International Monetary Theory and Policy Economics 5602
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1 Department of Economics Raul Razo-Garcia Carleton University Fall 2009 International Monetary Theory and Policy Economics 5602 CONTACT INFORMATION Professor: Raul Razo-Garcia Office: A-804 Loeb Building Course Website: The course web site will be hosted by WebCT. All communication will be conducted via WebCT (do not forget to set up your WebCT account). COURSE INFORMATION Lectures: Wednesday from 8:35 to 11:25 am Location: TBA Office Hours: Wednesday 14:00-16:00; or by appointment Textbook: Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics, MIT Press, Supplementary text: Nelson C. Mark, International Macroeconomics and Finance, Blackwell Publishing, GRADING: Paper Presentation (23%) Participation during the presentations by students (2%) Referee Report (due to in Lecture on November 25 th ) (20%) Final exam (55%). Presentation: Starting on September 30 th one or two students will present a paper from topics 2 or 6 of the reading list. In the second week of classes I will assign the paper and the presentation dates for each student/group (maximum 2 students depending on the enrolment). The student/group will present for about 45 minutes with the requirement that ALL the members of the group will be responsible for one part of the presentation. At any point in the presentation I have the right to ask any member of the team to continue with the presentation. Handouts for the entire class must be distributed. The grade will be based on an individual basis. At least one question in the final will cover the material presented by the students. Referee Report: By September 30th, the students will be asked to choose one among the papers included in topic 5 of the reading list (Currency Crises). Each student will have to summarize and provide a critical assessment of the paper, establishing its value added to the literature in the manner of a short referee report (four pages, 1.5 spaced). This in an individual
2 assignment. Final: The final exam will cover the whole course. A grade of ABS will be automatically assigned if you miss the final exam. To defer the final exam contact the Registrar s office. Plagiarism: Plagiarism is a serious offense and one that should be recognized and avoided. For further information regarding this subject, please see the Economics Department s website or pick up a handout from the Department. ACADEMIC ACCOMMODATIONS 1. For Students with disabilities: Students with disabilities requiring academic accommodations are encouraged to contact a coordinator at the Paul Mentor Centre (PMC) to complete the necessary letters of accommodation. Students are encouraged to make an appointment with a coordinator at the Paul Menton Centre to discuss their needs and ways to accommodate those needs early in each term. Early identification is particularly important for those students who require sign language interpreters, in-class notetakers, course material in alternative format, or adaptive technology equipment. After registering with the PMC, arrange a mutually convenient time with me (e.g. during the instructor s office hours) to discuss the academic accommodations at least two weeks before the midterm. 2. For Pregnancy: Contact Equity Services to obtain letters of accommodations. For more information check the following website: ( 3. For Religious obligations: To be worked out on individual basis with me. Consult Equity Services website or an Equity Advisor for Policy and list of Holy Days. Reading List: 1 Traditional Models of International Monetary Economics Dornbusch, R. (1976): Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics, The Journal of Political Economy, 84. Engel, C., N. C. Mark, and K. D. West (2007): Exchange Rate Models Are Not as Bad as You Think, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, No Mundell, R. A. (1961): A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, The American Economic Review, 51. Mundell, R. A. (1963): Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates, The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29, Rogoff, K. S. (2002): Dornbusch s Overshooting Model After Twenty-Five Years, IMF Working Paper, pp Obstfeld-Rogoff, ,
3 2 New Open Economy Macroeconomics Chari, V. V., P. J. Kehoe, and E. R. McGrattan (2002): Can Sticky Price Models Generate Volatile and Persistent Real Exchange Rates?, The Review of Economic Studies, 69. Choudhri, E. U., H. Faruqee, and D. S. Hakura (2005): Explaining the exchange rate pass-through in different prices, Journal of International Economics, 65(2), Devereux, M. B., and C. Engel (2003): Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited: Price Setting and Exchange-Rate Flexibility, Review of Economic Studies, 70, Duarte, M., and M. Obstfeld (2007): Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited: The Case for Exchange Rate Flexibility Restored, manuscript, University of Toronto and UC Berkeley. Engel, C. (2002): Expenditure Switching and Exchange-Rate Policy, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 17, Ghironi, F., and M. J. Melitz (2005): International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms*, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, Lane, P. R. (2001): The new open economy macroeconomics: a survey, Journal of International Economics, 54(2), Obstfeld, M., and K. Rogoff (1995): Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux, Journal of Political Economy, 103, (2000): New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models, Journal of International Economics, 50, Obstfeld-Rogoff, Ch 10. Mark, Ch 9 3 The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account Feldstein, M., and C. Horioka (1980): Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows, Economic Journal, 90(358), Kraay, A., and J. Ventura (2000): Current Accounts In Debtor And Creditor Countries, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(4), Nason, J. M., and J. H. Rogers (2006): The present-value model of the current account has been rejected: Round up the usual suspects, Journal of International Economics, 68(1), Obstfeld, M., and K. Rogoff (1995): The intertemporal approach to the current account, in Handbook of International Economics, ed. by G. M. Grossman, and K. Rogoff, vol. 3, pp Elsevier. Obstfeld-Rogoff, Ch 1-3.
4 4 Exchange Rate and Prices Atkeson, A., and A. Burstein (2007): Trade Costs, Pricing to Market, and International Relative Prices, manuscript, UCLA. Dornbusch, R. (1987): Exchange Rates and Prices, The American Economic Review, 77. Gopinath, G., and R. Rigobon (2008): Sticky Borders, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(2), Imbs, J., H. Mumtaz, M. O. Ravn, and H. Rey (2005): PPP Strikes Back: Aggregation and the Real Exchange Rate, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), Jeanne, O., and A. K. Rose (2002): Noise Trading And Exchange Rate Regimes, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), Khan, M. S., and E. U. Choudhri (2004): Real Exchange Rates in Developing Countries: Are Balassa-Samuelson Effects Present?, IMF Working Papers 04/188, International Monetary Fund. Meese, R., and K. Rogoff (1983): Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies, Journal of International Economics, 14, Obstfeld, M., and K. Rogoff (2000): The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 15, Obstfeld-Rogoff, Ch 4. 5 Currency Crises Flood, R. P., and P. M. Garber (1984): Collapsing exchange-rate regimes : Some linear examples, Journal of International Economics, 17(1-2), Jeanne, O. (2000): Currency Crises: A Perspective on Recent Theoretical Developments, Princeton Special Papers in International Economics, 20. Kaminsky, G. L. (1998): Currency and banking crises: the early warnings of distress, International Finance Discussion Papers 629, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). Krugman, P. (1979): A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 11(3), Morris, S., and H. S. Shin (1998): Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling Currency Attacks, American Economic Review, 88(3), Obstfeld, M. (1996): Models of currency crises with self-fulfilling features, European Economic Review, 40(3-5), Obstfeld, M., and K. Rogoff (1995): The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9. Obstfeld-Rogoff, 8.4. Mark, Ch 11
5 6 Recent Studies in International Macroeconomics Bjrnl, H. C. (????): Monetary policy and exchange rate overshooting: Dornbusch was right after all, Journal of International Economics. Chari, V., P. J. Kehoe, and E. R. McGrattan (2008): New Keynesian Models: Not Yet Useful for Policy Analysis, NBER Working Papers 14313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Devereux, M. B., and A. Sutherl (????): Valuation effects and the dynamics of net external assets, Journal of International Economics. Edwards, S., and R. Rigobon (2009): Capital controls on inflows, exchange rate volatility and external vulnerability, Journal of International Economics, 78(2), Fratzscher, M. (????): How successful is the G7 in managing exchange rates?, Journal of International Economics. Galí, J., and T. Monacelli (2008): Optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a currency union, Journal of International Economics, 76, Gourinchas, P.-O., and O. Jeanne (2006): The Elusive Gains from International Financial Integration, Review of Economic Studies, 73(3), (2007): Capital Flows to Developing Countries: The Allocation Puzzle, Quarterly Journal of Economics. Gourinchas, P.-O., and H. Rey (2007): International Financial Adjustment, Journal of Political Economy, 115(4), Obstfeld, M., J. C. Shambaugh, and A. M. Taylor (2008): Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves, Discussion paper, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Obstfeld, Maurice (2009): International Finance and Growth in Developing Countries: What Have We Learned?, NBER Working Paper No , Obstfeld, Maurice, and Rogoff, Kenneth S. (2005): Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2005(1), Tille, C., and E. van Wincoop (????): A New Perspective on The New Rule of the Current Account, Journal of International Economics. 7 Presentations [Presentation 1:] (Bjrnl????) [Presentation 2:] (Choudhri, Faruqee, and Hakura 2005) [Presentation 3:] (Ghironi and Melitz 2005) [Presentation 4:] (Obstfeld, Maurice and Rogoff, Kenneth S. 2005) [Presentation 5:] (Tille and van Wincoop????)
6 [Presentation 6:] (Devereux and Sutherl????) [Presentation 7:] (Edwards and Rigobon 2009) [Presentation 8:] (Fratzscher????) [Presentation 9:] (Obstfeld, Shambaugh, and Taylor 2008) [Presentation 10:] (Galí and Monacelli 2008)
International Monetary Theory and Policy ECON 5602 S
Department of Economics Carleton University International Monetary Theory and Policy ECON 5602 S Raul Razo-Garcia 2011 Early Summer CONTACT INFORMATION Professor: Raul Razo-Garcia Office: A-804 Loeb Building
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