 1Q 3Q 1Q1 3Q1 1Q2 3Q2 SWX NYSE LSE % Total debt defaulting Default ratio (%) Source: S&P Special Report "Ratings Performance 21" February 22 Note: 1) Projected 22 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% USD bn Source: UBS Index of Investor Optimism, Corporate fee pools Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q1 2Q1 3Q1 4Q1 1Q2 2Q2 3Q2 M&A Debt Financing Equity Financing Source: Freeman & Co analysis, Thomson Financial Securities Data

32 Third Quarter Results 22 Zurich, 12th November 22 Peter Wuffli, President Mark Branson, Chief Communication Officer